Grothar of Herndon Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Never ever forget: https://loudounnow.com/2018/11/21/meet-loudouns-weatherman-jay-hatem-of-jays-wintry-mix/ I did not know about this article. Thanks for sharing. LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Quote And while the rest of November is likely to remain snow-free, there are indications of good things to come for snow lovers, as Hatem predicted in a post last week: “There are strong indicators right now that December could be fun.” Ooooohhh, they can't all be the right calls, Ji. Close, though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: EPS is identical. It's happening unless it doesn't Surely you can't be serious! I am serious and do not call me Shirley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said: I did not know about this article. Thanks for sharing. LOL! Way to go Ji! I had no idea Ji was a rockstar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: Way to go Ji! I had no idea Ji was a rockstar. He's not.. Jay is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 25 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Look up Jays wintry mix - not sure why he changed his name Apparently his real name IS Jay...lol https://loudounnow.com/2018/11/21/meet-loudouns-weatherman-jay-hatem-of-jays-wintry-mix/ ETA: Ninja'd by north balti zen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 @Ji you have had 2 warning events and it’s not even the half way point of our snow climo yet in a winter where the second half is supposed to be the better half. Oh and you were having this mini melt down with 10” of snow in your yard. Maybe you need to reboot whatever part of your brain is responsible for PERSPECTIVE!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 22 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Never ever forget: https://loudounnow.com/2018/11/21/meet-loudouns-weatherman-jay-hatem-of-jays-wintry-mix/ WOW. That's pretty amazing, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: Apparently his real name IS Jay...lol https://loudounnow.com/2018/11/21/meet-loudouns-weatherman-jay-hatem-of-jays-wintry-mix/ And Ji doesn't look anything like I envisioned. This is more of what I thought he looked like. I literally thought this was Ji the entire time based on the YouTube videos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 And while the rest of November is likely to remain snow-free, there are indications of good things to come for snow lovers, as Hatem predicted in a post last week: “There are strong indicators right now that December could be fun.” Ooooohhh, they can't all be the right calls, Ji. Close, though!We were 50 miles from an epic dec. Anyway....every weenie in this forum forecasts for his friends and relatives. I didn't even start this page and I dont talk about it...promote it or share it. It just kind of took off..its an albatross Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Ooooohhh, they can't all be the right calls, Ji. Close, though! We were 50 miles from an epic dec. Anyway....every weenie in this forum forecasts for his friends and relatives. I didn't even start this page and I dont talk about it...promote it or share it. It just kind of took off..its an albatross proud of you, man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 9 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Apparently his real name IS Jay...lol That's his pseudonym Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 "No, no, no media. Well, if you insist. Shoot from my right, it's my best profile." <frowns, stares furiously at the screen> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Nothing like having access to all that when I am in the part of the forum that got pretty screwed yesterday and listening to a meltdown from someone who has 40,000 followers on facebook who just cashed in with nearly a foot of snow. Uncanny, having that access, really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 People are going to come on here tonight and see tons of new pages and think a BECS is certain just to find 5 pages about Ji and his fame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Just now, LeesburgWx said: People are going to come on here tonight and see tons of new pages and think a BECS is certain just to find 5 pages about Ji and his fame They knew the risks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 hours ago, RockabilyJunior said: I know the verification scores are low for the CMC, and that it often doesn't agree with the other models, but it seems to me that if anything, it's a little too snow/cold happy for our area compared to other models. Can anyone confirm or rebut? I don't really ever get my hopes up for a storm until the CMC shows something, even if most of them don't pan out. This is all speculation though based on 5 or so years of following this forum, and I'm curious what others have to say. I'm not sure if anyone replied to this, but here are my 2 cents. The GGEM is a decent model, with verification scores comparable to the GFS in the winter. On average, I believe it has a wet bias. But those scores are averages that smooth over a lot of day to day variation. (For example, yesterday it wasn't wet enough.) Rather than pin your hopes on any one model, I think it's best to consider the range of possibilities shown by all of the top models, with more weight given to those (like the Euro) that tend to do better on average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 hour ago, Ji said: well this is crap man because the great looking weeklies from 2 weeks ago had 3 week and week 4 as epic. The last week of January should of been epic. Not cutters. So now your telling me we have to wait till feb for snow lol Yo it just snowed I've been sledding for hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 21 minutes ago, Ji said: Ooooohhh, they can't all be the right calls, Ji. Close, though! We were 50 miles from an epic dec. Anyway....every weenie in this forum forecasts for his friends and relatives. I didn't even start this page and I dont talk about it...promote it or share it. It just kind of took off..its an albatross They're not serious Honestly, disseminating the analysis of this board is a welcome service You're obviously not the only one Probably you know that but just saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 2 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: Nothing like having access to all that when I am in the part of the forum that got pretty screwed yesterday and listening to a meltdown from someone who has 40,000 followers on facebook who just cashed in with nearly a foot of snow. Uncanny, having that access, really. At least your area was modeled to get somewhat screwed, esp on part 2. All guidance yesterday morning continued to advertise my yard in the sweet spot for the coastal CCB and great banding. I didn't get a single flake. Maybe I need to get busy trolling the ungrateful too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 23 minutes ago, Ji said: Ooooohhh, they can't all be the right calls, Ji. Close, though! We were 50 miles from an epic dec. Anyway....every weenie in this forum forecasts for his friends and relatives. I didn't even start this page and I dont talk about it...promote it or share it. It just kind of took off..its an albatross We know and we silently follow it. People really get excited about snow on your FB page. Really amazing! Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 30 minutes ago, Ji said: Ooooohhh, they can't all be the right calls, Ji. Close, though! We were 50 miles from an epic dec. Anyway....every weenie in this forum forecasts for his friends and relatives. I didn't even start this page and I dont talk about it...promote it or share it. It just kind of took off..its an albatross I enjoy your page. It's a nice summary when I don't have time to puruse the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Anyone look at the 12Z CFS? I dont think I can ever remember a time when it had snowcover in our area for 708 hours straight. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 38 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @Ji you have had 2 warning events and it’s not even the half way point of our snow climo yet in a winter where the second half is supposed to be the better half. Oh and you were having this mini melt down with 10” of snow in your yard. Maybe you need to reboot whatever part of your brain is responsible for PERSPECTIVE!!! When was his first warning event? I thought you guys had been shutout since November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Anyone look at the 12Z CFS? I dont think I can ever remember a time when it had snowcover in our area for 708 hours straight. Crazy. What, seriously ? Starting when ? That is almost a month ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 1 minute ago, frd said: What, seriously ? Starting when ? That is almost a month ! Right now. It is obviously due to phantom storms and worthless. But I have never seen that before. Just says the coming pattern is screaming snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Interesting read from Mount Holly on the weekend event from their afternoon AFD- For Friday through Monday...A split flow regime results in energy ejecting into the central and southern Plains while northern stream energy amplifies some across eastern Canada and the Great Lakes. An initial short wave in the southern stream should drive a weaker system across our area Thursday night and Friday with some rain/snow showers possible. The stronger energy then arrives over the weekend. The timing of the northern and southern systems will be key regarding the end results here in the East, as some guidance phases them faster and therefore the surface low tracks over or just west of our area. Some timing differences exist which plays a role in the surface low track. The evolving pattern looks to favor more of a delayed interaction with the surface low tracking farther south and east, however this is of lower confidence which also reduces the confidence regarding the precipitation types. Thermal profiles at this point utilizing a multi-model blend introduces a wintry mix for much of the region. One thing to continue noting is that the guidance is suggesting that a decent moisture plume gets pulled northward with this system. The potential for heavy rain, snow and/or mixed precipitation exists with this system, especially if the forward motion slows. The signal for this storm remains high among the model guidance, therefore increased the PoPs into the likely range for the weekend. The latest guidance has trended a bit farther north with this system, however a wintry mix is still expected to impact the entire area at some point Saturday and Sunday. An arctic airmass will surge southward in the wake of the weekend system Sunday night into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 GFS more amped up but then develops a trailing wave, would be cool to get a little backend snow with our 30 degree temp drop in Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 Can we stop talking about Ji now? GFS is trying to develop a trailing wave at 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2019 Share Posted January 14, 2019 26 minutes ago, cbmclean said: When was his first warning event? I thought you guys had been shutout since November. November doesn’t count now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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