daxx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 This close to snow then ice scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 This close to snow then ice scenario So the trends our friend here?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, daxx said: This close to snow then ice scenario I love it. Better than a flooding a rainstorm. Great stuff Daxx. Trends tonight were very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 But for this run, not a soaking plain rain solution!! YAY...haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1055 HP, wow!!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 We do go above freezing in lsv for awhile but not torched. We see some rain then cold rushes in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 GFS at 84 had my attention and didn't lose it and EURO continued that pattern it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, paweather said: I love it. Better than a flooding a rainstorm. Great stuff Daxx. Trends tonight were very good. Haha...identical mindsets it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Superstorm said: 1055 HP, wow!! . yep GFS was 1039 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Superstorm said: 1055 HP, wow!! . Over us or just somewhere in the US? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Haha...identical mindsets it would seem. you got it. This just shows you how tricky these patterns are. whatever cereal you were having gave good luck :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1055mb is around 31.15" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Over us or just somewhere in the US?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Over us or just somewhere in the US? Canada. The stronger the HP the more suppress it will be I caught that on the 84hr GFS and knew it would be better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Biggest takeaway is a nice front end thump. North and west of Harrisburg does great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, paweather said: you got it. This just shows you how tricky these patterns are. whatever cereal you were having gave good luck :-) HAHA!! Love it. Glad I stayed up and can go to bed happy...for this night at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, Superstorm said: . That is insane keep it there at least for a good portion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, Superstorm said: 1055 HP, wow!! . Its 1035 not 1055 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, daxx said: Biggest takeaway is a nice front end thump. North and west of Harrisburg does great. No doubt front end dump does well and even back side. But the main takeaway for tonight was the trend of no major rainstorm snow to ice, rain, back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Its 1035 not 1055 lolLol, sorry, 1035. It’s late for me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, yoda said: Its 1035 not 1055 lol YODA!!! I can't believe you stopped by and posted here. It's such an honor. Stop in any time. We don't bite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 8 minutes ago, yoda said: Its 1035 not 1055 lol Thanks Yoda join the club. 1039-1055 it is all the same. The High is the key in my mind I saw it on the GFS at 84 and knew it would help us tonight. Sorry I misquoted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, paweather said: Thanks Yoda join the club. 1039-1035 it is all the same. The High is the key in my mind I saw it on the GFS at 84 and knew it would help us tonight. True, but 1055mb would have crushed the system to oblivion lol. Good luck up there... hope you all get some good snow this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, yoda said: True, but 1055mb would have crushed the system to oblivion lol. Good luck up there... hope you all get some good snow this weekend Thanks man, and exactly true. I appreciate the well wishes. Glad you guys enjoyed last weekend. still long ways away. Glad you post in here as you can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Thanks Yoda join the club. 1039-1035 it is all the same. The High is the key in my mind I saw it on the GFS at 84 and knew it would help us tonight. He wasn't correcting you. He was correcting superstorm's 1055. Gotta admit when I saw that I thought a 1055 would crush a storm and send it down to Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Well we have a decent trend tonight more to come tomorrow. Thanks so much Daxx again. I had a chance to stay up and it was worth it. Here is to a good weekend for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said: He wasn't correcting you. He was correcting superstorm's 1055. Gotta admit when I saw that I thought a 1055 would crush a storm and send it down to Florida. sure. yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Well, now I have to "try" to go to bed and lay there waiting for my meds to overcome all this excitement. What a day this was. Hopefully tomorrow is not the same rollercoaster. It will be very interesting to hear Horst's interpretation after declaring a major rainstorm (for Lanco vicinity) was coming. I'm not ratting on him. Just curious to see how much of a believer he is in tonight's new data. See you all in the morning. Thanks again, daxx! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Well, now I have to "try" to go to bed and lay there waiting for my meds to overcome all this excitement. What a day this was. Hopefully tomorrow is not the same rollercoaster. It will be very interesting to hear Horst's interpretation after declaring a major rainstorm (for Lanco vicinity) was coming. I'm not ratting on him. Just curious to see how much of a believer he is in tonight's new data. See you all in the morning. Thanks again, daxx! Daxx Thank you! Yes, I am too. Thanks everyone we will let the morning crew clean this up with 6z runs :-) . But Daxx I appreciate the PBP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The 0z Euro was a major step in the right direction & was very close to returning to the awesome solutions from a couple of days ago. The 0z Euro tracks the low to central VA & then it moves to southern NJ . For points north & west of Harrisburg the Euro is depicting a major snowstorm. For the LSV, on the Euro, There is a major front end thump of snow, then mix to ice, then rain especially for south of the PA turnpike, then back to a period of snow to end it. The VAST majority of the snow accumulation comes from the front end thump for the LSV. I think at this point most of us would sign up for this & run ! Although, we still have a few days to get back to the even better runs of a couple of days ago. Here is tonight’s 0z Euro snow map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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