CNY_WX Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Syrmax said: Can we bet on snowstorms? You could bet the over/under on snowfall amounts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Here’s my bet: no taint north of the Finger Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Yes u can it's called weather trading lol Not sure it's really money though haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I would think with setup sleet gets no farther north than a Bradford to syr line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 21 minutes ago, tim123 said: I would think with setup sleet gets no farther north than a Bradford to syr line I agree. Of course being a contrarian...I'll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 You couldn't ask for a better track for Toronto. Hoping for at least 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I mean IF all these model runs even verify 1/2 of what is being shown 15 days out most if upstate will be 2 feet plus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I think Toronto gets a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Perfect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 What is up with the UKMET? If it doesn't cave at 00Z, then I'd start to wonder what the deal is with it! Its completely on its own and in all seriousness, that concerns me, cause its not like its a few miles off but instead it is practically dry here and no one is even paying attention to it, lol! If it scores a coup, words can't even express the rage I'd have building inside me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I'm acting like it doesn't exist, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I'm acting like it doesn't exist, lol! Second most accurate model, it's alarming. The cluster from EPS help solve that though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Not a huge fan of some of those southern members lol 18z eps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Not a huge fan of some of those southern members lol 18z eps Yeah it's definitely to far out in regards to all of us being in jackpot zone. That area of high pressure is strong, I'd wager a slight shift SE is in order. Either way we should have a concrete answer in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 UKMET at 12Z had a positively tilted trough with the Southern stream energy dragging its heels big time thats why its so far off from the other globals so its really a timing issue with the UKMET and I think , once the SW is sampled properly as it enters the West coast, it'll correct itself and head towards the other models. If its been right the whole time, then perhaps we'll see the others start the trend SE, so I guess we really have to wait until this SW enters the lower 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 .Does 18z have snow or precip outputs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 That would be a fitting send off to our lake effect season if it was to verify. Lake will be down to 32 and starting to freeze by end of next week. Hopefully she can make it that long! Between the synoptic systems and the lake effect potential along with the sustained cold temps we could be looking at a snow pack area wide we haven’t seen around here for quite some years. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: That would be a fitting send off to our lake effect season if it was to verify. Lake will be down to 32 and starting to freeze by end of next week. Hopefully she can make it that long! Between the synoptic systems and the lake effect potential along with the sustained cold temps we could be looking at a snow pack area wide we haven’t seen around here for quite some years. . That would likely be feet of snow if it came to fruition. Those are 6 hour time stamps with 1-3" per hour rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 With that being said, one of the 51 look like this.. The rest are grouped around nj/nyc and into sne.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Every local channel throughout the area has totals already exceeding a foot and some even have more with close to 100% chance, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I asked Kevin Williams (best Rochester meteorologist) if he was concerned about taint and he said no. Tim, thought that might interest you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Lots and Lots of professionals out there will be eating crow come this weekend if this SLP starts to head the other way and if it wants to head that way it better start soon. There are already ppl out in droves attacking the supermarkets throughout the area like the apocalypse is coming or something, lol! Some are worried about mixing and nobody's worried about cirrus clouds with the dim Sun shining through because of the frigid temps that'll be around, yuck, static dry and cold, please God forbid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Yes I saw him earlier tonite on fb. I mentioned ratios of 20 to 1. He didn't disagree. Also mentioned kuchera snow map from euro. Said it's scary. Didn't say snow amounts on it just said it has his attention Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, tim123 said: Yes I saw him earlier tonite on fb. I mentioned ratios of 20 to 1. He didn't disagree. Also mentioned kuchera snow map from euro. Said it's scary. Didn't say snow amounts on it just said it has his attention Is this happens, it would likely be the largest synoptic storm we've ever seen together in our forum. With temps in the single digits and 40 mph+ winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Looks like pretty good odds the mixing makes it into lower central ny for a time barring a shift back to the s/e in consensus track. O well. Nice to see a pattern shift on the horizon at last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Over/under 60" of snow on the ground for Matt by Feb 20th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I'm seriously worried about the Ukie and I don't know why but I seriously am as its not l;ike the GEM or the NavGem, its the second best model out there as was stated earlier and it's on its own against 5 other models. If it even takes a step towards the NW with tonight's 00Z suite then I will be much more confident of at least a high impact event but until that happens, I'll be worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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