HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 We Yore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We Yore 1-3” with another 1-3” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: We Yore Winter of Yore in full effect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Lol...so far this is the tenor of the season...dustings upon dustings!! bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 I think the box map is a little light. Prob would go 1-2" N of pike but then again, I wouldn't throw accums out this early anyway...and there's still a chance for something on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 That map is through 7AM Tuesday. The burst between 6 and 9 might be the bulk of the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 It’s 1-3” south .. Prob a lot of 2” pike south and 3” north . Pretty easy one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: That map is through 7AM Tuesday. The burst between 6 and 9 might be the bulk of the snow. Yup. Kind of surprised they would post this at this time, but ignore some of the better snows (maybe). I would wait a day then include the whole event. Of course, that map might wind up being right...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 12 minutes ago, weathafella said: That map is through 7AM Tuesday. The burst between 6 and 9 might be the bulk of the snow. Yeah I missed that. The heaviest stuff is prob a bit after 7. Not that any of these maps matter whatsoever right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 I found the 18z GFS was close to a backside shortwave phase with the lead shortwave for the Wednesday event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 00z NAM might be digging the lead shortwave for the Wednesday event a bit over the Central Northern Plains at hour 45, compared to the previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 0z NAM is all around garbage for the early week junky event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 51 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 00z NAM might be digging the lead shortwave for the Wednesday event a bit over the Central Northern Plains at hour 45, compared to the previous runs. Not happening!!! Looks like crap!!! Ugh I hate this winter so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: 0z NAM is all around garbage for the early week junky event. Its not a big storm. Get over it- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Its a WAA system, Not an HECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its not a big storm. Get over it- Yeah pretty evident. The timing won't work out like the models thought. Not a good idea to get overly invested in the Day 5-7 model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its not a big storm. Get over it- Not expecting a big storm. GFS looks better for at least interior SNE to score a couple inches from the WAA. EURO too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2019 Author Share Posted January 6, 2019 18 minutes ago, dryslot said: Its a WAA system, Not an HECS. You mean I’m not getting 18”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Its not far from being decent, lets see what a few more runs do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 I am not expecting a big storm, 3" would be nice to start off the next few weeks worth of the pattern. YEsterday models were showing a shortwave that dug more and allowed a further southward tracking surface low, tonight, the first few models coming in are showing a northward tracking system, I would still give the system another 30-36 hours before giving up hope on a different outcome, then we can tread lightly on the weekend event next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Defintely sort of mild and meh it seems. But, slippery Tuesday morning commute for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 From GYX What`s new is the consensus that another wave drops down within the core of the upper trough and curls around southern New England and into the Gulf of Maine Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. It will be strengthening as it does so and could bring a more substantial round of precipitation to the area. One complicating factor here is that the earlier warm advection will leave a relatively warm air mass in place Tuesday night with temperatures likely near or just above freezing at times. It seems likely that as the low winds up we will get cold air pulled in from the north at the surface (and from the west aloft) with perhaps a developing coastal front segmenting off the warmer air. So while for the most part this next wave should bring snowfall, there could be areas that see some rain as well, especially near the coast. Snowfall amounts could exceed warning criteria in some areas, though confidence on this is still too low for a Winter Storm Watch. Will let this new consensus solidify a bit before taking that step. For now the best snowfall amounts would be over interior western Maine and northern New Hampshire where the best banding may occur between the strengthening surface low and the advancing upper low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 8 hours ago, HoarfrostHubb said: You mean I’m not getting 18”? Maybe 1.8 will play out though. 33 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: From GYX What`s new is the consensus that another wave drops down within the core of the upper trough and curls around southern New England and into the Gulf of Maine Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. It will be strengthening as it does so and could bring a more substantial round of precipitation to the area. One complicating factor here is that the earlier warm advection will leave a relatively warm air mass in place Tuesday night with temperatures likely near or just above freezing at times. It seems likely that as the low winds up we will get cold air pulled in from the north at the surface (and from the west aloft) with perhaps a developing coastal front segmenting off the warmer air. So while for the most part this next wave should bring snowfall, there could be areas that see some rain as well, especially near the coast. Snowfall amounts could exceed warning criteria in some areas, though confidence on this is still too low for a Winter Storm Watch. Will let this new consensus solidify a bit before taking that step. For now the best snowfall amounts would be over interior western Maine and northern New Hampshire where the best banding may occur between the strengthening surface low and the advancing upper low. Man, Pit2 is calling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Looks rather warm for anyone in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Snow to ice to slot back to light snow Tuesnight. Has looked same for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Southwest fail event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 Temps look like they may be an issue along the coast and just inland on some of these model runs in NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Temps look like they may be an issue along the coast and just inland on some of these model runs in NNE. For SNE, the interior has the same issues. At least we're used to it by this point. Perhaps 'numbed' is a better word, but I don't want to suggest we've been cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2019 Share Posted January 6, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Temps look like they may be an issue along the coast and just inland on some of these model runs in NNE. If it intensifies it would get cold enough maybe? Perhaps models come back to that idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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