rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 That’s 10:1. I think it’s inline with some of the others. We are just bouncing around. Will I be nervous if Euro looks like it did at 6z? Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 ukmet is getting there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1238 PM EST WED JAN 16 2019 NYZ009-018-036-037-161845- Onondaga-Southern Oneida-Madison-Northern Oneida- 1238 PM EST WED JAN 16 2019 ...A SNOW SQUALL WILL AFFECT ONEIDA...NORTHWESTERN MADISON AND NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTIES... At 1238 PM EST, a snow squall was located along a line extending from 7 miles northwest of Old Forge to near Plainville. Movement was east at 45 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with this squall. Locations impacted include... Syracuse, Utica, Clay, Rome, Cicero, De Witt, Sullivan, Van Buren, Oneida and Kirkland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The sun is out in downtown Syracuse. First time since Sunday. Looks good even though it wont last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, Syrmax said: The sun is out in downtown Syracuse. First time since Sunday. Looks good even though it wont last. Snowing heavily here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 16 minutes ago, Syrmax said: The sun is out in downtown Syracuse. First time since Sunday. Looks good even though it wont last. Get out of here with that nonsense. We don't need sun during January and February "aint nobody got time for dat" All you closet summer lovers make me sick - (i'm looking in your direction Buffaloweather) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Euro looking pretty far SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Confluence is stonger..Lp couple mb weaker..Track almost identical to 0z at hr 96.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 At 102 a secondary devlops over the delmarva which wasn't shown on 0z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Get out of here with that nonsense. We don't need sun during January and February "aint nobody got time for dat" All you closet summer lovers make me sick - (i'm looking in your direction Buffaloweather) Starting to snow now. Fixed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: At 102 a secondary devlops over the delmarva which wasn't shown on 0z.. is this good for snow for us or bad ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, katodog said: is this good for snow for us or bad ? Typically not good as it steals the energy and moisture away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, katodog said: is this good for snow for us or bad ? We want the primary to hang on as the one and only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, katodog said: is this good for snow for us or bad ? Very bad. Coastal transfers are the bane of WNY snow lovers existence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Very bad. Coastal transfers are the bane of WNY snow lovers existence. we are losing this battle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Still a big hit, but not epic. Sharp precip cutoff as well. We really won't know the degree of phasing until the SW is sampled tomorrow evening. Anyone wanna comment on the synoptic setup changes per model run that would point to the degree of phasing (particularly the EC vs. FV3)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I did notice the western ridge is a bit better on the 12z euro. Gives me hope. I think we are fine. Bouncing around but our SE trend has stopped. Which is great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, vortmax said: Still a big hit, but not epic. Sharp precip cutoff as well. We really won't know the degree of phasing until the SW is sampled tomorrow evening. Anyone wanna comment on the synoptic setup changes per model run that would point to the degree of phasing? Not looking good for the home team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Ukmet is almost same as euro now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Take it fwiw..Showing 20-1 on avg.. Big ice storm in nj, like 2" worth but surface around 30.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Yea , euro/uk in the same camp not good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Yea , euro/uk in the same camp not good.. What about Brexit, lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Euro brings LP over nyc on the 24th/25th and we still rain haha We do flip though as i think primary heads into lake.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Still a nice hit for Rochester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Still time to move back nw some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, tim123 said: Still time to move back nw some i hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Relax we got the American models guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, vortmax said: Still a big hit, but not epic. Sharp precip cutoff as well. We really won't know the degree of phasing until the SW is sampled tomorrow evening. Anyone wanna comment on the synoptic setup changes per model run that would point to the degree of phasing (particularly the EC vs. FV3)? Biggest changes/trends with Euro, is not less phasing as was suggested earlier here, but actually more phasing at a different time... as system approaches NE coast which generates larger qpf/colder solution. Solutions last few days on GFS/FV3/EC had limited/no phasing w/ primary low at our lattitude, not significantly redeveloping until roughly the Maritimes. A weak secondary low was shown on some model runs which generated an anafrontal look over NE as it scooted out NE. This run looks like earlier redevelopment/phasing and resultant bigger snows/qpf for CNE up to Maritimes. It really has little to do with moisture riding into a cold dome, its the interaction up above... We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 We are now getting into range to view the euro 4x daily.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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