HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Can’t be any worse than some of these other “events” we have posted about. Trending less impactful, but hey, we were down 28-3 once... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Somebody had to do a thread.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Early returns on the 12z suite has the Wednesday potential increasing again. GGEM and GFS both show it. The front end stuff looks pretty weak but probably an inch or two for most folks in this forum. Southern half of CT/RI might be tougher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:06 PM, dryslot said: Somebody had to do a thread.....lol Expand Kiss of death maybe, but it’s not like we can get less than zero. Part 2 def looks better...I guess I should change the dates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:15 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Kiss of death maybe, but it’s not like we can get less than zero. Part 2 def looks better...I guess I should change the datesYou’ll be fine starting this, It’s not like whole region would get skunked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Canadian is rather tucky looking in the thermals across nrn and NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 ICON was nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:20 PM, CoastalWx said: Canadian is rather tucky looking in the thermals across nrn and NE MA. Expand Flash freeze with moderate snow from redeveloper? Could envision that based on the look. Something to watch anyway until it ultimately becomes a NNE CJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:23 PM, ORH_wxman said: Flash freeze with moderate snow from redeveloper? Could envision that based on the look. Something to watch anyway until it ultimately becomes a NNE CJ. Expand LOL, probably. But hey..would be nice to get a break for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:23 PM, ORH_wxman said: Flash freeze with moderate snow from redeveloper? Could envision that based on the look. Something to watch anyway until it ultimately becomes a NNE CJ. Expand I like my spot for late bloom-jobs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Looks like the Ukie develops the low in NE MA, but probably a bit too far north for SNE..would be a Dendy to Dryslot special. The later panels appear to swing some wrap around lighter snows I would imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:24 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I like my spot for late bloom-jobs. Expand There’s not a storm you don’t post about liking your spot other than today’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said: There’s not a storm you don’t post about liking your spot other than today’s Expand Well other than big elevation events, he's in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Unless your looking for something siggy which looks to be off the board, I think what were going to be seeing is, An overrunning event with the first wave, Wave two at worse, Probably the same scenario but certainly has more upside to it so will have to watch what transpire over the next couple days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:24 PM, dryslot said: Unless your looking for something siggy which looks to be off the board, I think what were going to be seeing is, An overrunning event with the first wave, Wave two at worse, Probably the same scenario but certainly has more upside to it so will have to watch what transpire over the next couple days or so. Expand Has the high trended to a more worse position for Tue Am . Quick look at Ukie and a 1029 High is centered south east to north east east of SNE over Atlantic ? earlier runs had the elongated N-S look which I didn’t love but it was usually still centered N of NNE or NE of NNE, seems higher pressures to the south and east have amplified into what has been the more traditional high position last couple weeks for approaching storms and retreating highs , thou maybe it still works as long as high doesn’t retreat another 6-8 hrs faster ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:28 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Has the high trended to a more worse position for Tue Am . Quick look at Ukie and a 1029 High is centered south east to north east east of SNE over Atlantic ? earlier runs had the elongated N-S look which I didn’t love but it was usually still centered N of NNE or NE of NNE, seems higher pressures to the south and east have amplified into what has been the more traditional high position last couple weeks for approaching storms and retreating highs , thou maybe it still works as long as high doesn’t retreat another 6-8 hrs faster ? Expand If you have to analyze the orientation of a high that much it's probably a shit system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:28 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Has the high trended to a more worse position for Tue Am . Quick look at Ukie and a 1029 High is centered south east to north east east of SNE over Atlantic ? Expand When we had solutions that were giving 4-8" on the front end, we had a low trying to go south, but that energy has trended weaker and west so it's kind of just a weak WAA event now. Because of that we don't really eat a good low to the south which means the high doesn't wrap around and anchor to the north. It kind of just sits near N Maine and elongates. It's still a good CAD spot but it doesn't do a ton unless we get energy underneath us. To see what I mean, picture a low trying slice south of us in this image instead of just a primary west of us...you can see how the low pressure poking eastward over LI or so would really look classic with where that high is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:28 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Has the high trended to a more worse position for Tue Am . Quick look at Ukie and a 1029 High is centered south east to north east east of SNE over Atlantic ? Expand I would say its further SE and 3mb weaker then the 0z run, So in theory its not better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:50 PM, Damage In Tolland said: There’s not a storm you don’t post about liking your spot other than today’s Expand Part of it is the novelty...I'm sure you would be pumped if this were your first winter coming from Vernon to 1K. I spent so many storms narrowly on the wrong side of the coastal front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:37 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Part of it is the novelty...I'm sure you would be pumped if this were your first winter coming from Vernon to 1K. I spent so many storms narrowly on the wrong side of the coastal front. Expand You will be enjoying your new digs weather wise coming up here and going forward me thinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:34 PM, ORH_wxman said: When we had solutions that were giving 4-8" on the front end, we had a low trying to go south, but that energy has trended weaker and west so it's kind of just a weak WAA event now. Because of that we don't really eat a good low to the south which means the high doesn't wrap around and anchor to the north. It kind of just sits near N Maine and elongates. It's still a good CAD spot but it doesn't do a ton unless we get energy underneath us. To see what I mean, picture a low trying slice south of us in this image instead of just a primary west of us...you can see how the low pressure poking eastward over LI or so would really look classic with where that high is. Expand Thanks for illustration Will Just appeared the 12z position tuesday has it sliding east faster . As In not over Maine but more centered South of Nova Scotia . I didn’t understand if the return S flow would be something to watch to cook BL temps in E SNE or if that was not an issue when precip falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 The temps are very cold to start, even when winds go SE. Logan has a decent shot of an inch. It seems like areas near the Pike through 84 will cook mostly near the end of, or after any precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:45 PM, dryslot said: You will be enjoying your new digs weather wise coming up here and going forward me thinks. Expand Agree, but don't get me wrong...I won't hesitste to toss my laptop at one of ginxy's dogs if its a south of pike deal. I won't be biased towards my new locale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:49 PM, CoastalWx said: The temps are very cold to start, even when winds go SE. Logan has a decent shot of an inch. It seems like areas near the Pike through 84 will cook mostly near the end of, or after any precip. Expand Cook like 40’s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:55 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Cook like 40’s? Expand Yeah. Unless somehow the low can skip along the south coast, but I think many areas may be like 37-44 or so depending on location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 5:56 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah. Unless somehow the low can skip along the south coast, but I think many areas may be like 37-44 or so depending on location. Expand Euro tries to keep N ORH county below freezing. Maybe a little better CAD showing as it tries to form a little mesolow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 6:15 PM, ORH_wxman said: Euro tries to keep N ORH county below freezing. Maybe a little better CAD showing as it tries to form a little mesolow. Expand That's the best hope..maybe even a tucky there into NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Does Euro still bring light snow on rear end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Quick look at the 12Z Euro. No big deal for SNE. Does get the Tuesday night storm going in the GOM to give Eastern NH/Maine 4-8" snowfall, especially down east Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 6:20 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Does Euro still bring light snow on rear end? Expand Pretty meh this run. Develops slightly too late but it's close. SNE gets 1-3 on the front end and that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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