tnweathernut Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 The UK at 12z reduced precip amounts from the plateau and points east, but bumped them for middle TN. There are actually two items (the front, then an upper level disturbance) that drop to total of around .7 on a widespread basis across middle TN (lollipop of .8 for northwest middle TN). Assuming nice Kuchera ratios toward the end of the frontal snow and the second disturbance, I wouldn't be surprised to see some healthy snow maps across the midstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, tnweathernut said: The UK at 12z reduced precip amounts from the plateau and points east, but bumped them for middle TN. There are actually two items (the front, then an upper level disturbance) that drop to total of around .7 on a widespread basis across middle TN (lollipop of .8 for northwest middle TN). Assuming nice Kuchera ratios toward the end of the frontal snow and the second disturbance, I wouldn't be surprised to see some healthy snow maps across the midstate. Maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 12z Euro develops a broad area of low pressure in Alabama at 96. Waiting to see precip maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Kuchera snow maps for the 12z Euro are in. They look good for a good chunk of the state. 3-5 Memphis, 7-8" Davidson and all surrounding counties. A minimum of 4-5" across the plateau, 6-7" in and around Knoxville and 5-6" for northeast TN. 8-9" SW VA, 4-5" northern 1/2 of MS, and northern 1/3 of Alabama. 2-6" northwest GA, the larger amounts near north and northeast GA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, tnweathernut said: Kuchera snow maps for the 12z Euro are in. They look good for a good chunk of the state. 3-5 Memphis, 7-8" Davidson and all surrounding counties. A minimum of 4-5" across the plateau, 6-7" in and around Knoxville and 5-6" for northeast TN. 8-9" SW VA, 4-5" northern 1/2 of MS, and northern 1/3 of Alabama. 2-6" northwest GA, the larger amounts near north and northeast GA You think the amounts are too low factoring in the arctic air mass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted January 25, 2019 Author Share Posted January 25, 2019 That's as good a forum wide event as we have had in a while if it were to verify. Outside of the far far NW areas everyone sees 3 inches minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, weathertree4u said: You think the amounts are too low factoring in the arctic air mass? Honestly, not sure. I'm just looking for some consistency in where the best forcing will be. It's been all over the place, so just want to see the threat remain on the radar for the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wurbus Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Should we get a thread started specific to this event? It has been on most models pretty consistently for the past couple days and we are 4 days out now. Also, thanks for everyone providing updates on the latest Euro run! Hopefully everything keeps trending better than 2-4 for everyone state wide (although I will gladly take 2-4). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, John1122 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Two systems to talk about next week, Tuesday and Friday. Figure 1/2 might pan out. Doubt both hit or both miss (except CHA). Tuesday is the Battle Royale. ECMWF and ICON insist snow all over. Euro has a true southern stream wave with weak surface low. GFS just has flurries and snow showers post frontal, GFS has a much weaker southern stream vort max, and favors a strong northern stream. We've seen that so many times in recent years. Skill favors the ECMWF. However recent history, sadly, favors the GFS. We'll see; this is a robust cold pattern. Friday the GFS is lost. ECMWF and Canadian show another southern stream system. I use the CAD sparingly, but just want to see if it has anything. A wave is scooting through the southern stream Friday. Still cold here at all levels. PS. A thread for Tuesday is probably justified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 12Z JAN25 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) FRI 12Z 25-JAN 23.3 15.7 33004 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 18Z 25-JAN 31.9 22.2 32.2 11.2 30004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 00Z 26-JAN 35.3 30.2 30.1 16.7 22003 0.00 0.00 92 SAT 06Z 26-JAN 30.7 26.4 29.3 15.5 24004 0.00 0.00 99 SAT 12Z 26-JAN 30.7 26.3 26.2 20.1 24005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 18Z 26-JAN 42.5 25.7 42.8 24.5 20006 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 00Z 27-JAN 46.2 37.9 38.0 27.0 19007 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 27-JAN 38.4 35.4 35.5 32.8 22008 0.00 0.00 20 SUN 12Z 27-JAN 35.7 29.8 29.6 28.9 22004 0.00 0.00 4 SUN 18Z 27-JAN 48.2 28.7 48.5 30.0 22005 0.00 0.00 1 MON 00Z 28-JAN 51.2 40.1 39.4 30.5 19004 0.00 0.00 0 MON 06Z 28-JAN 39.5 35.4 36.2 30.3 19007 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 28-JAN 36.3 34.8 34.8 29.8 19007 0.00 0.00 0 MON 18Z 28-JAN 54.3 34.7 54.6 36.7 20010 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 29-JAN 57.1 50.0 49.7 35.5 20007 0.00 0.00 95 TUE 06Z 29-JAN 49.8 35.2 34.6 33.2 34009 0.17 0.02 100 TUE 12Z 29-JAN 34.6 20.8 20.6 15.7 34008 0.35 0.35 100 TUE 18Z 29-JAN 20.8 17.4 19.8 7.2 32009 0.09 0.09 32 WED 00Z 30-JAN 21.3 16.2 16.0 2.5 31007 0.00 0.00 0 WED 06Z 30-JAN 16.0 5.5 9.2 -3.6 24005 0.00 0.00 53 WED 12Z 30-JAN 13.4 8.0 12.8 0.0 22002 0.00 0.00 59 WED 18Z 30-JAN 25.9 12.5 26.2 10.6 22003 0.00 0.00 5 THU 00Z 31-JAN 34.2 23.8 24.4 16.4 22004 0.00 0.00 13 THU 06Z 31-JAN 31.0 23.3 28.9 20.8 25005 0.00 0.00 61 THU 12Z 31-JAN 29.1 17.5 17.3 8.0 00005 0.00 0.00 4 THU 18Z 31-JAN 21.1 14.6 21.3 0.6 33005 0.00 0.00 19 FRI 00Z 01-FEB 23.4 15.7 15.7 -0.5 00004 0.00 0.00 23 FRI 06Z 01-FEB 16.1 10.1 10.0 -8.2 01004 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 12Z 01-FEB 11.0 8.3 8.4 -9.9 02004 0.00 0.00 39 FRI 18Z 01-FEB 19.8 7.7 20.0 -1.8 01004 0.00 0.00 76 SAT 00Z 02-FEB 23.9 18.6 19.1 4.3 01005 0.00 0.00 98 SAT 06Z 02-FEB 19.1 16.0 16.0 2.9 02006 0.00 0.00 99 SAT 12Z 02-FEB 16.0 14.5 14.5 2.2 02005 0.00 0.00 97 SAT 18Z 02-FEB 23.9 14.4 24.2 5.2 01004 0.00 0.00 80 SUN 00Z 03-FEB 25.8 22.5 22.4 11.1 36005 0.01 0.01 100 SUN 06Z 03-FEB 22.4 17.2 17.2 8.5 35004 0.02 0.02 33 SUN 12Z 03-FEB 17.3 8.6 8.8 -2.1 34005 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 18Z 03-FEB 29.6 8.0 29.9 9.3 36002 0.00 0.00 68 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: MEM LAT= 35.05 LON= -90.00 ELE= 285 12Z JAN25 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) FRI 12Z 25-JAN 25.5 20.4 00004 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 18Z 25-JAN 34.6 23.7 34.8 18.1 32003 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 00Z 26-JAN 37.9 33.0 32.9 22.3 20003 0.00 0.00 82 SAT 06Z 26-JAN 34.9 30.5 34.9 25.2 23005 0.00 0.00 95 SAT 12Z 26-JAN 35.0 27.5 28.2 24.8 18003 0.00 0.00 1 SAT 18Z 26-JAN 48.2 28.1 48.4 35.4 21008 0.00 0.00 3 SUN 00Z 27-JAN 50.9 42.7 42.5 36.1 18008 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 27-JAN 42.5 38.2 38.0 35.1 24006 0.00 0.00 19 SUN 12Z 27-JAN 38.1 30.5 30.4 29.0 19004 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 18Z 27-JAN 51.5 30.2 51.8 35.7 23005 0.00 0.00 0 MON 00Z 28-JAN 54.6 45.5 45.2 36.8 18006 0.00 0.00 0 MON 06Z 28-JAN 45.2 42.0 41.9 34.7 20008 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 28-JAN 41.9 40.1 40.1 34.2 20009 0.00 0.00 0 MON 18Z 28-JAN 56.3 40.0 56.6 41.5 21012 0.00 0.00 36 TUE 00Z 29-JAN 59.0 51.6 51.4 47.1 24005 0.04 0.00 99 TUE 06Z 29-JAN 51.4 30.0 29.6 25.4 35014 0.37 0.17 100 TUE 12Z 29-JAN 29.6 17.3 17.2 6.2 34012 0.12 0.12 27 TUE 18Z 29-JAN 21.6 15.2 21.8 5.2 33013 0.00 0.00 0 WED 00Z 30-JAN 26.5 18.1 18.7 4.2 29006 0.00 0.00 0 WED 06Z 30-JAN 22.5 16.1 22.1 11.1 22007 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 30-JAN 22.8 18.1 18.3 11.9 20005 0.00 0.00 1 WED 18Z 30-JAN 37.5 16.8 37.9 22.1 22009 0.00 0.00 12 THU 00Z 31-JAN 40.9 35.6 35.6 25.8 20010 0.00 0.00 80 THU 06Z 31-JAN 35.6 34.2 34.1 25.9 23009 0.00 0.00 72 THU 12Z 31-JAN 34.1 21.1 21.0 8.5 04009 0.00 0.00 0 THU 18Z 31-JAN 28.4 19.6 28.6 8.1 04011 0.00 0.00 15 FRI 00Z 01-FEB 30.9 26.0 25.8 5.3 04008 0.00 0.00 79 FRI 06Z 01-FEB 26.1 21.8 21.7 -7.5 04009 0.00 0.00 98 FRI 12Z 01-FEB 21.7 19.0 18.9 -13.8 03011 0.01 0.01 95 FRI 18Z 01-FEB 24.6 17.8 24.9 -11.3 03009 0.00 0.00 96 SAT 00Z 02-FEB 28.7 24.7 27.0 -2.5 03008 0.00 0.00 100 SAT 06Z 02-FEB 27.0 23.6 23.5 -2.0 03009 0.00 0.00 100 SAT 12Z 02-FEB 23.6 20.0 19.9 -3.6 03009 0.00 0.00 86 SAT 18Z 02-FEB 28.1 19.5 28.3 -3.1 01008 0.00 0.00 89 SUN 00Z 03-FEB 29.5 24.8 24.7 3.4 00007 0.00 0.00 91 SUN 06Z 03-FEB 24.7 18.1 18.0 0.9 04006 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 03-FEB 18.0 16.7 16.7 0.0 35003 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 18Z 03-FEB 32.2 16.6 32.5 2.5 00003 0.00 0.00 73 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: CSV LAT= 35.95 LON= -85.08 ELE= 1880 12Z JAN25 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) FRI 12Z 25-JAN 21.1 14.3 32006 0.00 0.00 16 FRI 18Z 25-JAN 31.9 20.1 32.1 5.2 31004 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 00Z 26-JAN 33.7 26.1 26.3 11.7 28003 0.00 0.00 57 SAT 06Z 26-JAN 26.8 24.8 25.6 13.1 22005 0.00 0.00 26 SAT 12Z 26-JAN 28.4 25.4 27.5 15.1 24005 0.00 0.00 32 SAT 18Z 26-JAN 38.8 26.1 39.0 19.3 25005 0.00 0.00 7 SUN 00Z 27-JAN 41.4 32.6 32.5 21.4 21007 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 27-JAN 32.9 31.1 31.1 26.4 21007 0.00 0.00 1 SUN 12Z 27-JAN 33.1 30.6 32.7 31.4 24005 0.00 0.00 90 SUN 18Z 27-JAN 44.7 32.2 44.9 26.2 24006 0.00 0.00 11 MON 00Z 28-JAN 46.9 37.5 37.3 27.2 23003 0.00 0.00 0 MON 06Z 28-JAN 37.5 33.5 33.6 27.7 19006 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 28-JAN 33.7 32.0 32.2 27.6 19006 0.00 0.00 1 MON 18Z 28-JAN 50.6 31.8 50.7 30.7 20009 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 29-JAN 52.0 42.3 42.2 28.9 19007 0.00 0.00 63 TUE 06Z 29-JAN 43.5 41.7 42.0 33.0 20007 0.00 0.00 99 TUE 12Z 29-JAN 41.9 28.7 28.4 26.0 33007 0.05 0.02 100 TUE 18Z 29-JAN 28.4 17.2 17.0 9.5 32010 0.23 0.23 100 WED 00Z 30-JAN 18.8 14.8 14.7 2.2 31010 0.02 0.02 1 WED 06Z 30-JAN 14.7 7.4 7.5 -8.7 29005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 30-JAN 10.9 7.3 10.9 -4.8 26006 0.00 0.00 20 WED 18Z 30-JAN 26.3 10.8 26.6 3.5 24007 0.00 0.00 56 THU 00Z 31-JAN 32.9 26.5 28.1 14.7 22008 0.00 0.00 0 THU 06Z 31-JAN 29.9 27.6 29.6 18.7 24011 0.00 0.00 89 THU 12Z 31-JAN 30.3 21.1 21.3 11.3 33005 0.00 0.00 77 THU 18Z 31-JAN 27.5 19.4 27.6 1.7 30006 0.00 0.00 46 FRI 00Z 01-FEB 29.0 21.5 21.3 -1.3 32005 0.00 0.00 21 FRI 06Z 01-FEB 21.3 14.8 14.7 -12.5 34004 0.00 0.00 1 FRI 12Z 01-FEB 15.2 11.7 12.2 -18.3 02005 0.00 0.00 76 FRI 18Z 01-FEB 27.0 11.7 27.3 -10.8 35003 0.00 0.00 86 SAT 00Z 02-FEB 30.4 21.4 21.1 -1.2 36006 0.00 0.00 98 SAT 06Z 02-FEB 21.2 16.5 16.4 -1.5 03007 0.00 0.00 99 SAT 12Z 02-FEB 16.5 15.5 15.5 -2.1 04005 0.00 0.00 98 SAT 18Z 02-FEB 30.5 15.4 30.7 -1.2 03002 0.00 0.00 90 SUN 00Z 03-FEB 32.3 24.2 24.0 8.7 36006 0.01 0.01 100 SUN 06Z 03-FEB 24.0 19.4 19.4 10.4 00004 0.05 0.05 100 SUN 12Z 03-FEB 19.4 15.5 15.5 4.3 01005 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 18Z 03-FEB 32.8 15.1 33.1 6.0 01004 0.00 0.00 0 MON 00Z 04-FEB 36.7 24.8 24.4 6.8 34005 0.00 0.00 52 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: HSV LAT= 34.65 LON= -86.77 ELE= 643 12Z JAN25 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) FRI 12Z 25-JAN 27.2 23.1 34005 0.00 0.00 2 FRI 18Z 25-JAN 38.3 26.7 38.5 19.0 31003 0.00 0.00 60 SAT 00Z 26-JAN 40.7 32.8 32.9 20.8 30003 0.00 0.00 4 SAT 06Z 26-JAN 33.5 28.3 28.8 20.6 22005 0.00 0.00 1 SAT 12Z 26-JAN 31.8 28.1 30.6 22.5 26004 0.00 0.00 30 SAT 18Z 26-JAN 44.5 29.3 44.8 27.7 26003 0.00 0.00 54 SUN 00Z 27-JAN 47.7 39.9 39.8 31.9 22006 0.00 0.00 19 SUN 06Z 27-JAN 39.8 34.9 34.9 32.4 21006 0.00 0.00 1 SUN 12Z 27-JAN 34.9 31.7 31.5 29.7 23004 0.00 0.00 29 SUN 18Z 27-JAN 51.2 31.0 51.5 35.1 24005 0.00 0.00 42 MON 00Z 28-JAN 53.0 44.8 44.5 32.8 21004 0.00 0.00 24 MON 06Z 28-JAN 44.5 37.0 37.1 32.4 19006 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 28-JAN 37.2 34.5 34.5 32.2 19005 0.00 0.00 0 MON 18Z 28-JAN 55.1 34.2 55.3 34.8 20008 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 29-JAN 57.0 47.0 46.7 34.5 19007 0.00 0.00 17 TUE 06Z 29-JAN 46.9 44.9 45.4 35.7 20008 0.00 0.00 98 TUE 12Z 29-JAN 45.5 30.1 29.7 25.6 34010 0.06 0.04 100 TUE 18Z 29-JAN 29.7 22.5 23.2 12.8 32011 0.24 0.24 89 WED 00Z 30-JAN 24.9 19.7 19.5 5.6 31008 0.00 0.00 0 WED 06Z 30-JAN 19.5 9.3 10.8 0.5 21005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 30-JAN 15.0 8.6 12.0 2.5 24005 0.00 0.00 0 WED 18Z 30-JAN 35.2 11.3 35.5 14.4 23008 0.00 0.00 33 THU 00Z 31-JAN 39.5 32.9 32.9 21.0 21008 0.00 0.00 17 THU 06Z 31-JAN 33.0 31.5 32.1 22.2 22009 0.00 0.00 97 THU 12Z 31-JAN 32.2 25.7 25.9 21.9 26004 0.00 0.00 57 THU 18Z 31-JAN 36.7 25.3 36.7 23.9 35005 0.00 0.00 5 FRI 00Z 01-FEB 37.5 28.5 28.2 16.6 01006 0.00 0.00 17 FRI 06Z 01-FEB 28.3 24.4 24.5 9.0 02005 0.00 0.00 100 FRI 12Z 01-FEB 24.5 21.5 21.4 0.3 02006 0.02 0.02 95 FRI 18Z 01-FEB 27.0 20.8 27.2 1.0 01005 0.00 0.00 97 SAT 00Z 02-FEB 29.8 26.4 27.8 5.7 01006 0.00 0.00 97 SAT 06Z 02-FEB 27.8 24.0 24.0 6.2 01006 0.00 0.00 100 SAT 12Z 02-FEB 24.0 22.5 22.5 7.0 01006 0.00 0.00 99 SAT 18Z 02-FEB 33.2 22.2 33.5 12.1 02003 0.00 0.00 89 SUN 00Z 03-FEB 34.6 27.5 27.2 15.1 36007 0.02 0.02 100 SUN 06Z 03-FEB 27.2 20.1 19.9 14.4 35005 0.04 0.04 3 SUN 12Z 03-FEB 20.0 16.5 16.4 9.7 36005 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 18Z 03-FEB 33.7 15.7 34.1 10.1 35004 0.00 0.00 86 MON 00Z 04-FEB 37.8 26.3 25.9 11.1 32005 0.00 0.00 17 MON 06Z 04-FEB MON 12Z 04-FEB ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: CHA LAT= 35.03 LON= -85.20 ELE= 689 12Z JAN25 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) FRI 12Z 25-JAN 27.5 23.2 33005 0.00 0.00 21 FRI 18Z 25-JAN 37.1 27.0 37.3 16.0 30003 0.00 0.00 60 SAT 00Z 26-JAN 40.1 32.3 32.0 17.2 29005 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 06Z 26-JAN 32.5 26.9 27.1 17.6 20004 0.00 0.00 1 SAT 12Z 26-JAN 29.3 26.6 29.3 19.8 24004 0.00 0.00 45 SAT 18Z 26-JAN 42.3 28.1 42.6 24.0 28003 0.00 0.00 77 SUN 00Z 27-JAN 45.1 36.5 36.2 25.5 20005 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 27-JAN 36.2 32.5 32.5 28.6 21005 0.00 0.00 11 SUN 12Z 27-JAN 32.5 30.4 30.5 29.0 21003 0.00 0.00 38 SUN 18Z 27-JAN 48.6 30.4 48.9 32.9 26006 0.00 0.00 89 MON 00Z 28-JAN 50.7 40.7 41.0 31.6 24003 0.00 0.00 5 MON 06Z 28-JAN 41.4 34.9 34.8 30.9 19004 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 28-JAN 35.4 31.1 31.6 29.4 18004 0.00 0.00 7 MON 18Z 28-JAN 53.0 30.7 53.2 33.7 20006 0.00 0.00 1 TUE 00Z 29-JAN 54.7 45.1 45.0 32.0 20006 0.00 0.00 10 TUE 06Z 29-JAN 45.0 41.0 41.4 34.3 18006 0.00 0.00 98 TUE 12Z 29-JAN 41.6 38.6 38.5 35.2 25003 0.00 0.00 94 TUE 18Z 29-JAN 39.4 23.5 23.3 17.0 32009 0.36 0.32 99 WED 00Z 30-JAN 24.3 19.4 19.2 7.8 31009 0.04 0.04 34 WED 06Z 30-JAN 19.2 7.2 10.2 -5.5 30004 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 30-JAN 12.5 6.8 8.4 -3.1 20004 0.00 0.00 2 WED 18Z 30-JAN 31.5 6.9 31.9 11.7 24006 0.00 0.00 0 THU 00Z 31-JAN 36.5 29.4 29.3 17.7 20007 0.00 0.00 1 THU 06Z 31-JAN 29.4 27.2 27.4 20.7 21007 0.00 0.00 90 THU 12Z 31-JAN 27.6 24.5 24.6 20.0 24004 0.00 0.00 63 THU 18Z 31-JAN 37.9 23.9 38.0 24.4 29003 0.00 0.00 36 FRI 00Z 01-FEB 39.7 28.6 28.3 16.2 36004 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 06Z 01-FEB 28.3 20.2 21.0 6.1 01005 0.00 0.00 89 FRI 12Z 01-FEB 22.0 20.2 20.4 -0.6 02006 0.00 0.00 96 FRI 18Z 01-FEB 30.1 19.6 30.4 -0.1 02004 0.00 0.00 85 SAT 00Z 02-FEB 32.8 27.8 27.7 8.5 02004 0.00 0.00 96 SAT 06Z 02-FEB 27.8 23.3 23.4 6.4 03006 0.00 0.00 100 SAT 12Z 02-FEB 23.4 21.4 21.4 6.5 04005 0.00 0.00 100 SAT 18Z 02-FEB 30.9 21.3 31.1 15.5 04002 0.01 0.01 97 SUN 00Z 03-FEB 31.8 27.2 27.2 22.8 35002 0.06 0.06 99 SUN 06Z 03-FEB 27.3 23.6 23.6 18.7 00004 0.07 0.07 100 SUN 12Z 03-FEB 23.6 16.5 16.5 12.1 35005 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 18Z 03-FEB 34.1 16.0 34.4 15.9 00004 0.00 0.00 0 MON 00Z 04-FEB 37.9 28.9 29.1 16.1 01004 0.00 0.00 0 MON 06Z 04-FEB 29.2 19.1 20.4 9.8 01004 0.00 0.00 83 MON 12Z 04-FEB ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TRI LAT= 36.47 LON= -82.40 ELE= 1519 12Z JAN25 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) FRI 12Z 25-JAN 26.8 21.2 27007 0.00 0.00 90 FRI 18Z 25-JAN 32.4 26.8 32.5 9.8 28007 0.00 0.00 1 SAT 00Z 26-JAN 34.1 26.4 26.1 12.6 22005 0.00 0.00 29 SAT 06Z 26-JAN 26.2 23.6 24.4 12.0 22004 0.00 0.00 86 SAT 12Z 26-JAN 24.8 23.2 24.4 11.4 23004 0.00 0.00 67 SAT 18Z 26-JAN 37.0 24.5 37.2 15.2 26010 0.00 0.00 89 SUN 00Z 27-JAN 39.1 30.2 30.2 18.2 22006 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 27-JAN 30.3 27.0 27.2 17.5 18003 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 27-JAN 29.8 26.5 29.7 20.1 23005 0.00 0.00 67 SUN 18Z 27-JAN 39.7 29.7 39.8 26.3 25007 0.00 0.00 100 MON 00Z 28-JAN 41.3 34.0 33.9 25.3 20004 0.00 0.00 0 MON 06Z 28-JAN 34.1 27.7 28.5 23.7 16002 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 28-JAN 29.3 26.7 27.4 23.1 13003 0.00 0.00 0 MON 18Z 28-JAN 49.3 27.0 49.4 24.5 21005 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 29-JAN 50.4 36.6 36.6 27.0 18004 0.00 0.00 1 TUE 06Z 29-JAN 37.1 33.6 34.5 27.0 17005 0.00 0.00 96 TUE 12Z 29-JAN 36.1 33.7 35.4 27.9 16003 0.00 0.00 99 TUE 18Z 29-JAN 41.7 35.3 40.2 34.6 26005 0.01 0.00 100 WED 00Z 30-JAN 40.2 19.4 19.0 13.0 29008 0.35 0.32 97 WED 06Z 30-JAN 19.0 8.4 8.1 -4.5 28011 0.01 0.01 8 WED 12Z 30-JAN 8.1 5.3 5.6 -6.6 27010 0.00 0.00 3 WED 18Z 30-JAN 19.1 5.6 19.4 0.6 26010 0.00 0.00 21 THU 00Z 31-JAN 22.7 18.0 19.2 8.6 19003 0.00 0.00 86 THU 06Z 31-JAN 27.6 18.0 27.6 15.9 24011 0.00 0.00 40 THU 12Z 31-JAN 29.4 23.0 22.6 16.5 29009 0.01 0.01 98 THU 18Z 31-JAN 27.3 19.9 27.5 8.9 26009 0.01 0.01 42 FRI 00Z 01-FEB 29.0 20.2 19.8 3.0 31007 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 06Z 01-FEB 19.8 11.4 12.1 -8.9 26004 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 12Z 01-FEB 13.0 7.8 8.0 -15.7 26004 0.00 0.00 69 FRI 18Z 01-FEB 25.8 7.3 26.1 -8.4 27004 0.00 0.00 37 SAT 00Z 02-FEB 29.4 20.3 20.3 -1.4 30004 0.00 0.00 4 SAT 06Z 02-FEB 21.3 11.8 12.3 -4.0 04006 0.00 0.00 96 SAT 12Z 02-FEB 12.8 10.5 11.8 -5.1 04005 0.00 0.00 91 SAT 18Z 02-FEB 31.7 11.6 32.0 2.3 02000 0.00 0.00 99 SUN 00Z 03-FEB 34.4 27.9 27.9 8.1 00004 0.00 0.00 98 SUN 06Z 03-FEB 28.1 22.0 21.9 9.9 07002 0.01 0.01 100 SUN 12Z 03-FEB 22.4 18.1 19.0 7.5 04003 0.01 0.01 7 SUN 18Z 03-FEB 34.5 16.4 34.8 5.5 34002 0.00 0.00 0 MON 00Z 04-FEB 38.7 26.8 26.6 6.8 01004 0.00 0.00 30 MON 06Z 04-FEB 27.2 18.2 18.4 3.6 05002 0.00 0.00 33 MON 12Z 04-FEB ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: TYS LAT= 35.82 LON= -83.98 ELE= 981 12Z JAN25 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) FRI 12Z 25-JAN 28.4 22.1 27005 0.00 0.00 79 FRI 18Z 25-JAN 33.7 26.6 33.9 11.8 28002 0.00 0.00 0 SAT 00Z 26-JAN 35.9 27.4 27.7 15.8 18004 0.00 0.00 29 SAT 06Z 26-JAN 28.0 24.7 26.5 14.5 20004 0.00 0.00 48 SAT 12Z 26-JAN 28.1 25.8 27.5 16.3 22004 0.00 0.00 57 SAT 18Z 26-JAN 39.4 27.1 39.6 21.1 25006 0.00 0.00 69 SUN 00Z 27-JAN 41.3 33.6 33.7 21.9 17006 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 06Z 27-JAN 34.1 30.9 31.3 23.0 21005 0.00 0.00 0 SUN 12Z 27-JAN 32.0 30.6 31.7 29.1 22004 0.00 0.00 62 SUN 18Z 27-JAN 44.8 31.6 45.0 29.8 25007 0.00 0.00 96 MON 00Z 28-JAN 47.1 38.4 38.2 29.9 21004 0.00 0.00 8 MON 06Z 28-JAN 38.3 30.3 30.5 26.5 19004 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 28-JAN 31.7 29.3 29.8 26.7 14004 0.00 0.00 2 MON 18Z 28-JAN 50.6 28.8 50.9 32.0 22006 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 29-JAN 53.0 43.4 43.3 29.1 21006 0.00 0.00 1 TUE 06Z 29-JAN 43.3 39.2 39.7 30.1 20005 0.00 0.00 99 TUE 12Z 29-JAN 40.7 39.4 39.4 33.5 22004 0.00 0.00 98 TUE 18Z 29-JAN 40.5 26.5 26.5 21.2 31007 0.19 0.16 100 WED 00Z 30-JAN 26.5 17.9 17.9 10.1 29005 0.23 0.23 76 WED 06Z 30-JAN 17.9 2.7 3.0 -7.5 24004 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 30-JAN 7.5 0.4 7.2 -2.2 21005 0.00 0.00 51 WED 18Z 30-JAN 23.5 7.2 23.8 6.7 23007 0.00 0.00 29 THU 00Z 31-JAN 31.6 23.8 28.6 15.8 22009 0.00 0.00 0 THU 06Z 31-JAN 29.4 28.0 28.9 19.3 23011 0.00 0.00 65 THU 12Z 31-JAN 29.7 27.7 27.5 21.1 29005 0.00 0.00 98 THU 18Z 31-JAN 30.4 25.3 30.6 15.5 27005 0.00 0.00 49 FRI 00Z 01-FEB 31.8 20.3 20.3 8.4 31004 0.00 0.00 7 FRI 06Z 01-FEB 22.9 10.6 13.8 -1.6 06002 0.00 0.00 0 FRI 12Z 01-FEB 16.9 5.6 8.6 -4.0 03003 0.00 0.00 62 FRI 18Z 01-FEB 26.2 8.4 26.4 2.5 35002 0.00 0.00 87 SAT 00Z 02-FEB 28.8 18.3 21.4 3.0 03005 0.00 0.00 81 SAT 06Z 02-FEB 21.4 16.5 16.8 2.5 03004 0.00 0.00 100 SAT 12Z 02-FEB 17.8 16.1 16.7 3.3 03003 0.00 0.00 99 SAT 18Z 02-FEB 28.2 16.6 28.3 9.9 01002 0.00 0.00 98 SUN 00Z 03-FEB 30.7 25.7 25.8 14.6 35003 0.02 0.02 98 SUN 06Z 03-FEB 25.8 20.7 20.6 14.2 36003 0.05 0.05 99 SUN 12Z 03-FEB 20.7 12.7 12.2 6.9 03003 0.01 0.01 3 SUN 18Z 03-FEB 31.6 11.1 31.9 15.1 01003 0.00 0.00 0 MON 00Z 04-FEB 34.7 24.9 25.2 11.4 02003 0.00 0.00 37 MON 06Z 04-FEB 25.9 14.2 17.4 4.7 06003 0.00 0.00 28 MON 12Z 04-FEB 19.9 13.3 18.0 6.1 06002 0.00 0.00 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 23 minutes ago, Stovepipe said: My thoughts exactly!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMZ8990 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 34 minutes ago, nrgjeff said: PS. A thread for Tuesday is probably justified. Done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathertree4u Posted January 26, 2019 Share Posted January 26, 2019 Seems like modeling is losing the ferocity of the polar vortex next week; just seems to be cold around the great lakes then a little below elsewhere imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted January 27, 2019 Share Posted January 27, 2019 Closing this now that the medium range is in Feb.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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