Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I don't see anyone on the ledge. The storm LOOKS to evolve the way I expected. No ledge, realism. I’m riding the CTP train on this one for my realism & optimism! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Does anyone know what Horst is forecasting? Haven’t heard in like 3 min. Lol Nice !!! I almost spit out my coffee! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: Does anyone know what Horst is forecasting? Haven’t heard in like 3 min. Lol LOLLL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Jeez.looking at the models the whole state at some point changes over almost. I think this will be an epic forecast bust..possibly one of the broadest and worst we’ve seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Heading out and just noticed it is raining a bit here with a few flakes mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I never care what temp is before storm. I know the high at MDT was like 46F preceding Superstorm 93.I always look at those mid level temps and proximity of 0C. Right now, those temps are too high and way too close to the wrong side of 0C to give this storm more than the occasional glance.I still think we in Lancaster may squeak couple inches out of this, but the writing has been on the wall for a few days that this was not our storm. Soon as blocking or pseudo blocking was gone, holding CAD was going to be an issue.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Something that I thought of for the sake of lurkers to this forum or folks dropping by from other regions, is that we need to clarify what area that we are referencing when commenting. Not everyone on here lives in Lancaster, York or Franklin County. Some of the comments need to reflect what area you are referencing or post a map to clarify. I lurked for years on here before I joined & it was tough to get a grasp of things until you learned where everyone is from. The better posters made it easy, but you had to sift through several posts to get quality info sometimes. Many places from the turnpike on north will do well today & our I- 80 crew should get crushed. Just some thoughts on storm day to try to make this place better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, Superstorm said: I never care what temp is before storm. I know the high at MDT was like 46F preceding Superstorm 93. I always look at those mid level temps and proximity of 0C. Right now, those temps are too high and way too close to the wrong side of 0C to give this storm more than the occasional glance. I still think we in Lancaster may squeak couple inches out of this, but the writing has been on the wall for a few days that this was not our storm. Soon as blocking or pseudo blocking was gone, holding CAD was going to be an issue. . This^^^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 NAM 12z with sleet removed. Remember, these algorithms in marginal events are never exact.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anduril Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Are we still looking at a 2-3pm ish start time for this storm in the Harrisburg/Carlisle area? That's when my staff change over happens at the store so just trying to juggle whether to tell peeps to stay home or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Something that I thought of for the sake of lurkers to this forum or folks dropping by from other regions, is that we need to clarify what area that we are referencing when commenting. Not everyone on here lives in Lancaster, York or Franklin County. Some of the comments need to reflect what area you are referencing or post a map to clarify. I lurked for years on here before I joined & it was tough to get a grasp of things until you learned where everyone is from. The better posters made it easy, but you had to sift through several posts to get quality info sometimes. Many places from the turnpike on north will do well today & our I- 80 crew should get crushed. Just some thoughts on storm day to try to make this place better! Thanks for your consideration. It is a little tough, but I have a general idea of where posters live on here. If not, I stalk their profile...and if they don't have it on there, then I get irritated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 As I sit here and watch the snow not falling, I am extremely disappointed by what the future has not delivered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 As I sit here and watch the snow not falling, I am extremely disappointed by what the future has not delivered.After the midweek system next week (rain or snow), the pattern looks ripe for snowstorms or rumors of such.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 I just follow you all in real life. @Flatheadsickness built him and his dog one hell of a fire last night. I know this because now that I know he's tracking me and Nanny's business, I want to make sure she has sufficient private time for private time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 My expectations are low, but that won’t stop me from enjoying what Mother Nature gives us. The past week while watching the models and the wide variety of emotions that come with it is all part of the journey I enjoy. I won’t be shocked if we get 8” or 2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 WGAL predictor shows RAIN all the way up in State College. Hay-Zeus, that's a surge of warmf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 I wasn’t trying to b a d!ck but this is a discussion forum, and if I just wanna read Horst I will go to his page. He is likely right. He is good. That said, I like chatting n learning on my own. That’s why I’m here Commence spikin footballs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 9 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: WGAL predictor shows RAIN all the way up in State College. Hay-Zeus, that's a surge of warmf. If the HRRR is right and the primary stays intact and runs from West Virginia to Scranton to Eastern NY state, it's no wonder plain rain gets so far north. Transfer doesn't take place until the low is near the Middletown/Newburgh area. The 12z HRRR run gets plain rain almost to Binghamton... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Good luck to everyone in the forum today! Whatever the outcome, it was fun tracking for a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 It reads like a funeral in his thread. Xanax much? CTP is on their own. They obviously have a reason. I don’t think Harrisburg gets that much snow (a lot of skeet probably) but we will know within 8 hours what’s happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Reading it’s latest discussion, CTP is primarily using WPC/NBM/HREF for modeling this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 10 minutes ago, sauss06 said: I won’t be shocked if we get 8” or 2” I was at a, well let's just call it an establishment for distinguished gentlemen once and there was a Bachelorette party in attendance. All the chief whores wore pink shirts that read "I won't be shocked if it's 2" or 8," except for the bride whose shirt read "He's black." Here, all this time I thought they were referring to some other shit. They were talking about snow. What a collection of nerds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 3 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I was at a, well let's just call it an establishment for distinguished gentlemen once and there was a Bachelorette party in attendance. All the chief whores wore pink shirts that read "I won't be shocked if it's 2" or 8," except for the bride whose shirt read "He's black." Here, all this time I thought they were referring to some other shit. They were talking about snow. What a collection of nerds. That was admirably squirrely! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 8 minutes ago, Voyager said: HRRR I always read this in Arnold Schwarzenegger's voice. I feel like this would be his weather application of choice. GFS is weak. Euro is weak. You need to be strong. You are girly-men. Be more strong. Like HRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 This is crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 Its almost funny this year with the south trend last week and now the north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, paweather5 said: This is crazy I’ve got another word in mind starts with....bull ends with....it. It is fun a and we don’t wine em all but I have fun tryin. Just got outta treestand. Was in since 6:20 am. Beautiful morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 19, 2019 Author Share Posted January 19, 2019 Just now, paweather5 said: Its almost funny this year with the south trend last week and now the north trend. That’s a great animation. Thx for putting it together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 If the HRRR is correct I’ll laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 19, 2019 Share Posted January 19, 2019 My handbook says to just hug this map ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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