Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, DavisStraight said: Im surprised James hasn't been on that. He was but Ray went postal on him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 13, 2019 Author Share Posted January 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: He was but Ray went postal on him He won't get crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: He won't get crap. He got a lot from you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Cowgirls are done, good riddance. I see what you’re saying Ray. Our best bet is stalling the front a bit on sat/sun. For now, the streams are out of sync, pushed east or huggy. Scooter mentioned this couple days ago. Still, it’s a system worth micro analyzing as we head theough next week with lots of qpf to offer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 14 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Im surprised James hasn't been on that. I think he may have started a storm thread about the how many flakes are going to make it to the Cape. He might be posting to himself in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 11 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: I think he may have started a storm thread about the how many flakes are going to make it to the Cape. He might be posting to himself in there. Scooter may chime in w James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 30 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Cowgirls are done, good riddance. I see what you’re saying Ray. Our best bet is stalling the front a bit on sat/sun. For now, the streams are out of sync, pushed east or huggy. Scooter mentioned this couple days ago. Still, it’s a system worth micro analyzing as we head theough next week with lots of qpf to offer. 17f Fire up the snow gun @ Jerry’s I’ll allow that to lift u fellas off the shnide Gonna need some luck and a very good pattern ...like a snow slide off Jerry’s roof where he puts his ruler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Sunny, cool and dry week ahead. Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 The radar is brutal right now. The snow is so close to NYC but it's hitting a brick wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 12 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The radar is brutal right now. The snow is so close to NYC but it's hitting a brick wall. The models that show snow reaching SE MA and RI are the ones that show the snow rebuilding after 12z tomorrow morning as the coastal low takes shape the H7 low closes off and the push northward begins, most guidance is split right down the middle, half show heavy snow, the other half show no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I will start a new thread soon for the event tomorrow evening into Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 14 minutes ago, Snow88 said: The radar is brutal right now. The snow is so close to NYC but it's hitting a brick wall. Looking at it yesterday and today you would think we get a piece of it, but not this year so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: Looking at it yesterday and today you would think we get a piece of it, but not this year so far. This is bringing me flashbacks of 2/5/10 ( with the cutoff ) but at least i got 2 inches from that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: This is bringing me flashbacks of 2/5/10 ( with the cutoff ) but at least i got 2 inches from that storm. I think you should receive a few inches, looking at the short range guidance, the SREFs have a good handle at H5, let's see tomorrow how the H7 level reacts if the H7 low closes off earlier than we can guarantee we see heavy snows. Also if dew points are rising tomorrow morning, we can also say virga won't be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: I think you should receive a few inches, looking at the short range guidance, the SREFs have a good handle at H5, let's see tomorrow how the H7 level reacts if the H7 low closes off earlier than we can guarantee we see heavy snows. Also if dew points are rising tomorrow morning, we can also say virga won't be an issue. I don't think the system will trend enough north for my area to get 2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, Snow88 said: I don't think the system will trend enough north for my area to get 2 inches. How far north are you from Long Island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: How far north are you from Long Island? Lol, he lives in Brooklyn. That IS Long Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Lol, he lives in Brooklyn. That IS Long Island. Oh, I am not familiar with NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Anything is on the table, past behavior doesnt predict future outcomes in the chaotic nature of weather when it comes down to what is really mesoscale on a hemispheric basis. In other news HRRR gives ACK 2 to 3 big jump North west Both the 3 km NAM and the RGEM show OES for Monday for much of E and SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 9 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Both the 3 km NAM and the RGEM show OES for Monday for much of E and SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Beggars can't be choosers. We take whatever flakes we can get these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 22 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Beggars can't be choosers. We take whatever flakes we can get these days. You see the 3z RAP??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Wow the CMC Buries everyone next weekend. I would kill for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Powderboy413 said: Wow the CMC Buries everyone next weekend. I would kill for that Sign me up for that bullseye. I know it's the CMC, but that solution makes more sense than the GFS to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 I like the 80s vibe on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like the 80s vibe on the gfs. It is trying to find any way possible for it not to snow in Boston. LOL Meanwhile CMC going big with 30 hours of snow next weekend. I'm concerned we get a 1040 H sitting over Burlington Vt on Sunday saying congrats S Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 The setup is insanely complicated. The semi SWFE at 120-144 has an impact on the big storm after. Meanwhile the SWFE is likely impacted itself by the Quebec clipper from 72-96 and how that maybe sets up a 50-50. Won’t have a clue for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 Yeah that thing in 5 days could drop a couple or 3. The GEFS look good on the mean next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I like the 80s vibe on the gfs. Yes but at least the Mid-Atlantic will get snow, they're always the ones that get skunked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2019 Share Posted January 13, 2019 10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: It is trying to find any way possible for it not to snow in Boston. LOL Meanwhile CMC going big with 30 hours of snow next weekend. I'm concerned we get a 1040 H sitting over Burlington Vt on Sunday saying congrats S Jersey. What I like about the CMC solution is the large high stretching from MN to just N of ME. It moves E, keeping the storm moving E as well. The high finally starts to recede later Sunday allowing the system to turn to the NE. But like it's been this winter so far, we have to thread the needle again. This solution is going to keep changing back and forth, as we go from ecstasy to melting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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