wxsniss Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Yeah funny, this run exactly counters what I had just posted... The scooter streak is weaker, allowing the southern system to get more north. Later, there is some interaction via a very weirdly shaped trough. That lagging northern stream energy is disjointed from the rest of the system that is already OTS. Strange run. Different evolution... lots of different ways to get 0 impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 One more tick. We’re at least going in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:11 PM, wxsniss said: Yeah funny, this run exactly counters what I had just posted... The scooter streak is weaker, allowing the southern system to get more north. Later, there is some interaction via a very weirdly shaped trough. That lagging northern stream energy is disjointed from the rest of the system that is already OTS. Strange run. Different evolution... lots of different ways to get 0 impact. Expand I think some eps members showed that too. You can see the hangback of LP. I wouldn’t want to hang my hat on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:10 PM, CoastalWx said: Funny the tail end of that ULL down south tries to curl in enough and PVA tries for a hangback or redevelopment of low pressure way down south. Expand I feel like there were more than a couple of the EPS members that actually have accumulating snow Monday into Tuesday. I would assume that they were also seeing this as a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:23 PM, CoastalWx said: I think some eps members showed that too. You can see the hangback of LP. I wouldn’t want to hang my hat on that. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Para gfs is also further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dpb1983 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:29 PM, Snow88 said: Para gfs is also further north Expand I thought Para GFS missed lunch today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 7:51 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Expand I never got a foot...maybe 8 inches.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:29 PM, Snow88 said: Para gfs is also further north Expand What Para gfs? only goes out to 6z lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:35 PM, leo2000 said: What Para gfs? only goes out to 6z lol. Expand 18z para gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:36 PM, Snow88 said: 18z para gfs Expand on Tropical tidbits I ain't getting 12z and 18z only 00z and 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:38 PM, leo2000 said: on Tropical tidbits I ain't getting 12z and 18z only 00z and 6z. Expand Ncep site I am just going by what some posters are saying in the Mid Atlantic subforum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dpb1983 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:38 PM, leo2000 said: on Tropical tidbits I ain't getting 12z and 18z only 00z and 6z. Expand Money for the wall or no more weather models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:49 PM, Snow88 said: Para https://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php Expand That link gives me a blank screen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: That link gives me a blank screen. Expand Then you create your own solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 10:51 PM, ORH_wxman said: That link gives me a blank screen. Expand And there isn’t even the FV3 on that site from what I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:10 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: And there isn’t even the FV3 on that site from what I see. Expand If you go to GFS I believe it’s the FV3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:13 PM, SnowGoose69 said: If you go to GFS I believe it’s the FV3 Expand It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:10 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: And there isn’t even the FV3 on that site from what I see. Expand That's the para Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Welp there goes that theory of it not running because of the government shutdown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Looks like the regular gfs to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Looks like GEFS are still have decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:21 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Looks like the regular gfs to me. Expand The other sites have the two separate and the fv3 comes out later too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Maybe NCEP saw those recent GFS scores and just said “F it, throw the FV3 in.” Kinda like how Buffalo did with Peterman half of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Weenies desperate for a solution...pretty funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dpb1983 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 https://www.weather.gov/news/fv3 I thought this was interesting, talk about trying to sell an inferior program. Isn’t this model supposed to completely replace the 30 year old GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:26 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like GEFS are still have decent. Expand IPAs tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:28 PM, dryslot said: The other sites have the two separate and the fv3 comes out later too. Expand Exactly! If you compare the NCEP site GFS with Tropical Tidbits GFS you could overlay them for a perfect match. As I posted earlier, there is no staff working in the Modeling Center to make such a change, and there has been no communication from NCEP that any change has taken place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:37 PM, Hoth said: IPAs tonight? Expand No, kids FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 On 1/8/2019 at 11:38 PM, 78Blizzard said: Exactly! If you compare the NCEP site GFS with Tropical Tidbits GFS you could overlay them for a perfect match. As I posted earlier, there is no staff working in the Modeling Center to make such a change, and there has been no communication from NCEP that any change has taken place. Expand Chris (GYX) said its implementation is delayed at least another month because of the shutdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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