daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 One way to look at this, two weeks ago we where talking about waiting until February. We just had snow and it's been cold. We are getting more snow this week. This weekend looks crappy but we might end up with more wintry precip in amongst flooding lol. Early next week bitter cold, then another up in the air event for now. After that I think we are in a much better spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 4:52 PM, daxx said: One way to look at this, two weeks ago we where talking about waiting until February. We just had snow and it's been cold. We are getting more snow this week. This weekend looks crappy but we might end up with more wintry precip in amongst flooding lol. Early next week bitter cold, then another up in the air event for now. After that I think we are in a much better spot. Expand Yep and I do not think an over-performing situation for this Thursday is off the books yet. If we can squeeze out 3-4" that is a nice snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 UKIE looks good. LP is in NW GA and HP W of GL and in Quebec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 The other and more realistic way to look at it is: Cold, precip with warm. Rinse/repeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 4:48 PM, bubbler86 said: LOL, no question I am just reading off what the model shows. Just a model discussion. As you have alluded to whatever happens this weekend will change the future anyway. Expand i get ya. Just think that those of us that follow models should not speak in absolutes beyond oh say.....12 hours. lol it makes the natives (more) wrestless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 4:52 PM, daxx said: One way to look at this, two weeks ago we where talking about waiting until February. We just had snow and it's been cold. We are getting more snow this week. This weekend looks crappy but we might end up with more wintry precip in amongst flooding lol. Early next week bitter cold, then another up in the air event for now. After that I think we are in a much better spot. Expand yeah, were like 3-4 more pushbacks until spring arrives..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 4:52 PM, daxx said: One way to look at this, two weeks ago we where talking about waiting until February. We just had snow and it's been cold. We are getting more snow this week. This weekend looks crappy but we might end up with more wintry precip in amongst flooding lol. Early next week bitter cold, then another up in the air event for now. After that I think we are in a much better spot. Expand No..."we" weren't talking about it. I was. And i admit it. I got sucked into Horst's call which was "4-7 days of wintry weather in January". I was the one that pooped on the parade... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Nut if I were you I would be heading to your cabin. They are going to get nailed up there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 4:56 PM, pasnownut said: i get ya. Just think that those of us that follow models should not speak in absolutes beyond oh say.....12 hours. lol it makes the natives (more) wrestless. Expand That is why I said the 'GFS Suggests'. Let's face it, the public thinks there is a massive snow storm coming this weekend and several respected people on Americanwx have been suggesting the Mid Atlantic was lining up for a string of snow opportunities as we advance through January. That makes this run of the GFS a major disappointment as there is no significant winter weather, outside the Thursday night opportunity, until day 14 or 15. we throw it out and move on! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:07 PM, Itstrainingtime said: No..."we" weren't talking about it. I was. And i admit it. I got sucked into Horst's call which was "4-7 days of wintry weather in January". I was the one that pooped on the parade... Expand Hey I felt the same, it did not look good at the time. Even now is not perfect. I don't think you were totally wrong. We are having more bouts of winter but I think your February call for a much better pattern is still spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:12 PM, anotherman said: Expand Hugs and kisses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:12 PM, bubbler86 said: That is why I said the 'GFS Suggests'. Let's face it, the public thinks there is a massive snow storm coming this weekend and several respected people on Americanwx have been suggesting the Mid Atlantic was lining up for a string of snow opportunities as we advance through January. That makes this run of the GFS a major disappointment as there is no significant winter weather, outside the Thursday night opportunity, until day 14 or 15. we throw it out and move on! LOL. Expand Penn Live on Facebook is all hype about this weekend's snow LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:20 PM, paweather said: Penn Live on Facebook is all hype about this weekend's snow LOL. Expand We will need our German and English friends to save us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:25 PM, bubbler86 said: We will need our German and English friends to save us! Expand LOL. Yep. It is quite sad that they need to get everyone hyped up like this today. There are others out there as well, everyone is sharing these posts and when people spend a zillion dollars on "bread and milk" and it is raining well enjoy it with Penn Live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:28 PM, paweather said: LOL. Yep. It is quite sad that they need to get everyone hyped up like this today. There are others out there as well, everyone is sharing these posts and when people spend a zillion dollars on "bread and milk" and it is raining well enjoy it with Penn Live. Expand I just went looking for this. This graphic is terrible but hilarious!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:25 PM, bubbler86 said: We will need our German and English friends to save us! Expand Germany: Knives, Football, Watches, and Weather. Everything precise, everything eins/zwei, eins/zewi, very orderly, ja? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 GFS long range is just cutter after cutter after cutter it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:38 PM, canderson said: GFS long range is just cutter after cutter after cutter it appears. Expand February will be rocking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:35 PM, bubbler86 said: I just went looking for this. This graphic is terrible but hilarious!!! Expand LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 You know, if every model available was showing a blizzard except for the Ukie I'd be very uneasy. I'm pretty sure there were a couple of instances where it was out on it's own and ended up being right. (meaning it screwed us) Now when we kneel at the Ukmet throne it will banish us to fetch our umbrellas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Looks like this actually came south from the 0z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:52 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like this actually came south from the 0z run? Expand I am in the bulleseye. Talk about in a completely different camp. It is running the low through VA. EDIT-Actually Cashtown is in the bullseye so we should take that into account before laughing at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Watch the Euro go even further west now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:52 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Looks like this actually came south from the 0z run? Expand That is just a glorious looking map for MBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 15, 2019 Author Share Posted January 15, 2019 On 1/15/2019 at 5:57 PM, Itstrainingtime said: Watch the Euro go even further west now. Expand Was just thinking the same thing. But what if it follows suit? I still think this one is far from decided for the pages of reasoning I've been babbling about ad nauseum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Thursday night and early Friday still on for snow on the Euro. Precip a little lighter than previous runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boo radley Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Clipper looking more 1 to 2 ish with 3 jackpots on latest runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted January 15, 2019 Share Posted January 15, 2019 Northern pa and upstate ny pummeled. Euro is definitely not the ukie for lsv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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