daxx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 23 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Hot off the press (with track of LP included) He was saying Monday it would cross Lancaster county. Nice I'm in the 12-24. At least until I come back home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I am going to go with some screen names that popped in my head (snow only...sleet and ice are separate) Mag-8-10" Carlisle, Canderson, Atomic and Sauss-2-4" Bubbler, Cashtown, Nut, Itstrainingtime, Daxx-1-3" Voyager-4-6" wmsptwx-10-12" 2001KX-12-16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I am going to go with some screen names that popped in my head (snow only...sleet and ice are separate) Mag-8-10" Carlisle, Canderson, Atomic and Sauss-2-4" Bubbler, Cashtown, Nut, Itstrainingtime, Daxx-1-3" Voyager-4-6" wmsptwx-10-12" 2001KX-12-16" How much for Superstorm?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I'm not sure how 12z UKMET fared yet vs 0z via meteocentre models. It appears to be faster and does breach the southern half of PA with 850mb temps at or above 0ºC. But I'm not sure if the 0z UKMET did that because it was slower and the warmest frame would have been after 48hr where it goes to 12 hour increments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 21 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: That...and he actually moved the 3"-6" contour SOUTH from yesterday. (I'm now in the 3-6 zone...barely, but within it) Yep....I sure am likin my call for 4.8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Anyone else want to lay some chips out there? Final call: (same as I've been saying for 3 days) Lanco/York: 1"-3" Harrisburg metro area: 2"-4" (Carlisle officially 3.3" ) Ridge and Valley: 4"-8" Williamsport/MAG land: 6" - 10" Nut's Cabin: 10" - 15" I'll lay some chips out tomorrow at this time.... Ok fine. I'm in. Final call. Troll me at will.... Lanc 1-2 south and 3-5 north - then sleet/zr and couple hours of rain. We lose some but not all then freeze solid HBG - 4-6 then ^^^ N/NW/NE of HBG - 6-9 then sleet/zr, maybe a little rain State college 7-10 maybe a little mixing N and NW/NE of state college...you suck....all snow 8-14 Cabin - 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 59 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: No signs yet of approaching breaks in the overcast. Temp only at 31. Think we won't hit projected high of 40. I predict 36. Let's see how that turns out. 31 at noon here in etown. I would have bet the farm (that i dont own) that the calls for 38-40 today would bust. Nice overcast all morning, deck lifting now, but I think your 36-37 is solid call here as well. not that it means much in the end, except we have lost little/nothing other than treated surfaces. Some thought it would be gone. I guess we have a few hours for that to happen. Gut says no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: 31 at noon here in etown. I would have bet the farm (that i dont own) that the calls for 38-40 today would bust. Nice overcast all morning, deck lifting now, but I think your 36-37 is solid call here as well. not that it means much in the end, except we have lost little/nothing other than treated surfaces. Some thought it would be gone. I guess we have a few hours for that to happen. Gut says no. Its already 39 here. Still overcast just so far south. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 11 minutes ago, daxx said: Nice I'm in the 12-24. At least until I come back home. looks like horst saw my map above and made his from it......... LMAO..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theLancster Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I'm planning on taking Amtrak from Lancaster to Philadelphia early Saturday, then coming back on the 6:55 to 8:10 train. Am I running any kind of risk of getting stuck in Philadelphia? I'm having trouble telling when the various types of precipitation start based on these maps. Any help would be appreciated, thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, theLancster said: I'm planning on taking Amtrak from Lancaster to Philadelphia early Saturday, then coming back on the 6:55 to 8:10 train. Am I running any kind of risk of getting stuck in Philadelphia? I'm having trouble telling when the various types of precipitation start based on these maps. Any help would be appreciated, thanks! no. you should be fine. may see some delays though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Its already 39 here. Still overcast just so far south. LOL. Looks like we're in a CAD at the moment...lol. Cold stuff still trapped at the surface. I think CAD will absolutely be in play tomorrow night regardless of what the maps show or don't show right now. BTW, I'm thinking of lowering my predicted high temp to 35. Still thick overcast and temp only up to 32.9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Looks like we're in a CAD at the moment...lol. Cold stuff still trapped at the surface. I think CAD will absolutely be in play tomorrow night regardless of what the maps show or don't show right now. BTW, I'm thinking of lowering my predicted high temp to 35. Still thick overcast and temp only up to 32.9. Yea, at 800 feet it can really change the playing field both good and bad. 10 miles to my south it is 35 at HGR. I had a 2" snowpack this AM and it is 80% gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 7 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Its already 39 here. Still overcast just so far south. LOL. WAA in full effect - already from storm???? hehe I'm such a smart@ss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Looks like we're in a CAD at the moment...lol. Cold stuff still trapped at the surface. I think CAD will absolutely be in play tomorrow night regardless of what the maps show or don't show right now. BTW, I'm thinking of lowering my predicted high temp to 35. Still thick overcast and temp only up to 32.9.CAD looks better on 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: Yea, at 800 feet it can really change the playing field both good and bad. 10 miles to my south it is 35 at HGR. thats sorta nuts. wouldnt have expected that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: WAA in full effect - already from storm???? hehe I'm such a smart@ss I was doubting my digital but I have a old fashioned bulb that is under a deep overhang and it is almost at 40 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 it would make me giggle for the King to be a bit colder and snowier.... #keeppanicalive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, theLancster said: I'm planning on taking Amtrak from Lancaster to Philadelphia early Saturday, then coming back on the 6:55 to 8:10 train. Am I running any kind of risk of getting stuck in Philadelphia? I'm having trouble telling when the various types of precipitation start based on these maps. Any help would be appreciated, thanks! They've already cancelled some trains and modified service. Check their website for current schedule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Euro snow to mix then rain for southern counties. Central counties nice thump then mix. Northern tier snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 18, 2019 Author Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: I was doubting my digital but I have a old fashioned bulb that is under a deep overhang and it is almost at 40 as well. not doubtin at all, just surprised #microclimate I've decided I'm going to roll w/ whatevs and just have fun, cause win lose or melt, thats why I come in here... to chat up weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: it would make me giggle for the King to be a bit colder and snowier.... #keeppanicalive All snow forecasts from the BWS (Bubbler Weather Service) are subject to update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: 31 at noon here in etown. I would have bet the farm (that i dont own) that the calls for 38-40 today would bust. Nice overcast all morning, deck lifting now, but I think your 36-37 is solid call here as well. not that it means much in the end, except we have lost little/nothing other than treated surfaces. Some thought it would be gone. I guess we have a few hours for that to happen. Gut says no. C'mon buddy, the only one that said that was...me. You can call me out. For what it's worth, the cloud deck has lifted here at work in the past 30 minutes and there are a few dim glimpses of sun. Actually I'd say about 25% of what we got has melted here, we'll see what happens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, daxx said: Euro snow to mix then rain for southern counties. Central counties nice thump then mix. Northern tier snow. So euro caved to the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, daxx said: Euro snow to mix then rain for southern counties. Central counties nice thump then mix. Northern tier snow. So it basically held and supports the warmer GFS and RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 I woud not say a full cave. For us down here toast. Central nice snow event bfore junk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Its definitely not the runs of old! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Euro almost looks like more plain rain than zr to me, am I misinterpreting? (fwiw I'll be ok with this, ice is no bueno) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Just now, canderson said: Euro almost looks like more plain rain than zr to me, am I misinterpreting? (fwiw I'll be ok with this, ice is no bueno) No your right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 18, 2019 Share Posted January 18, 2019 Cold as balls Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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