pasnownut Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 hour ago, bubbler86 said: Cannot not talk about Accuweather without throwing Elliot Abrams some air time. He is from Philly. Though, I cannot tell you how often, in the 90's mainly, it would start snowing in Philly and he would crush my hopes by getting on KYW and pointing out how warm it was in NC and that was what was coming our way. Undoubtedly the driest human being I’ve ever listened to. But smart....way smart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 10 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Haha. If his depiction played out precisely then it looks like my backyard would be between 3.3 to 3.5. We. Will. See. I liked the fact that he was acknowledging that <100 miles was the difference between 1" and 12". Now where have we seen that possibility before? Seems like this state falls in the battleground many, many times. That is so true. How many times in the past decade have we been on the northern edge of the battleground? And now we finally have a vintage 80's slop storm where I'm on the southern edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 55 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: The 12Z NAVGEM holds back the southern vort, less or no phase, and slides it off the SC coast. Congrats Charlotte! LOL. I would giggle my Arse off were that to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Link to the map i posted https://www.windy.com/-Show-add-more-layers/overlays?snowAccu,40.585,-77.283,9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I would giggle my Arse off were that to verify. 18Z Nam did not budge in phasing this thing but keeps ground temps close to freezing through much of it so Ice. But it eventually does the transfer so there is still a chance it is doing it to late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 He's been calling for a "few inches" of snow locally all week and still is. He has lowered his expected temperatures however, and is hitting ice pretty good. I’m liking my call my of 2”-4” followed by a hellish sleet/ice fest for The LSV between 81 & turnpike, but I may have underdone the snow a bit. I think that initial wallop may be significant and put down 4”-6” followed by lots and lots of sleet and freezing rain. Speaking of which, when the hell is the best time to shovel in this scenario of snow to ice to freezer? If it gets above freezing it will only be for a short time late Saturday night or early Sunday morning. . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, 2001kx said: euro Nice map. Hi res. Easy to zoom WAY in. I don't know how much to subtract from tonight's event, but it definitely seems to have my county around 6". Where's this map from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Nice map. Hi res. Easy to zoom WAY in. I don't know how much to subtract from tonight's event, but it definitely seems to have my county around 6". Where's this map from? https://www.windy.com/-Show-add-more-layers/overlays?snowAccu,40.585,-77.283,9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 21 minutes ago, canderson said: Also the Susquehanna here in Harrisburg has started to build ice for the first time this year. I don't ask questions just to read my own words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I don't ask questions just to read my own words. I tried to answer you but didn't think ice was that big of a concern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 14 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I would giggle my Arse off were that to verify. From what I've read, it was the JMA that sniffed out '96 first. We know the NAM has scored it's coups... I wonder if the NavGem has ever been first to the party with anything? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: I tried to answer you but didn't think ice was that big of a concern. LOL, no sweat. I don't think it ultimately will be, but if we got a ton of rain and the river didn't crest right away with the little ice we have and a rapid freeze, it could be problematic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 14 minutes ago, Jns2183 said: I’m liking my call my of 2”-4” followed by a hellish sleet/ice fest for The LSV between 81 & turnpike, but I may have underdone the snow a bit. I think that initial wallop may be significant and put down 4”-6” followed by lots and lots of sleet and freezing rain. Speaking of which, when the hell is the best time to shovel in this scenario of snow to ice to freezer? If it gets above freezing it will only be for a short time late Saturday night or early Sunday morning. . Pro This is what happened in '94. Road crews decided to let snow on the roads knowing that the ice on top wouldn't melt for a week with the bitter cold temperatures. I've always had the mindset of getting everything cleaned off as quick as i can and then use sand for traction if ice persists. But that's me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Snow-to-Ice-to-Snow, best time to shovel is about an hour after the switch, assuming it's sleet. If it's freezing rain, you just accept that that is how you are going to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I think it is extremely uncomfortable to go out in rain or sleet so in this case, especially since it is the weekend, I will try to time when the dry slot comes through but before the hounds of winter come rolling in to lock in whatever is still on the driveway. I have to do about 1/8" of a mile with a shovel. LOL. I refuse to get a blower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Light snow has started here by the way, from our much lighter system for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Light snow has started here by the way, from our much lighter system for tonight. You gonna have a snow map / numbers for the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 What the hell here goes: LNS 2 to 5...to ice MDT 4 to 6 to ice IPT: 6 to 9 to sleet UNV: 7 to 11 to sleet AOO: 7 to 10 to sleet BFD: 12 to 16 all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The Icon is still going to be our Icon at 18Z. Snow maps should be fun to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 cashtown and bubbler should be seeing some flakes fly pretty soon by looks of radar. I'm hoping by 5:00 for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 ICON stayed about the same at 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, 2001kx said: You gonna have a snow map / numbers for the storm? I'll probably at least throw a discussion with some numbers out prior to the storm. I'm probably going to look over tonights 0z guidance first though. You continue to look in good shape for a big snowfall before any mixing, if it ever comes there. I would feel comfortable saying 10+ is looking fairly attainable in Clearfield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: The Icon is still going to be our Icon at 18Z. Snow maps should be fun to look at. Good thump again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: The Icon is still going to be our Icon at 18Z. Snow maps should be fun to look at. Yea it just will not fold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, daxx said: Yea it just will not fold. Freezing line never get above route 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 die Ikon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said: cashtown and bubbler should be seeing some flakes fly pretty soon by looks of radar. I'm hoping by 5:00 for me. I think they will fly right away as well....32 with a DP of 27. Just a bit west of me still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, daxx said: Yea it just will not fold. Every person needs a place to hang their hat and that is our place today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Extreme Surface Temps Monday Morning (Icon) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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