Typhoon Tip Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:18 PM, dryslot said: I was referencing NNE/CNE with those numbers, I certainly would not be that bold down in SNE right now, Some of this looks pretty warm the further south you go as the SLP tracks pretty far north initially, And i agree, There is upside potential if we can reverse this current trend but i would think at this point, Some areas, Pike north "could" pull 1-3" in the first s/w if it trends a tad colder as it stands. Expand Ha ha! ... riiight. Yeah that changes the landscape a little, huh. Up there we got other things to consider - it's kind of low-grade Mountain Meteorological consideration at all times, but enough so to matter. Sorry I don't have immediate familiarization of where other's hale from... even if it is written in their avatar region. That's because I'm an asshole... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 2:14 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: I was certainly not excited by overnight runs. Still looks best N of here. Expand Yup. We remain checked out. All I see is places a little further south will be in the game, but nowhere near here anytime soon. Winter is meh. Another rain event on Jan 5th. I’d rather it just be 60 and sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:23 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Ha ha! ... riiight. Yeah that changes the landscape a little, huh. Up there we got other things to consider - it's kind of low-grade Mountain Meteorological consideration at all times, but enough so to matter. Sorry I don't have immediate familiarization of where other's hale from... even if it is written in their avatar region. That's because I'm an asshole... Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:19 PM, Typhoon Tip said: I mentioned this earlier .. but, I don't think it likely ...particularly in the American cluster as an afterthought, the mid week would improve through the daylight hours of runs. Hopefully I'm wrong... I hate to see people frustrated ... it would be nice to give them a nice deliciously modeled dystopic bomb at all times... but, here in reality I'm wondering what's being sampled over the Pac south of Alaska. Expand Yeah, I mean it was kind of a low confidence thing too. We'll see what 12z brings. For me personally, a little -SN would just be nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 If it's any consolation, I was just in the mode of hoping for any kind of snow/frozen after basically nothing since November. Finally got some Thursday and about half my yard is still coated. So, hopefully the trends will continue to move the better chances from north to south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Might be a couple of SHSN or a squall tomorrow aftn in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuildingScienceWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:21 PM, EastonSN+ said: Are we in Phase 7 already? Expand Yes, really moving now huh? Spent weeks in phases 4 and 5, but less than 48 hours in phase 7 lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 2:40 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Would it be another 1-3” deal? Expand I dunno If we can handle another Like we saw last year? was obvious yesterday this was going the way of fraud. Mon.nite is garbage and back side of trough energy rarely pans out especially with the difficulty models have modeling in extremely fast flow until the flow slows down and there is buckling and traffic in the N Atlantic there will be no confidence and wild swings w anything 3.5 days out (plus) and would be cool if that was kept it mind maybe N SNE sees an inch tues am and CNE 2-3”. Seems possible if not likely even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 12z GFS spitting out a couple inches here tonight, Usually its warm, I think i'm selling on that as it comes down to cold getting in here while the precip is falling, Maybe some mangled paws though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:43 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: I dunno If we can handle another Like we saw last year? was obvious yesterday this was going the way of fraud. Mon.nite is garbage and back side of trough energy rarely pans out especially with the difficulty models have modeling in extremely fast flow until the flow slows down and there is buckling and traffic in the N Atlantic there will be no confidence and wild swings w anything 3.5 days out (plus) and would be cool if that was kept it mind Expand Good post! Very good to keep In mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 12z GFS a bit more potent with the energy for the second low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Congrats to MPM today for being the QPF jackpot for a January storm, too bad it's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Lol. Y'all are brutal. Kevin meant "another" 1-3" in the context of getting 1-3" Tuesday morning and then round two on Wednesday gives another 1-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2019 Author Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 7:54 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: For rain QPF?? Expand Yes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:53 PM, CoastalWx said: 12z GFS a bit more potent with the energy for the second low. Expand Little better look @H5 with that s/w as it looks to be a few tics further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Started a thread...in many winters this would not even warrant one. Maybe we can begin to turn the page... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Hmm..what do we have here at hr 96. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 That would be a nice hit on part two for some in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:56 PM, ORH_wxman said: Lol. Y'all are brutal. Kevin meant "another" 1-3" in the context of getting 1-3" Tuesday morning and then round two on Wednesday gives another 1-3". Expand Debbie’s and Nancy’s all over these boards this morning. What a bipolar thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:58 PM, CoastalWx said: Hmm..what do we have here at hr 96. Expand Right on your head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:42 PM, BuildingScienceWx said: Yes, really moving now huh? Spent weeks in phases 4 and 5, but less than 48 hours in phase 7 lmao Expand This is exactly what we do not want. IF its correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:01 PM, dryslot said: Right on your head. Expand Swings a batch of decent snows south. I'd take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:02 PM, CoastalWx said: Swings a batch of decent snows south. I'd take it. Expand A closed H5 vortmax right over James. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:02 PM, CoastalWx said: Swings a batch of decent snows south. I'd take it. Expand What would u put the odds of advisory snows at ...right now from this one ...so ppl don’t become carried away. 20-30%? Closer to 20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Nice weenie IVT on gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 Canadian tries to show this too. Ukie and euro will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:04 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: What would u put the odds of advisory snows at ...right now from this one ...so ppl don’t become carried away. 20-30%? Expand for part one? Seems low. Maybe 1-2 with a spot 3 near NH or VT border. Second part seems highly questionable and could change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 GFS would be 6-8" over the two days up here for both parts total, We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 3:42 PM, BuildingScienceWx said: Yes, really moving now huh? Spent weeks in phases 4 and 5, but less than 48 hours in phase 7 lmao Expand 8 is our money. Based o tips chart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2019 Share Posted January 5, 2019 On 1/5/2019 at 4:07 PM, CoastalWx said: for part one? Seems low. Maybe 1-2 with a spot 3 near NH or VT border. Second part seems highly questionable and could change. Expand What amount is advisory ? WWA in non ice storm i was thinking more part deux of this thing .....part 1 ....most realists would be thrilled if 1-2” doesn’t morph into dusting to a slushy coating or see this weaken any more in the 2.5 -3days left till it begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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