NorEastermass128 Posted January 11, 2019 Author Share Posted January 11, 2019 We turn our sights for the next threat of >1" of snow toward 1/17 and 1/20. This means most SNE sites will have gone 2+ months in the heart of winter in an average pattern for cold/snow without measurable. Pretty remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 36 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: We turn our sights for the next threat of >1" of snow toward 1/17 and 1/20. This means most SNE sites will have gone 2+ months in the heart of winter in an average pattern for cold/snow without measurable. Pretty remarkable. I wouldn't call the pattern average for most of Dec and Jan....though it is definitely not horrific. Prob just a run of the mill below average pattern in the means. We should have scored a couple shovelable events in our climate but we haven't been able to buy one. Even last year we were squeezing in 4-6" events in January and February during somewhat cruddy patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 58 days of futility now. Gonna make a run at 70 days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 58 days of futility now. Gonna make a run at 70 days now. Winter started 58 days ago not 2.5 weeks ago? You live in a strange climate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, Ginx snewx said: Winter started 58 days ago not 2.5 weeks ago? You live in a strange climate My last measurable snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: My last measurable snowfall. Oh I just saw the title of winter futility and thought it was an odd post. I have only had 8.75 inches in 240 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2019 Share Posted January 11, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Oh I just saw the title of winter futility and thought it was an odd post. I have only had 8.75 inches in 240 days 6" over the last 288 here. Got you handily beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2019 Share Posted January 12, 2019 4 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said: 6" over the last 288 here. Got you handily beat. April 6th to Jan 11th 279 days I guessed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Solid chance we can retire this thread within 1 week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Solid chance we can retire this thread within 1 week. Meh i say 2 weeks from now we do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/14/2019 at 10:15 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Meh i say 2 weeks from now we do Maybe 2 months from now once it looks like futility is achieved/official Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Does futility end overnight Thursday into Friday? Would put me at 64 days between measurable snowfalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Does futility end overnight Thursday into Friday? Would put me at 64 days between measurable snowfalls. For BOS, the road to futility doesn't end until they exceed 9.6" (or so) on the season. It's looking likely BOS marches through these two threats with the road still open ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 2:09 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Does futility end overnight Thursday into Friday? Would put me at 64 days between measurable snowfalls. Nope. One more day apparently. Will make it 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Jan 19 and BOS still at 0.2” 2-4ish expected tonight. With more rain this week, we march forward another week on our quest for futility. This winter sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Official 1/19 snow measurement for Boston (Logan): MM, i.e. missing. I find NWS does that when snow falls, and the melted equivalent is above 0.01", but it doesn't stick. At least they do that locally. On the five minute observations it looked like some of the precip came in as freezing drizzle and above freezing snow. Logan only had 0.13" liquid equivalent of whatever fell anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 19 hours ago, NorEastermass128 said: Jan 19 and BOS still at 0.2” 2-4ish expected tonight. With more rain this week, we march forward another week on our quest for futility. This winter sucks. BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 4 hours ago, raindancewx said: Official 1/19 snow measurement for Boston (Logan): MM, i.e. missing. I find NWS does that when snow falls, and the melted equivalent is above 0.01", but it doesn't stick. At least they do that locally. On the five minute observations it looked like some of the precip came in as freezing drizzle and above freezing snow. Logan only had 0.13" liquid equivalent of whatever fell anyway. How much in Albuquerque lol? You've been doing well this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Hate to say it but the tropical forcing has retreated to unfavorable locations and suddenly the pac wants to revert. I know some hate tracking the mjo and enso but tropical forcing really does drive the show. ETA: we can snow in February with a less than perfect pacific if the blocking holds. But if the pac is going to puke we need the Atlantic perfect. That ridge will kill us IF the pac goes unfavorable. It’s not a disaster look but it’s not the great look guidance was selling a week ago. Ma forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 20, 2019 Author Share Posted January 20, 2019 49 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Ma forum If FEB skunks, BOS goes futile with an asterisk since the observer doesn’t know how to measure snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 42 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: If FEB skunks, BOS goes futile with an asterisk since the observer doesn’t know how to measure snow. IF this whole pattern falls apart I will have learned/taken away the fact that the weeklies are horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWilly Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 As I sit here at 43 degrees with pounding rain I am left with no more words to describe this winter. Can't wait until the next rainstorm midweek. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I don’t consider this thread to be dead yet.....just wait they said....be patient....when the pattern flips it’s gonna be amazing they said......ahaahahahahaha....garbage winter....the worst winter in the history of winter.....#futilitylives 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 The good news is after the initial update had MM, Logan changed to report 0.5" yesterday, so presumably with the snow today Boston has topped an inch of snow since 10/1. 8 hours ago, LibertyBell said: How much in Albuquerque lol? You've been doing well this winter. The city is 4900-6300 feet, so anywhere from 2-10". Officially 5.3". I had snow on the ground at my house, from only 6.5", for 11 days in a row starting on 12/27. I'm sure we'll get more eventually, traditionally we do very well in March (sometimes Feb) if there is no calendar month in an El Nino with around 7" by the end of January, we had 3.3" in Dec, and 2.0" in Jan to date where the records are kept. The snow in Jan was particularly impressive as it was around 19F all afternoon (-28Fish) , and we had only 0.06" officially, but we have much drier snow than you guys do. Every El Nino on record, except 1953-54 has had snow here has had snow after January, so its pretty likely we'll get more. My precipitation pattern is almost a dead on match for July-Dec in El Nino years with major hurricanes hitting the Gulf, so I'm incorporating those into my Spring Outlook, and they tend to favor very snowy Marches in the Rockies & Plains. I threw in a couple La Nina years too, since the +SOI in Dec needs to be respected for what it does to US temps in Feb/Mar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 What is Fall River PYM, New Bedford current seasonal totals seems like the further SE one goes into SNE the bigger the ratter the mid range has fallen a part it got worse use whatever semantics you want but it does not look better than average for this time of year for SNE. It looks below average pattern wise now , last week at This time it looked a bit better than average. We lost the good pacific look, raging zonal compresses flow is back w a split jet returning . Models will be back to being nearly useless for anything resembling two piece systems It shiat the bed again. W all the caveats, we can still score a hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Bump 1/25 update - BOS @1.8” to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Shit it down..... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 On 1/21/2019 at 11:35 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: What is Fall River PYM, New Bedford current seasonal totals seems like the further SE one goes into SNE the bigger the ratter the mid range has fallen a part it got worse use whatever semantics you want but it does not look better than average for this time of year for SNE. It looks below average pattern wise now , last week at This time it looked a bit better than average. We lost the good pacific look, raging zonal compresses flow is back w a split jet returning . Models will be back to being nearly useless for anything resembling two piece systems It shiat the bed again. W all the caveats, we can still score a hit Around 8” and looks to remain the same as he hit February. No other way to polish this turd. We have another 1-2 weeks of peak snowfall climb then we begin the progression into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 26, 2019 Author Share Posted January 26, 2019 SNE loses another week plus with this upcoming miss. This winter makes 2011-2012 a walk in the park. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raindancewx Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 10/1-1/26 snowfall in Boston (assuming none today). Additional snow 1/27-5/31: 2007 - 15.6", 1928 - 19.2", 1980 - 10.1", 1932 - 15.8", 1944 - 24.2", 1986 - 13.4", 1989 - 10.3", 1958 - 39.3", 1969 - 48.1", 1973 - 4.4". Average additional is 20 inches from 1/27 to 5/31, range is 4-40" for years with under six inches of total snow by 1/26. 1 2007-01-26 1.5 0 2 1928-01-26 1.6 1 3 2019-01-26 1.8 1 4 1980-01-26 2.4 1 5 1932-01-26 2.6 1 6 1944-01-26 3.5 0 7 1986-01-26 4.7 0 8 1989-01-26 5.2 0 9 1958-01-26 5.4 0 10 1969-01-26 5.7 0 11 1973-01-26 5.9 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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