daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 We do get some on backside but not buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 1 minute ago, daxx said: Northern pa and upstate ny pummeled. Euro is definitely not the ukie for lsv. Unfortunate...the board had become slow the last 5 min and I thought that might be a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 The optimist says that good snow isn't far away from my house. The pessimist says that it keeps getting farther away from my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 12 minutes ago, daxx said: We do get some on backside but not buying it. We just took it on the backside but it wasn't snow... Horst said yesterday that Bradford would be the place to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: We just took it on the backside but it wasn't snow... Yea I'm in Adirondacks until Sunday. I might stay an extra day! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 5 minutes ago, daxx said: Yea I'm in Adirondacks until Sunday. I might stay an extra day! Lol Anything for snow buddy! Enjoy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Lol, looks like UKMET shifted 200 miles north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Anything for snow buddy! Enjoy... Thanks I don't have to be back to the Hill until next Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Lol, looks like UKMET shifted 200 miles north. . It really does...both the orientation of the striping and the amounts within it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 12 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Lol, looks like UKMET shifted 200 miles north. . And it includes the snow from Thursday night so basically little to no weekend snow. I would rather this cut into Chicago not see all that rain. Cold heavy rain is worse than some showers and 50's. These changes have been so drastic that it almost lends to us waiting on calling it as drastic changes means lack of model verification usually. Williamsport is still in the game for the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 E. Horst, MU WIC@MUweather (1/2) Given the media (and social media) buzz about the weekend storm...I present brief and measured update. NO, a blizzard is not likely to hit the big cities of I-95...in fact, a thunderstorm is more likely! The interior Northeast is a different story as... E. Horst, MU WIC@MUweather (2/2) ...a crushing snowfall is likely from northern PA, interior NY (mostly rain in NYC), VT, and most of inland NH & ME. Here in the SusQ Valley...the inland track and lack of blocking means likely a brief period of snow/mix changing to heavy rain, possibly ending as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 crankyweatherguy @crankywxguy 56m Where ya wanna be before caring much about the modeling flip flops for the Weekend event. Thursday is your day to start this headless chicken dance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Fat lady warming up her vocal chords for this weekend. Unless you like creek flooding. Bummer. :/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 The worst of it is: this will place this subforum at the bottom of the table seasonally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I'm just focusing on the clipper since it's at least going to whiten things up, Southern NY might be place to be for weekend deal, but still time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I don’t know if you can write this off yet. The reason Ukmet is south is no phase with the northern stream. Jma and I know the deep thunder model now support it to some extent. Look at the UKMET and GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 In one run look what the EPS does starts to show separation as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, paweather5 said: I don’t know if you can write this off yet. The reason Ukmet is south is no phase with the northern stream. Jma and I know the deep thunder model now support it to some extent. Look at the UKMET and GFS. Thanks for keeping things alive here. The JMA is certainly nothing like the Euro or GFS but it does at least take the 850 line up to State College or more...probably a more frozen than wet storm though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather5 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 This is what I am trying to say you still have to camps. Southern and northern look at the ensembles. You can see on the GEFS and GEPS you have less interaction with the TPV. The Euro run was actually a huge improvement with less interaction with the TPV. Can the UKMET be leading the way. Could be all for nothing but worth watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 The majority of the players aren't even on the table yet. You can't punt this right now, but it is 3rd and forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: The majority of the players aren't even on the table yet. You can't punt this right now, but it is 3rd and forever. Unfortunately the QB is Christian Hackenberg and not Randall Cunningham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 4 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: The majority of the players aren't even on the table yet. You can't punt this right now, but it is 3rd and forever. If that's true we should be pulling for the Steelers defense... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 I know I’m thinking the writing is on the wall for the weekend system.But something tells me the Ukie might be on to something. I would have thought it would have caved to the Euro and GFS but it is holding its ground firmly.Seasonal trends have been confluence driven and this would be the first to phase.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 So the 18Z Nam still has a solid 2"+ fall Thursday evening with the freezing lines way south of us/no chance of rain. Lets hope we can enjoy that one and whiten up the ground some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 35 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: So the 18Z Nam still has a solid 2"+ fall Thursday evening with the freezing lines way south of us/no chance of rain. Lets hope we can enjoy that one and whiten up the ground some. I'll take the 2" and call it a day if need be. February hopefully is more promising! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 10 minutes ago, canderson said: I'll take the 2" and call it a day if need be. February hopefully is more promising! The icon has it snowing from about 9PM until 6AM. Total qpf is not out yet on TT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Its only Tuesday. Let's keep hope alive for another couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: The icon has it snowing from about 9PM until 6AM. Total qpf is not out yet on TT. From 1.5 to 2 inches. That's with Friday morning. Little higher in some places Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 2 minutes ago, daxx said: From 1.5 to 2 inches. That's with Friday morning. So 2" seems to be the call of the day from NAM, RGEM and Icon. Edit-Icon also still produces a nice front end thump of snow on the weekend but seems to have trended more wet vs. its earlier run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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