STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said: Quick look at the 12Z Euro. No big deal for SNE. Does get the Tuesday night storm going in the GOM to give Eastern NH/Maine 4-8" snowfall, especially down east Maine. I’d set the O/U for 2 “part event” at . 5 for Bos 1” ORH 2”MHT 6” N Conway 7” K dry slot 1” K tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d set the O/U for 2 “part event” at . 5 for Bos 1” ORH 2”MHT 6” N Conway 7” K dry slot 1” K tolland 0.00” KMEH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d set the O/U for 2 “part event” at . 5 for Bos 1” ORH 2”MHT 6” N Conway 7” K dry slot 1” K tolland 5" for BOS or .5"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: 5" for BOS or .5"? I’ll take action up to 5K , regarding Bos , I believe they are getting crushed by developing CCB Wednesday lollll cman, .5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: The temps are very cold to start, even when winds go SE. Logan has a decent shot of an inch. It seems like areas near the Pike through 84 will cook mostly near the end of, or after any precip. Be still my heart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 This is more for Southern New England. But the euro ensembles also develop a weak low and move it into the gulf of Maine. To me anyways, that has the look of sneaky cold air over northern mass. I could almost see one of those snow to snizzle kind of set ups if the cold stays there and they’re in the 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This is more for Southern New England. But the euro ensembles also develop a weak low and move it into the gulf of Maine. To me anyways, that has the look of sneaky cold air over northern mass. I could almost see one of those snow to snizzle kind of set ups if the cold stays there and they’re in the 20s. Ensembles looked a bit slower with the second system...might be better for SNE if that is the case. You can see the CAD getting better on today's runs too...I think this could end up staying colder over the interior...at least for places like N ORH county over to near Ray...a little meso tuck could help too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ensembles looked a bit slower with the second system...might be better for SNE if that is the case. You can see the CAD getting better on today's runs too...I think this could end up staying colder over the interior...at least for places like N ORH county over to near Ray...a little meso tuck could help too. Yeah this cold air is not gonna be easy to dislodge so it does have that work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ensembles looked a bit slower with the second system...might be better for SNE if that is the case. You can see the CAD getting better on today's runs too...I think this could end up staying colder over the interior...at least for places like N ORH county over to near Ray...a little meso tuck could help too. Any chance N CT could stay in the 30’s and retain the pack ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any chance N CT could stay in the 30’s and retain the pack ? Yeah if the CAD keeps trending a bit more defined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 24 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Any chance N CT could stay in the 30’s and retain the pack ? The "pack". Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 12 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: The "pack". Lol Couple inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Well.. in any case, the correction assumption from four or five days ago toward a more flat wave amplitude with less curved flow seems to have been the right call given all modeling at this time. If we recall ... back whence the Euro was attempting to quasi close along ~ Long Island ... To me in my mind this has always been about whether we could instead get a narrow open wave amplitude enough to late blow up and clip on exit ... Still in the game believe it or not.. The mechanics are coming into the blah blah out west more so on the 00z. Probably pointless to mention but will anyway...the NAM is slightly more amped ... I think if we can get the 534 dm isotach S of LI we'll have a better shot at things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Fits my earlier thoughts from this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 hours ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d set the O/U for 2 “part event” at . 1.2 for Bos measured by someone not sleeping nearby 3 ORH 5-6 MHT 6-9 N Conway 7” K dry slot 1” K tolland Changed where I felt it is warranted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 See there’s a lot of excitement for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 14 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: See there’s a lot of excitement for this one Some poster either or so not many left to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some poster either or so not many left to post. lets see what the models show in the am.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 minute ago, 512high said: lets see what the models show in the am.... Really, The only wildcard is part two, If this can trend colder and track further south then those areas will get some of the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 10 minutes ago, dryslot said: Some poster either or so not many left to post. Another junky WAA event. We’ve had plenty of these. At least this one won’t have a changeover to an inch of rain on top of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: Another junky WAA event. We’ve had plenty of these. At least this one won’t have a changeover to an inch of rain on top of it. Yeah, But i'll take it for now, Need to give this pattern more time to reshuffle before we see some MECS's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, But i'll take it for now, Need to give this pattern more time to reshuffle before we see some MECS's If I could make it leapfrog me I would. The snow:cleanup ratio has been way too low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: If I could make it leapfrog me I would. The snow:cleanup ratio has been way too low. I'm in for different reasons, Need as much pack build as possible, So all this no matter how small goes towards that, If i have to go clean up 4-5 3" storms every few days or so, Lets do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 SNE welcomes junky WAA events with open arms if we can get our first accumulating snow in nearly 2 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: SNE welcomes junky WAA events with open arms if we can get our first accumulating snow in nearly 2 months. WAA rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: WAA rains Maybe for SEMA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 @dendrite gave me unlimited liking...im just waiting for the posts to roll in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 18z GFS is further south and slower with the lead second shortwave and the backside third shortwave almost phases in. The heavier bands of precipitation is about 45-55 miles too far north for Cape Cod to get accumulating snows, I will wait until the HIRES models get a chance to see this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 34 minutes ago, dendrite said: Another junky WAA event. We’ve had plenty of these. At least this one won’t have a changeover to an inch of rain on top of it. Yeah this has definitely become less interesting the past few days. Maybe a dense 2-4" and some mist after? The follow up wave on the models is like an unmanned firehose...no two runs are alike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Okay ... so now two cycles of GFS trend slightly more amped on each on. Incremental... but the main relay onto land out west isn't actually beginning until overnight. I thought it was 00z but it looks like the earliest that begins to take place is 06 z and 12z tomorrow. This run shows how sensitive this is to very minor adjustments, as this run has a pretty clear 2-3" type band blossoming rt 2 within an IVT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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