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January 2019 Discussion


40/70 Benchmark

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Enough! Hopefully the extended pans out.

The precipitation forecast trends drier than normal for much of the CONUS, tied to the anticipated ridge-trough pattern helping to keep the Pacific jet away from the West coast, while the trough over the East imports continental polar airmasses that are relatively dry. One exception is above-normal precipitation being favored from the Gulf Coast through Mid-Atlantic .

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/

rain.jpg

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5 minutes ago, 8611Blizz said:

Inactivity really hasn't been much of a problem this winter.  Two rainstorms a week for the previous two months or so has me a little sick of the activity honestly.  But I do know what you mean...

True. I'm just hoping we keep the active pattern with more cold to work with. But it has been absurdly wet since mid summer.

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3 hours ago, kdxken said:

Enough! Hopefully the extended pans out.

The precipitation forecast trends drier than normal for much of the CONUS, tied to the anticipated ridge-trough pattern helping to keep the Pacific jet away from the West coast, while the trough over the East imports continental polar airmasses that are relatively dry. One exception is above-normal precipitation being favored from the Gulf Coast through Mid-Atlantic .

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/

rain.jpg

That photo makes all the angst about SNE winter weather look worth it.  Man that's fugly for January.  Hoping you guys can come out of this next one white.

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5 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said:

0z GFS close to a biggie for next Sunday. 

Some of the main players are on the table. 50/50 low, strong HP nosing in, rich southern stream. Northern stream so close to dropping in before it exits. If that western ridging was just a little further west...maybe it would give this trough more time to go negative off the EC. 

Okay, that’s enough dissection of a D8 threat.  

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