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January 2019 Discussion


40/70 Benchmark

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  On 12/30/2018 at 3:58 AM, ineedsnow said:

GFS at hr84 looks way different  so far

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Wow, Ineedsnow, it looks like the northern stream energy digs much further south instead of previous runs which were much more progressive, GFS is leaning towards the CMC, ICON and Fv3 GFS models.  EURO is a side of its own, with a rain storm.

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  On 12/30/2018 at 4:00 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Massive changes on GFS for 1/3....looking pretty impressive by 90 hours...it's the northern stream that is the biggest difference. Big time energy diving in.

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I agree Will, this system has legs finally

  On 12/30/2018 at 4:02 AM, ineedsnow said:

This runs going to bomb I think

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I think so.

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  On 12/30/2018 at 4:13 AM, Typhoon Tip said:

Yeah GFS with a nice steady light snow and perfectly reasonable at this range ... agreed with everyone's expectations

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I don't even think that is a solution that won't happen, even though we know how hard the models try and keep a day 5 solution at this point.  It is like holding a day 16 solution.

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