CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Thanks, bubbler! Even that still doesn't look totally horrible. But yes, certainly a pretty good shift north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Thanks, bubbler! Even that still doesn't look totally horrible. But yes, certainly a pretty good shift north. Sure and for me it is all about the trends especially this close in so trend wise it is not looking so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Thanks, bubbler! Even that still doesn't look totally horrible. But yes, certainly a pretty good shift north. Just for fun I'm going to say you'll be on here Saturday evening reporting 3.25" before you flip. Feel free to jump all over me when I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The issue for the LSV is where the boundary sets up, then having to deal with mid-level temperatures & especially surface temperatures. The question is what’s the normal error in that regard for this far out. 50miles??? Which is an issue when 25 miles makes a world of difference. . Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Not sure how you guys feel about Bernie Rayno and his crew, but I just watched his periscope. Him and his boss said they don't see this thing shifting north, most likely south if anything, then followed that with"but it's weather so it could go either way or anything can happen" something to that extent haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, JTrout said: Not sure how you guys feel about Bernie Rayno and his crew, but I just watched his periscope. Him and his boss said they don't see this thing shifting north, most likely south if anything, then followed that with"but it's weather so it could go either way or anything can happen" something to that extent haha. you have a link to bernie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, 2001kx said: you have a link to bernie? https://twitter.com/AccuRayno Usually these are better, he is sick and looks like he is using his phone, it's a mess, he has a hand drawn snow contour map in this one haha. He is a PA native though so I always listen to what he has to say. He works for accuweather and uses their maps, but then says what he really thinks since it is twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 I used to love Accu Weather, especially Joe Lundberg. Always thought he was really accurate and seemed to distance himself from the hypsters around him on there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I used to love Accu Weather, especially Joe Lundberg. Always thought he was really accurate and seemed to distance himself from the hypsters around him on there. I am not familiar with him, when was he active in the weather game or is he still? I like Bernie because he is a PA native and doesn't typically look at surface maps when he does his analysis, just the upper air maps. I always walk away feeling like I understand a little bit. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, JTrout said: I am not familiar with him, when was he active in the weather game or is he still? I like Bernie because he is a PA native and doesn't typically look at surface maps when he does his analysis, just the upper air maps. I always walk away feeling like I understand a little bit. haha Joe was still around up until just a year or two ago I believe, he used to be one of the featured bloggers. He was on radio stations down here as well. And at least for a time he posted on the Eastern US weather forums. (the one that proceeded this one) Joe was originally from New England I believe but made his home in State College area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 21 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Just for fun I'm going to say you'll be on here Saturday evening reporting 3.25" before you flip. Feel free to jump all over me when I'm wrong. Okay...you're on. I'll say I'm going to exceed that amount. By how much...who knows? BTW, you'll never see me report 3.25" because you only officially record snowfall to the nearest tenth of an inch! So you need to decide if it's 3.2" or 3.3"...haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Okay...you're on. I'll say I'm going to exceed that amount. By how much...who knows. BTW, you'll never see me report 3.25" because you only officially record snowfall to the nearest tenth of an inch! So you need to decide if it's 3.2" or 3.3"...haha. Since you're so confident I'll spot you a big fat 3.3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 17, 2019 Author Share Posted January 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I used to love Accu Weather, especially Joe Lundberg. Always thought he was really accurate and seemed to distance himself from the hypsters around him on there. Lundberg was like Horst. Conservative but he had a warm bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 1 minute ago, JTrout said: I am not familiar with him, when was he active in the weather game or is he still? I like Bernie because he is a PA native and doesn't typically look at surface maps when he does his analysis, just the upper air maps. I always walk away feeling like I understand a little bit. haha Cannot not talk about Accuweather without throwing Elliot Abrams some air time. He is from Philly. Though, I cannot tell you how often, in the 90's mainly, it would start snowing in Philly and he would crush my hopes by getting on KYW and pointing out how warm it was in NC and that was what was coming our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Joe was still around up until just a year or two ago I believe, he used to be one of the featured bloggers. He was on radio stations down here as well. And at least for a time he posted on the Eastern US weather forums. (the one that proceeded this one) Joe was originally from New England I believe but made his home in State College area. Makes sense, I didn't discover the featured guys till last year. I always thought accuweather was a plain old national weather service up until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Reyno is probably that guy who has a sore throat but still smokes lol. He's pretty crazy, but also really, really smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Since you're so confident I'll spot you a big fat 3.3". Got it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Also, I turned down a job at AccuWeather.com a couple years back. How dumb am I? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Atomixwx said: Also, I turned down a job at AccuWeather.com a couple years back. How dumb am I? Can't speak to that, new to posting on here, so I can't call anyone names yet. haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Lundberg was like Horst. Conservative but he had a warm bias. Difference being Lundberg openly admitted hating cold weather, Horst loves it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 The 12Z NAVGEM holds back the southern vort, less or no phase, and slides it off the SC coast. Congrats Charlotte! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: The 12Z NAVGEM holds back the southern vort, less or no phase, and slides it off the SC coast. Congrats Charlotte! LOL. There's that progressive bias! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: Reyno is probably that guy who has a sore throat but still smokes lol. He's pretty crazy, but also really, really smart. Bernie is really good at what he does, and I like hearing his thoughts on a potential storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: There's that progressive bias! One could argue that it is less progressive. 12-24 hours behind the GFS. But I was posting for the fun of it since this has been a week of model hounding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Difference being Lundberg openly admitted hating cold weather, Horst loves it. His cold disdain also spilled over to snow as well, which as a wx weenie always was a big disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: His cold disdain also spilled over to snow as well, which as a wx weenie always was a big disappointment. True, but when he called for a big snowstorm you knew it wasn't wishcasting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 NWS>>>Winter Storm Watch issued! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: NWS>>>Winter Storm Watch issued! Yes sir! 2" - 5" of snow, which means my call for you is pretty much squarely in the middle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 31 minutes ago, JTrout said: https://twitter.com/AccuRayno Usually these are better, he is sick and looks like he is using his phone, it's a mess, he has a hand drawn snow contour map in this one haha. He is a PA native though so I always listen to what he has to say. He works for accuweather and uses their maps, but then says what he really thinks since it is twitter. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 17, 2019 Share Posted January 17, 2019 NWS>>>Winter Storm Watch issued!Kind of surprised for Lancaster County.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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