BuffaloWeather Posted January 14, 2019 Author Share Posted January 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Welcome man! I doubt a flight gets canceled out of Buffalo for a storm that isn’t lake effect. You should be fine. What part of buffalo are you from? Definitely post more! Thanks, I’m located in southeast Clarence, Main and ransom area. I work out in west falls so I get to see and enjoy the snow around here fairly often. I agree with thinksnow that the flight could have issues only because of other airports. I’ve been in and out of buffalo in crazy conditions. Snow landings are some of the softest lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 12 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Thanks, I’m located in southeast Clarence, Main and ransom area. I work out in west falls so I get to see and enjoy the snow around here fairly often. I agree with thinksnow that the flight could have issues only because of other airports. I’ve been in and out of buffalo in crazy conditions. Snow landings are some of the softest lol. That’s awesome, west falls is one of the snowiest places in western New York. Let us know how the weather is there throughout winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS are a huge hit for everyone Wow. Even Toronto. Wonders never cease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 18z euro by Friday Am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 The FV3 basically has air from space coming down into our area. If that happens all time cold temps will be set. That would completely freeze lake erie in 1- 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I saw this. Stupid cold. And wind I am sure. Like antartica Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Can't tell bit is that like negative 50s 850s entering us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The FV3 basically has air from space coming down into our area. If that happens all time cold temps will be set. That would completely freeze lake erie in 1- 2 days. Looks like someone’s blue pen exploded on the Great Lakes! Quite the run of modeling today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, tim123 said: Can't tell bit is that like negative 50s 850s entering us I would say the core of the airmass over Canada is at least -40 C which is -40 F! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Ground blizzards for days if this happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 GEFS show the cold as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 11 minutes ago, tim123 said: I saw this. Stupid cold. And wind I am sure. Like antartica Funny enough, one of my clients is in antarctica right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Has surface temps of minus 50 to minus 60 south of Hudson bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEM ENS I know this looks bad, but with the HP to the north and NE the LP would be stopped and transfer east. Brief taint back to snow. Not ideal and not devastating (except the one near Detroit). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 "Polar cap ozone reached record high levels recently, which is a pertinent proxy for BDC intensity and a strong precursor signal for anomalous high latitude blocking. Once the anomalous high latitude blocking accelerates in the troposphere, it should remain for a minimum of 30 days, potentially up to 45-50 days [which would take us into the first half of March]." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Heck of a ride coming. Goin to be trying times I fear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just sucks Erie is gonna be out of juice right as we finally get the pattern we need going... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I fear at some point in pattern big ice storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 34 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: I would say the core of the airmass over Canada is at least -40 C which is -40 F! That would be so awesome! No math required! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Not sure if anyone put up the lates BUF disco. Figured I would during this lull. I like their attitude- going pretty hard and not holding back: Latest medium range model guidance continuing to suggest a large and potent surface low pressure will track south of the region over the weekend. Models do show considerable amount of moisture being pulled northward into the system. With most of the model guidance suggesting we will be well on the cold side of the system widespread accumulating snow is expected likely starting late in the day Saturday into a good portion of Sunday. Additional lake enhanced/effect component will come into play on the back side of the system with additional accumulating snows likely. Although forecast details at this range are a bit uncertain, this storm system will need to be monitored closely, as there is potential for significant winter storm impacts for the entire area, including heavy snowfall and strong winds which could have significant travel implications during this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Can we hold the lake freeze until after this please?Perfectly aligned SW flow with 850s in the -30s! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Bet you some of these artic fronts we get some widespread thunder snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Has there been a SW flow event yet this year? More than a couple inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Brutal dangerous weather headed our way. I feel it. Been to benighn to long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 8 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Can we hold the lake freeze until after this please? Perfectly aligned SW flow with 850s in the -30s! . It will be unfrozen then but will quickly freeze lol we will have a few days of potential. That cold won’t happen though. Fv3 has been terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Has there been a SW flow event yet this year? More than a couple inches? Lots of times. Blizzard of 85 is the benchmark 3-4 feet across all of Erie county. Feb 2007 brought 3-4’ across buffalo south towns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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