weathafella Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Close the shades....open them when someone yells it’s snowing out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 8:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Cold change again on EPS. 12z cold. 00z warm Expand You must have not seen them... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 We’re cooked for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 8:10 PM, weathafella said: You must have not seen them... Expand I was sent a text with 12z and 00z and confused which was which.I apologize Poor Ray. Someone’s gotta break it to him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 For those that get to see those ... is that a hemispheric rendition... like polar stereo ... if so, geopotental heights? I'm wonder if there's any semblance at all of a -AO We're probably about 10 more days from the typical down-welling SSW correlation on the AO... which (hypothetically) could be just far enough away that the tropospheric modeling isn't feeling that exertion just yet. ... I mean, it's a pretty prominent signal ... to have 0 signature is almost dubious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 I’m just going to start drinking now instead of waiting till dark.. It helps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Lol....yeah that was a hideous EPS run....but watch it flip awesome next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 We’re cooked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Almost time to get some dew and LESCO talk going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 8:11 PM, CoastalWx said: We’re cooked for awhile. Expand So if the eps shows warmth and gefs shows cols always go with the eps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 8:25 PM, ORH_wxman said: Lol....yeah that was a hideous EPS run....but watch it flip awesome next run. Expand Ssw is most likely messing with the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 8:32 PM, Snow88 said: So if the eps shows warmth and gefs shows cols always go with the eps? Expand shut up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 At day 10 eps doesn't look horrible. Does it hit the crapper 11-15? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 8:57 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: At day 10 eps doesn't look horrible. Does it hit the crapper 11-15? Expand Yeah I would say it looks worse later in the period than at D10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 The biggest mistake a trader can make is holding on to a losing position and trying to convince everyone else why he is still correct and the market is wrong. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UNG/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 8:32 PM, Snow88 said: So if the eps shows warmth and gefs shows cols always go with the eps? Expand Yeah I will go with the guidance that is usually correct and has performed better than the GEFS. Also it’s been the pattern of models rushing change. Maybe it corrects, but yeesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 5:44 PM, Damage In Tolland said: If that Ukie depiction is right.. wishes were horses that’s a comma head 32 degree isothermal pasting inland areas of SNE Expand On 12/31/2018 at 8:09 PM, weathafella said: Close the shades....open them when someone yells it’s snowing out... Expand On 12/31/2018 at 8:11 PM, CoastalWx said: We’re cooked for awhile. Expand A couple of the big guns melt. Let's start a spring clean-up thread. 34* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 HM "By the end of week 1 into week 2, we will see things flip. Arctic high over the pole with a ring of subpolar lows. This high forms between the splitting vortices. Crazy to think that this vortex split/chaos up above creates a rather textbook pressure appearance (z-cells)" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 Weeklies tonight? If they are anything like the EPS this afternoon, I bet there will be some ratter calls later this evening..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 There is no melt. I just said I think it’s quiet for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:07 PM, Snow88 said: HM "By the end of week 1 into week 2, we will see things flip. Arctic high over the pole with a ring of subpolar lows. This high forms between the splitting vortices. Crazy to think that this vortex split/chaos up above creates a rather textbook pressure appearance (z-cells)" Expand He’s using straight GEFS. I questioned him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 No melt here. It is what it is. Changing my diet to almost all plant based and minimizing alcohol. Feeling better already. I just used this long extender to change one of my outdoor floods right under the roof line. Nice to do it from the ground minimizing the fall risk. It will winter when it winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:08 PM, CoastalWx said: He’s using straight GEFS. I questioned him. Expand I think HM said there would be a delay, sounded like he was thinking 15-20th for the past few days, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:13 PM, weathafella said: No melt here. It is what it is. Changing my diet to almost all plant based and minimizing alcohol. Feeling better already. I just used this long extender to change one of my outdoor floods right under the roof line. Nice to do it from the ground minimizing the fall risk. It will winter when it winters. Expand I changed my deck flood from 300w to 500w yesterday. Wish there was some snow to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:15 PM, OSUmetstud said: I think HM said there would be a delay, sounded like he was thinking 15-20th for the past few days, anyway. Expand He mentioned week 1 and week 2. I assumed from now. Also the AO can go negative, but no help from Pacific means it’s still tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:02 PM, qg_omega said: The biggest mistake a trader can make is holding on to a losing position and trying to convince everyone else why he is still correct and the market is wrong. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UNG/ Expand For stocks, sure you're dealing with people and emotions, mother nature has no emotions, she does what she wants when she wants and doesn't tell you if its coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:20 PM, CoastalWx said: He mentioned week 1 and week 2. I assumed from now. Also the AO can go negative, but no help from Pacific means it’s still tough. Expand Yes, he also didnt mention anything about snow in that post, I thought it more demonstrative than anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:24 PM, OSUmetstud said: Yes, he also didnt mention anything about snow in that post, I thought it more demonstrative than anything. Expand I didn’t mean snow. It’s gonna take time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 31, 2018 Share Posted December 31, 2018 On 12/31/2018 at 9:02 PM, qg_omega said: The biggest mistake a trader can make is holding on to a losing position and trying to convince everyone else why he is still correct and the market is wrong. https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/UNG/ Expand Tell that to the guy in your sub forum that was raving about buying Bitcoin last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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