pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 ICON @ 48 MSLP jumps from SC Illinois to NC Ohio from 18 to 0z runs.....hmmmmm...believe it....or not (great show for us ol timers) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Icon jumps north. Not good for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 @90 me no likey trough axis more negatively tilted. Gonna wreck the mids if one buys in to what its sellin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Lost the ICON. Not that I think it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Still get some snow and ice but it is headed wrong way. At least this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, canderson said: Lost the ICON. Not that I think it matters. it always matters when we lose any model that takes away snow...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Horst could be very much right. There is just nothing to stop this low from moving north once it develops. This could land cutting in CHI town soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, paweather said: Horst could be very much right. There is just nothing to stop this low from moving north once it develops. This could land cutting in CHI town soon. He called it Monday and it still stands right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, canderson said: Lost the ICON. Not that I think it matters. Yea icon fun to look at, that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 HP not horrible, yet no cad signal on Kraut model. notable shift N w/ white/wet line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 The arctic air will have something to say about just how far west the low cuts. Regardless of how the start and middle of the storm play out it will be very interesting to see what happens as the arctic plunge rushes in fast and furious. There has to be at least a little snow to accumulate at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, canderson said: He called it Monday and it still stands right. with all due respect....its 1 model. So far tonight NAM at end trended better, and notably so. Yes he may be right but please dont spike footballs 4 days out from a run of the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 5 minutes ago, canderson said: He called it Monday and it still stands right. He usually does not speak in absolutes, especially this far out in time. He seemed very blunt this afternoon. It's going to be a rainstorm. That's what he believes anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, canderson said: He called it Monday and it still stands right. yep. He was on to something with all of these snow models last couple of days. What can stop this low going so far north? Just no block. This will soon be a glorified cold front that then ushers in bitter cold air. This air needs to be moving more easterly before the low not after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, pasnownut said: with all due respect....its 1 model. So far tonight NAM at end trended better, and notably so. Yes he may be right but please dont spike footballs 4 days out from a run of the ICON and to your point, it is only Tuesday yet. Absolutely everything is still in play. And I am a diehard Cowboy fan they would have spiked footballs 10 days out. :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Well, now it will be very interesting to see how the next UKMET plays out for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Guys, for this storm you can blame us in western PA. For you guys to d o well, we needed to probably do well also...and we almost never do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, KPITSnow said: Guys, for this storm you can blame us in western PA. For you guys to d o well, we needed to probably do well also...and we almost never do well. How much snow do you have so far for the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, CarlislePaWx said: Well, now it will be very interesting to see how the next UKMET plays out for sure. I would say it comes north. How much is the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, paweather said: and to your point, it is only Tuesday yet. Absolutely everything is still in play. I'm not even trying to say that "everything" IS still in play, but some here see something bad and call it DOA straight away....at 4 days out. Like I said earlier, as MA forum how much they enjoyed shoveling their 12" or white rain over the weekend. Thats the only point Im driving at. Theres enough going on here, that suprises...good or bad can happen. When it looks like this on Saturday, fine...spike your footballs in the puddles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: How much snow do you have so far for the season? I’ll have to check, but we have to be under 10 inches. We’ve had one 10+ inch storm in about 8 years, and that was last March that didn’t stick on pavement and melted in three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, KPITSnow said: I’ll have to check, but we have to be under 10 inches. Ouch. Most of that lake effect? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: I'm not even trying to say that "everything" IS still in play, but some here see something bad and call it DOA straight away....at 4 days out. Like I said earlier, as MA forum how much they enjoyed shoveling their 12" or white rain over the weekend. Thats the only point Im driving at. Theres enough going on here, that suprises...good or bad can happen. When it looks like this on Saturday, fine...spike your footballs in the puddles. Thumbs up man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: Ouch. Most of that lake effect? No, we haven’t even had that. and I checked, 10.3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 Once the shortwave hits the west coast and gets better sampled our HECS will come back. #wehangourshovelsonthat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: No, we haven’t even had that. and I checked, 10.3. I DO feel for you guys. I think once we get this longwave pattern that has been seen forever, and pushed back often, I really think that so long as we dont lose vorts coming down/around the base of the trough, that you guys can score on a miller A or 2. Like you I'm sure, we both dislike B's (albeit for different reasons - you get wet, I get skipped). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 I think the GFS is looking just fine at 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 16, 2019 Share Posted January 16, 2019 1039 H to our north the other models haven't shown tonight. But sliding E to fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, paweather said: I think the GFS is looking just fine at 84. flatter look at 500 at 90. We'll know soon enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 16, 2019 Author Share Posted January 16, 2019 Holds the line for Friday snow. So at least theres that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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