OSUmetstud Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Much of sne wont get plain rain i think maybe just southern ct ri and se ma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 "I twied to pawk da caw in the yawd but it was flooded by the raaaain. You all aw da wowst!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 5:45 PM, CNY-WXFREAK said: what did you get in Nov? Had to be close no? Expand I want to say like 6-8” if I remember correctly, definitley nowhere’s near a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 5:52 PM, Vicarious said: not even remotely close by me in South Cheektowaga. 5 inches or so if I remember correctly Expand And that's what 8 miles north does as I was closer to 9" because of enhancement. I remember driving to Lackawanna at work and I wondered where all the snow was... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 EURO has a 995 LP over central Jersey. Ticked North. Quicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 EURO gonna roast SNE at 850 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Pretty much just south of nyc.. Very para like.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 FV3 FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Only to hour 78? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:17 PM, wolfie09 said: Pretty much just south of nyc.. Very para like.. Expand Beautiful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 108 00Z tues no need to go any further! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Qpf: 0.9 buf 1.0 roc 1.4 syr on ecmwf. Much improved from 00z. In faster out faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 18 to 24 roc area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:11 PM, rochesterdave said: Expand That...is a roasting oven for SNE. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Buffalo's probabilistic forecasts have improved greatly since this AM. Very bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:26 PM, OSUmetstud said: Qpf: 0.9 buf 1.0 roc 1.4 syr on ecmwf. Much improved from 00z. In faster out faster. Expand Looks great!!! I'll take a foot and run!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:33 PM, DeltaT13 said: Buffalo's probabilistic forecasts have improved greatly since this AM. Very bullish. Expand Wow, they really upped that low-end map. What's the high-end show? Actually I just looked and it's the same as their 'expected' map! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The Tug gets down to -20F Monday night and could go lower and during the event temps don't go any lower than 15F which is ideal for good snow growth but below that it gets much harder to hold much WV so I'm glad the temp has gone up a few degrees! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Rlmao 36hrs later, lol! I'm not buying this scap at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:37 PM, vortmax said: Wow, they really upped that low-end map. What's the high-end show? Actually I just looked and it's the same as their 'expected' map! Expand I like the 90% chance of higher accums than the minimum...me thinks the watch will be upgraded to a warning after tonights little disturbance is finished...probably tomorrow AM AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:43 PM, CNY-WXFREAK said: Rlmao 36hrs later, lol! I'm not buying this scap at all Expand We Roast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 It’s early, but what are the chances of a BLizzard Warning? I don’t pay attention to wind speed fcst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:45 PM, rochesterdave said: It’s early, but what are the chances of a BLizzard Warning? I don’t pay attention to wind speed fcst. Expand Does anyone have this info? Even 18" of snow area wide is manageable with little wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:45 PM, rochesterdave said: It’s early, but what are the chances of a BLizzard Warning? I don’t pay attention to wind speed fcst. Expand I mentioned this earlier. I think we will hit the visibility aspect easily, but Gusts to 35 will be tough. I thought it would be windier but most outputs keep us in the 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Id say you can add an additional 3 to 6 inches of fluff sunday from niagara to oswego counties that wont be caught well by the ecmwf qpf progs. This isnt a super ideal lake enhancement scenario however since the storm doesnt track in quebec and throw lots of low level rh over the lakes as it departs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 It's a one day warmup ahead of a cutter/cold front, we"ll survive lol If that verified.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 BGM snowfall map. It was made before the 12Z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 On 1/17/2019 at 6:45 PM, rochesterdave said: It’s early, but what are the chances of a BLizzard Warning? I don’t pay attention to wind speed fcst. Expand We are not in the KBOS WFO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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