Snowlover11 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 down to 6F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 You know its cold when a bottle of Coke left outside explodes. I believe that is a 5 or 6F underneath all that frozen soda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 Current temp now down to 6 here. Brutal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 3 below zero in highland lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 5 degrees now in Brooklyn Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Could be worse Tonight Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around -23. Wind chill values as low as -72. Very windy, with a northwest wind 85 to 90 mph increasing to 95 to 100 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 130 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 4th greatest January calendar day temperature drop on record for Islip. High of 51 and low of 14 on Jan 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 -3 currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Wind chill of -15 here Brutal to walk outside Upstate NY and New England has worse with the snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 For those with the chance of check 2M temp guidance... take a look at current GFS vs EC 2m temp fcsts (this has also been the history of both models for this event). Looks to me like the EC has outperformed the GFS in morning lows NYC-AVP and i think will be a winner with todays afternoon high when temps don't rise much more than 8F from the 730AM lows. This because of the maximized cold pool, 500MB down to the sfc, represented by the -24C 850MB temp at 18z/21. Also, I've noticed arctic chill is like molasses and it tends to trail the coldest air aloft. MAX today in CP might only be 14F. A chilly day...not necessarily a big deal for most of us (its winter), except utilities use explicitly accurate hourly or 3 hourly temp fcsts for ensuring everyone has heat and fuel, including industry. For sure splitting the difference between the EC/GFS 2 m temp was an improvement, upon the GFS alone. Revising this: now that its % in CP and -2 here Wantage...this is ECMWF op run after op run superiority upon the GFS 2m temps from AVP to NYC for sure... I see there EC 2m temps best on weather.us (subscriber). In any case, I now think that NYC will be hard pressed to exceed 13F this afternoon. (8F rise form this mornings low). Updated 721A/21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 5 below zero now in HL snow dust crystals falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 5 at CPK - there you have it for those wondering if it would be reached. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: 5 at CPK - there you have it for those wondering if it would be reached. Can anyone remember the last time NYC had over 1.00” of rain followed by a drop to 5 or lower the next day? County... Central Park 1.17 1251 PM 1/20 ASOS Central Park MOCLDY 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Down to 6. Feels like -17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 4.2 so far in Syosset. Windchill -13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 5 here. Brutal out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 7 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 4.5 here. Dowm to 5 at Wantagh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 41 minutes ago, wdrag said: For those with the chance of check 2M temp guidance... take a look at current GFS vs EC 2m temp fcsts (this has also been the history of both models for this event). Looks to me like the EC has outperformed the GFS in morning lows NYC-AVP and i think will be a winner with todays afternoon high when temps don't rise much more than 8F from the 730AM lows. This because of the maximized cold pool, 500MB down to the sfc, represented by the -24C 850MB temp at 18z/21. Also, I've noticed arctic chill is like molasses and it tends to trail the coldest air aloft. MAX today in CP might only be 14F. A chilly day...not necessarily a big deal for most of us (its winter), except utilities use explicitly accurate hourly or 3 hourly temp fcsts for ensuring everyone has heat and fuel, including industry. For sure splitting the difference between the EC/GFS 2 m temp was an improvement, upon the GFS alone. Revising this: now that its % in CP and -2 here Wantage...this is ECMWF op run after op run superiority upon the GFS 2m temps from AVP to NYC for sure... I see there EC 2m temps best on weather.us (subscriber). In any case, I now think that NYC will be hard pressed to exceed 13F this afternoon. (8F rise form this mornings low). Updated 721A/21. Jesus, you’re good. I hope there’s a way for someone with your skills to get paid by energy traders or whatnot in a consulting capacity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Next 8 days averaging 28degs., or 4degs. BN Month to date is +2.1[34.5]. Should be +0.3[32.6] by the 29th. First days of Feb. are still AN, when yesterday they were the opposite. EURO is 9" of Snow for the next 10 days(really just the 29th.). GEFS is at least a 60% chance of 10" by Feb. 6. Low here so far (7:45am) is +5.5*. Bottomed at +5.1*(7:53am). Took until exactly Noon to reach 10*. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 21, 2019 Author Share Posted January 21, 2019 The temp has now dropped to 4 here. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 -2....it's not terrible until the wind blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 3 degrees now Temperature has been dropping all morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 37 minutes ago, Drz1111 said: Jesus, you’re good. I hope there’s a way for someone with your skills to get paid by energy traders or whatnot in a consulting capacity. I think he works for NWS ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 2 degrees in New City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Imagine if the NYC had snow ? Temps would probably be below 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Looks like 6°F will do it here as the temperature has started rising. Ironically, this is about the average annual minimum temperature. Average temperatures have turned the corner and are now rising from this point forward, though it’s winter and anything can (and will) happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 5* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 14 minutes ago, Dan76 said: I think he works for NWS ? retired March 31, 2018. Still trying to remain relevant and pass on info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 winters coldest max...days with a max 19 or lower...or lowest of the season...Central Park NYC... Year..... days max... 2017-18...5....13 2016-17...0....23 2015-16...1....15 2014-15...1....19 2013-14...3....17 2012-13...0....20 2011-12...0....27. 2010-11...0....23. 2009-10...0....20 2008-09...1....16 2007-08...0....20 2006-07...1....18 2005-06...0....24 2004-05...2....18 2003-04...4....15 2002-03...1....15 2001-02...0....31 2000-01...0....25 1999-00...1....19 1998-99...0....25. 1997-98...0....29. 1996-97...1....17 1995-96...3....17 1994-95...0....20 1993-94...5....10 1992-93...0....27 1991-92...0....23 1990-91...0....20 1989-90...1....18 1988-89...0....20. 1987-88...1....17 1986-87...1....19 1985-86...0....22 1984-85...1......9 1983-84...3....13 1982-83...0....21 1981-82...6....15 1980-81...3....14 1979-80...0....21 1978-79...6....13 1977-78...0....21 1976-77...5....12 1975-76...2....15 1974-75...0....27 1973-74...0....22 1972-73...1....18. 1971-72...1....15 1970-71...4....12 1969-70...3....14 1968-69...0....22 1967-68...4....13 1966-67...1....16 1965-66...1....19 1964-65...3....16 1963-64...0....22 1962-63...1....13 1961-62...0....24 1960-61...2....19 1959-60...0....23 1958-59...0....22 1957-58...2....10 1956-57...1....12 1955-56...1....18 1954-55...1....17 1953-54...0....21 1952-53...0....29. 1951-52...0....20 1950-51...0....20 1949-50...0....22 1948-49...0....22. 1947-48...2....18. ...................................................................... 1942-43...2......8. 1935-36...4....16 1934-35...5....16 1933-34...6......8. 1917-18.12......2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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