weathafella Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 4 hours ago, raindancewx said: Boston is up to 16.6 inches through March 3rd. Boston, NYC and Philly all reported low snow ratios for the 3/3 snows they received with much of the snow falling above freezing. What? BOS reported 2 inches of snow on 0.18 qpf on 3/2. 3/3 had 0.7 snow with 0.09 qpf as the current monster had just started. Most locations around Boston are over a foot for ths event and counting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 4 hours ago, raindancewx said: Boston is up to 16.6 inches through March 3rd. Boston, NYC and Philly all reported low snow ratios for the 3/3 snows they received with much of the snow falling above freezing. The warmth was too strong here in NYC and also Philly. Boston has to be around 7-10 inches by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 BOS with today’s 10.6 is up to 27.2. Not that far from respectability. We’ve actually had a steady diet of events beginning 2/17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 55 minutes ago, weathafella said: BOS with today’s 10.6 is up to 27.2. Not that far from respectability. We’ve actually had a steady diet of events beginning 2/17 They are a front ender advisory event and a bowling ball away from average....obviously not easy to do, but we've seen it before plenty of times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Toss this thread where it always belonged..into the circular file. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 4, 2019 Author Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Toss this thread where it always belonged..into the circular file. That was my intent all along. Just didn’t expect it to run so long into the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Logan averages 43.8" using the 1981-2010 mean. At 26.5" through 3/4, there is about a 10% chance historically of getting to average numbers by May using the data from 1892-2018. The storm snapped Boston much closer to my blend, so I was pleased to see that - 10/1-3/4 Boston Snow 1953-54: 21.1" 1976-77: 47.3" 1986-87: 36.3" 1994-95: 14.5" 1994-95: 14.5" 2006-07: 6.4" Blend: 23.4" - damn near the actual of 26.5" My hunch is there isn't much more snow for the NE from DC to Boston this year, but we'll see. Phase 2 of the MJO is pretty wet in the NE so wasn't too shocking to see the little reversion toward average. My blend had 35" for Boston, I assumed it'd be somewhat less, but it doesn't look too bad given that only 1/10 years will get to 44" from 26.5" on 3/4. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 5 hours ago, raindancewx said: Logan averages 43.8" using the 1981-2010 mean. At 26.5" through 3/4, there is about a 10% chance historically of getting to average numbers by May using the data from 1892-2018. The storm snapped Boston much closer to my blend, so I was pleased to see that - 10/1-3/4 Boston Snow 1953-54: 21.1" 1976-77: 47.3" 1986-87: 36.3" 1994-95: 14.5" 1994-95: 14.5" 2006-07: 6.4" Blend: 23.4" - damn near the actual of 26.5" My hunch is there isn't much more snow for the NE from DC to Boston this year, but we'll see. Phase 2 of the MJO is pretty wet in the NE so wasn't too shocking to see the little reversion toward average. My blend had 35" for Boston, I assumed it'd be somewhat less, but it doesn't look too bad given that only 1/10 years will get to 44" from 26.5" on 3/4. As I said in the other thread, your snowfall call was probably on target. Logan probably received 35-40 inches of snow but its constant undermeasurements since November have them off target (they are doing what JFK has been doing for years.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 5 hours ago, raindancewx said: Logan averages 43.8" using the 1981-2010 mean. At 26.5" through 3/4, there is about a 10% chance historically of getting to average numbers by May using the data from 1892-2018. The storm snapped Boston much closer to my blend, so I was pleased to see that - 10/1-3/4 Boston Snow 1953-54: 21.1" 1976-77: 47.3" 1986-87: 36.3" 1994-95: 14.5" 1994-95: 14.5" 2006-07: 6.4" Blend: 23.4" - damn near the actual of 26.5" My hunch is there isn't much more snow for the NE from DC to Boston this year, but we'll see. Phase 2 of the MJO is pretty wet in the NE so wasn't too shocking to see the little reversion toward average. My blend had 35" for Boston, I assumed it'd be somewhat less, but it doesn't look too bad given that only 1/10 years will get to 44" from 26.5" on 3/4. I think there is one more opportunity for snowfall near the end of the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 10 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: They are a front ender advisory event and a bowling ball away from average....obviously not easy to do, but we've seen it before plenty of times. No big coastals, which makes this more of a 07-08 type winter. Caribou had the big storms this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 19 hours ago, Snow88 said: The warmth was too strong here in NYC and also Philly. Boston has to be around 7-10 inches by now. They are latitude impaired (for coastal areas) for late season events. Things get much better at Boston's latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted March 23, 2019 Share Posted March 23, 2019 Tada - Boston analogs 10/1-3/22: 1953-54 - 21.5 1976-77 - 56.9 1986-87 - 38.4 1994-95 - 14.8 1994-95 - 14.8 2006-07 - 15.5 Blend: 27.0" 2018-19: 27.4" Historically, 10% of years will see 7"+ after 3/22 in Boston back to the 1890s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 25, 2019 Share Posted March 25, 2019 forgettable Met winter with about 5 inches of snow locally. Storms in Nov and March got us to average but close to zero in December, not much in Jan, and a couple of 2 inch events in Feb. Just awful given the consensus for a good winter. Starting to lose the +AMO which will lead to less NAO blocking next cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 25, 2019 Share Posted March 25, 2019 On 3/5/2019 at 1:35 AM, LibertyBell said: No big coastals, which makes this more of a 07-08 type winter. Caribou had the big storms this time around. 07-08 was better over the deep interior of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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