daxx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I'm out for a little good luck down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 My guess: Lanco/York: 1"-3", .1" ice, lots of rain Harrisburg metro area: 2"-4", .2" ice, lots of rain Ridge and Valley: 4"-8" Cashtown: 1-2", then rain Williamsport/MAG land: 6" - 8" Clearfield: 34" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 41 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: C'mon buddy, the only one that said that was...me. You can call me out. For what it's worth, the cloud deck has lifted here at work in the past 30 minutes and there are a few dim glimpses of sun. Actually I'd say about 25% of what we got has melted here, we'll see what happens... lol all good bud. actually a couple mentioned we’d lose in convo. Not pointed at all. Just a general obs. maybe your 1" just compressed to .75" hehe #snowpack Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 CTP goes all in down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Did you all see that CTP went warning region-wide? More north, but for my area back to the Harrisburg area: Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland- Including the cities of Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Carlisle 101 PM EST Fri Jan 18 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch are expected. * WHERE...South central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. Heavy snow will move into the area Saturday afternoon and last into the late evening. A change to sleet and freezing rain will occur during the night. The heaviest of the snow will be from early afternoon through late evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 They just upgraded Watch to a Warning. A Weak one if you ask me. 6-10"? LOL. I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Winter Storm Warnings have been issued. Interesting to me that Harrisburg/Hershey/Lebanon/Carlisle are still grouped with Somerset/Bedford with 6-10" snow and sleet now with up to .2" ice. York/Lancaster 3-6" snow and sleet with up to .2" ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 WSW for 12-16" here.... highest forecast total in a LONG time. Pretty exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 CTP is either going to have to sit us all down and teach us some shtuff after all this is said or done or the locals are going to head toward State College with pitchforks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow. I didn't see that coming. I'm not complaining... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Atomixwx said: CTP is either going to have to sit us all down and teach us some shtuff after all this is said or done or the locals are going to head toward State College with pitchforks. I'd trust them over all the southern tier people doom and glooming because they're not in the jackpot for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Wow. I didn't see that coming. I'm not complaining... Kinda sounds like complaining... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Yeah, this may be most bullish I have seen them.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Atomixwx said: Kinda sounds like complaining... I'm not sure what fan of winter weather complains when their house is under a WSW. I'm sure not one of them. Maybe Ji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, Superstorm said: Yeah, this may be most bullish I have seen them. . THAT was my point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 They just Issued Winter Storm Warnings for Central and N Maryland. They are are really hitting the micro forecasting hard. Quite interesting. The wording says "Travel may be nearly impossible" Just wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, skiier04 said: I'd trust them over all the southern tier people doom and glooming because they're not in the jackpot for once If anyone deserves to be jackpotted it's the PIT to UNV gang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, skiier04 said: I'd trust them over all the southern tier people doom and glooming because they're not in the jackpot for once Ha! I hope you get nailed (by snow, well the other type too because you need to keep warm). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Wow 12-16" in the warning grouping for here. 10-16" on the northern counties. I'm very intrigued as to why CTP has been especially adamant on this being dominant on the frozen end. The 12z guidance today hasn't exactly instilled any confidence in me making a call for 10+ in the AOO/UNV corridor although warning snows are definitely likely. They could be taking precip intensity into account as this looks to be a fairly fast and very hard hitting storm in that department.. much like our November storm. That one overachieved in the LSV before mixing. Intense precip would keep an isothermal column for awhile when the warm air aloft tries to push in. They also could simply be factoring in climo too. This is the coldest time of the year, and we have arctic air to our north which should bleed in at the low levels to some degree as this storm approaches. This is hardly a frigid storm setup but it isn't necessarily a marginal one either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skiier04 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, canderson said: Ha! I hope you get nailed (by snow, well the other type too because you need to keep warm). Hopefully it will be a region-wide overperformer. It's been fun tracking this week regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm not sure what fan of winter weather complains when their house is under a WSW. I'm sure not one of them. Maybe Ji. Oh, I know. I'm just saying: that seemed like butthurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Yeah I'm in the 10-16 zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 25 minutes ago, Voyager said: Did you all see that CTP went warning region-wide? More north, but for my area back to the Harrisburg area: Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland- Including the cities of Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Carlisle 101 PM EST Fri Jan 18 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch are expected. * WHERE...South central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday. Heavy snow will move into the area Saturday afternoon and last into the late evening. A change to sleet and freezing rain will occur during the night. The heaviest of the snow will be from early afternoon through late evening. Uh. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 12 minutes ago, skiier04 said: I'd trust them over all the southern tier people doom and glooming because they're not in the jackpot for once Dough....ouch enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: Dough....ouch enjoy. I truly hope true Central PA gets wamboozled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 41 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm not sure what fan of winter weather complains when their house is under a WSW. I'm sure not one of them. Maybe Ji. I was in there a lot earlier but can’t take all of the negativity. I’m glad our sub livened up because we bicker a bit but usually in good spirit and keep it real and fun. Some act like babies down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 One thing I find interesting about this is I have never seen CTP ignore the GFS to this level. Bravo to them for whatever they see. They are the Pro's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I don't pay attention to these maps regularly to know patterns/etc but interesting to note how much of Texas just east of our system currently and east PA/MD/VA GFS is busting too warm at the surface today from the 12z run just a few hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: One thing I find interesting about this is I have never seen CTP ignore the GFS to this level. Bravo to them for whatever they see. They are the Pro's. But what if they eat it on this one? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Even Horst is more bullish than you would expect by looking at models (other than the NAM).I think MAG may be right about the quick hitting and thump snow may be under forecasted by the big models.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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