ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle? Late coming out today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle? Lots of people been saying that recently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Ya just like today was 2-4 and then 1-3, and you were saying nothing has changed. You might want to practice a little restraint with these calls...they've been way off of late. They get a rise out of you every time as you can’t resist me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 12Z GEFS look more amplified than the OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Gefs is alot more amplified than the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: Gefs is alot more amplified than the op And the op was better to begin with, we have legs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, TheCloser24 said: 12Z GEFS look more amplified than the OP. Trended N, too, so there's also that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HimoorWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 22 minutes ago, weathafella said: Uncle? Late night at the pub? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Need the queen to back these moves come post lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 A good mount of amped up gefs members in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A good mount of amped up gefs members in there. It would be awesome to score a decent event before the onset of the best pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It would be awesome to score a decent event before the onset of the best pattern. It sure would....even a few inches would go along way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 28 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Late coming out today. Brexit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScituateWX Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: It would be awesome to score a decent event before the onset of the best pattern. A few inches of snow would go a long way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: A good mount of amped up gefs members in there. Very good to hear that We certainly have potential for moderate still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 FV3 late today, too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Very good to hear that We certainly have potential for moderate still I’ll take this at d5/6 if it has a clue, obv: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 There it is... the inevitable ensemble carpet surfacing phenomenon... scouring for that "nugorshard" That's what urban dictionary refers to for that accidental rock discard of crack that an addict scours the carpet hoping to find ... A kernel big enough to get 'em high during withdrawals. I say we indoctrinate that expression to mean the denial phase of a storm loss ... Example: " ... The community took a collective sigh of relief during the nugorshard phase of the modeling debacle when a new model threat appeared..." Only eeks... That is a god aweful GFS run after the 13th... I mean really - must NCEP parameterize the model to not storm? amazing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: I’ll take this at d5/6 if it has a clue, obv: I like the way those contours are pointing NNE what site shows those individual members , would like to see the 144/156 for southern slower ensembles as well off Delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 19 minutes ago, HimoorWx said: Late night at the pub? Uncle attended one of those family gatherings where he's going to be the last one to leave but then you find him passed out on your coach the next morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Uncle attended one of those family gatherings where he's going to be the last one to leave but then you find him passed out on your coach the next morning. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I like the way those contours are pointing NNE what site shows those individual members , would like to see the 144/156 for southern slower ensembles as well off Delmarva PSU ewall maybe? that site is hard on mobile though, TT just easier to check while taking a potty at work. 138: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 GEFS looks take it inside of the BM and just off of ACK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEFS looks take it inside of the BM and just off of ACK. Sorta impressed to see w gfs se bias But day 5.5 or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEFS looks take it inside of the BM and just off of ACK. I think the color toning toward yellow is probably the bigger take away too - one of the big ones anyway... It's the spread - ...showing the uncertainty is vectored - in this case ... - toward a semblance of greater impact. Thing is, that product strikes me as "place holders" for a bigger deal - ...boy, the real culprit, the more I look things over, is that abandonment of the N/stream ... Basically, ... a "Christiner" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Sorta impressed to see w gfs se bias But day 5.5 or so Yea, it caught my attention....that's all. A bit more interested in the EURO now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: I think the color toning toward yellow is probably the bigger take away too - one of the big ones anyway... It's the spread - ...showing the uncertainty is vectored - in this case ... - toward a semblance of greater impact. Thing is, that product strikes me as "place holders" for a bigger deal - ...boy, the real culprit, the more I look things over, is that abandonment of the N/stream ... Basically, ... a "Christiner" Basically, the models have gone from a full phase to a non-phaser and instead the northern stream provides the cold air injection and leaves the southern stream disturbance enough room to amplify up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: GEFS looks take it inside of the BM and just off of ACK. One of my favorite tracks right there for big snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: I think the color toning toward yellow is probably the bigger take away too - one of the big ones anyway... It's the spread - ...showing the uncertainty is vectored - in this case ... - toward a semblance of greater impact. Thing is, that product strikes me as "place holders" for a bigger deal - ...boy, the real culprit, the more I look things over, is that abandonment of the N/stream ... Basically, ... a "Christiner" Totally anecdotal, but we are perilously close to the point when the overall tenor of this season should pull a complete 180, so always have to be on guard that this is the gateway system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, dryslot said: One of my favorite tracks right there for big snow. I don't want any more rain, I have about .03" of snow this winter, all four events were the same .01 of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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