lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 We have a 16 Focus Titanium and an 18 Escape SEL, both awesome cars. Both matching metallic white. Average 36 mpg in the Focus and 23 in the Escape. Escape is 4wd and is an absolute beast in the snow. Focus with a good set of snows definitley holds its own though for a compact car. Love them both but thinking about trading in the 16 Focus for a 19 Ranger 4x4, I absolutely loved my old Ranger and the new ones are just sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Seriously who cares about what KBUF says, 2-3", like they have advertised, with that set-up, is just stupid, imo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 KBGM disco: Long period of lake effect snow. Snow amounts could meet advisory criteria but too early to nail down yet. For now probably on the low side this period with 2 to 5". Deep northwest flow on the back side of a deep upper level low. Saturated layer to 12k ft with a 3k foot dendrite zone in this. Also adding to this is a short wave Thursday adding to the lift. Surface Temperatures fall to around 20 Wednesday night then rise 5 degrees or less Thursday. Winds will be strong at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30. 850mb temperatures fall into the negative teens so some instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 We have a Subaru Forester and a Honda Fit, both with four season tires. The Honda is light and can slide a bit on turns if there’s ice or if there’s more than about ten inches of unplowed snow. The Forester has never given us a problem in any weather, but we’re not going chasing on the Tug with those tires. Winter is the best, but I love a cool fall as well. I lived in the south for many years, and I can’t stand humid weather with the temp above about 78. Hot and dry is ok, but last summer, while not as bad as the south, was so unpleasant for long stretches that we avoided doing much outside other than the bare minimum of yard work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAIDEsNow.2 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Nice to see a chance for at least some accumulating snow again. 2018 Toyota 4Runner, Kumho Road Venture AT51 tires. Awesome in the snow, sand, and trails. Pretty comfy on the road as well. Toward top of Pikes Peak back in October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2010 F-250 Diesel, with all season tires. Last year I had a 2011 f-150 4x2 and it was a disaster in most snowfalls and it never left the GTA. The 250 this year was cruising around Muskoka in the New Years snowstorm no problem. The girlfriend drives a 2012 Hyundai accent hatchback. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 I think the Tug gets more then NWS is forecasting, they always overperform in these type of events. Also Upslope around Perrysburg will likely get more than a foot too. But again, this is mainly an elevation driven event. However, it has lots of moisture to work with so everyone should see some snow, but favored upslope areas is where 12" is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Nam is south with the 2ndry.. Models continue to waffle back and forth with exact track.. Could have an impact on total precipitation and changeover time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Nam spreads around the wealth.. Jackpot hills south of the cuse.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Thats also at 10-1..The lake enhancement overnight should bring better ratios..(wed night) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3k nam agrees and takes the heavy precip with it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 6z at the same hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Here is my brand new ride, yet to be tested in the snow .... it’s 4x4 with studded snows. It should hold its own. Can’t wait to try her out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: Ok so back to the car discussion, as I'm pretty certain us folk at the lower elevations on the Niagara Frontier are going to waiting quite some time for any appreciable snows!!! So we have a 2014 dodge grand caravan which I love and hate all at once...Great for traveling and carrying just about anything (the seats stow n go and I can put 10 sheets of drywall or several pieces of furniture as we like to revive old furniture). Hate it because, well, it's a mini-van. The second rig is a 2017 cruze as our economical car. Now to the weather. I am growing pretty despondent here as the latest run of the GFS shows next to zero snow chances for WNY outside of the next couple days for 2 weeks. In fact I also saw on another forum last night the ECMWF 45 snowfall accums and let's just say areas of WNY didn't get above a foot during that time frame. I, like Matt and others, enjoy the summers but love the winters. If this is going to be a fail of a winter snowfall wise that will make for a long year meteorologically speaking. I think this could be a historically bad winter for BUF-ROC area. It’s just impossible to know if the pattern can change in time for February or early March. It only takes one really robust few weeks to change all this. Certainly there isn’t a whole lot to be excited about. The cold snaps also look to result in suppression and come loaded with dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Here is my brand new ride, yet to be tested in the snow .... it’s 4x4 with studded snows. It should hold its own. Can’t wait to try her out! Sweet truck. It cost as much as my house! Lol. I just got a 4RUNNER and like you, I’m dying to try out the tires and 4X4. Looking through all the posts it’s easy to see what happened- many of us purchased 4X4’s this last year in hopes of snowfall! We jinxed the whole winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 8 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Here is my brand new ride, yet to be tested in the snow .... it’s 4x4 with studded snows. It should hold its own. Can’t wait to try her out! That truck is gorgeous. I want a truck pretty bad, but they're so expensive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: That truck is gorgeous. I want a truck pretty bad, but they're so expensive! Thanks! The prices of trucks are truly astronomical these days. My last truck was an 04 f150 so I had been holding out for a long time and the time had come. I'm hoping to have this truck for 10 years though, but it was still a big leap to take. Absolutely sucks to have a payment again (and a big one at that). At least I have a reliable ride for the foreseeable future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Thanks! The prices of trucks are truly astronomical these days. My last truck was an 04 f150 so I had been holding out for a long time and the time had come. I'm hoping to have this truck for 10 years though, but it was still a big leap to take. Absolutely sucks to have a payment again (and a big one at that). At least I have a reliable ride for the foreseeable future. Any takes on an older Toyota Tacoma? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Verbatim not much different from 6z except south of syracuse, big uptick for that area.. Pretty much double digits for all of oswego county with a max of 15" a couple miles to my north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 Really bad setup for my location, thinking 1-2" max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 This looks good.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Really bad setup for my location, thinking 1-2" max. Me to you will be the jackpot....... for snowfall minimums lol! I hate these set ups from West Seneca to Hamburg, even the northtowns will do better than us once the flow goes NW and they catch some streamers of Huron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Rgem seems a little warmish with near 2" of liquid here split between rain and then snow..Granted it's still snowing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Kuchera ratios sitting at 15-18/1 starting early thursday morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 IDK. To my uneducated eye, this looks pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Gfs has a similar look but it's still a miss, to much confluence.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 This week just keeps looking worse for snowfall in my area of Oswego County. So sick of NW flow. Businesses around here are going to hurt this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 I thought the tug usually uplsopes pretty good during NW events, just not so far this year.. Like the event a couple years back.. Northwest winds were strong through most of the event, producing significant blowing and drifting snow and very difficult travel. Very persistent upslope flow into the higher terrain of the Tug Hill Plateau played a critical role in producing the highest totals from this event, with a few locations seeing 3 to 4+ feet of snow over a 3 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 8, 2019 Author Share Posted January 8, 2019 Tug does the best in W flow. NW flow is for Fulton and Syracuse. That above event was mainly W flow. Look at lake Ontario. There is only a small portion of lake ontario included in NW flow for Tug, most is orographic lift from being high elevations. But you have to get pretty high to get anything of note for NW flow in tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 We got some thunder at work in Hamburg! In January... and it’s not thundersnow. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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