MJO812 Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 2 hours ago, Queencitywx said: 12z has a nice little slider. Euro also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 12z Euro with a nice storm for Southern VA, into NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Kuchera maps have half a foot from Charlotte to Raleigh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Temps drop during the storm into the Mid 20s. It would be a nice bookend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 I spoke too soon with a second wave developing which increases totals in the triangle anywhere from half a foot in southern wake to almost 10 in Durham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 max of 13" on the kuchera maps somewhere in Halifax county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: max of 13" on the kuchera maps somewhere in Halifax county. Really good to have the euro on board. Like I said before, it would be funny if our two big storms of the winter came in December and March (with very little in between). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Really good to have the euro on board. Like I said before, it would be funny if our two big storms of the winter came in December and March (with very little in between). Very much so. Piques my interest about 100x more of practically any other model except the UK which isnt in range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 This thread is now "hot".... Must have been a nice 12z model suite! Let's finish Winter 2018- 2019 strong! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Euro snow depth at day 10 (has snow falling starting this upcoming Sunday): 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 The 12z EPS should look pretty good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Nice hit for North Carolina, Not so much for South. Really like the STJ energy on this run. Would like to see higher QPF not sure on trends yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 This threat is really starting to evolve nicely. Great to see the Euro with a big hit for NC now. We are seeing strong signals for a storm on all the models now. And we have not had this much agreement and consistency for a threat this far out since the early December storm. This is legit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 I am officially in the 2 inch range now but we need to the low to be a bit father to the southeast to bring the bigger totals and colder air my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 39 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Euro snow depth at day 10 (has snow falling starting this upcoming Sunday): This looks legit, with the snow hole in Western SC.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CADEffect Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 1 minute ago, Snow dog said: This looks legit, with the snow hole in Western SC.. I Agree it needs to be suppressed a bit further south for us in the Upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Just now, CADEffect said: I Agree it needs to be suppressed a bit further south for us in the Upstate Euro shows ice to the south of the snow zone. One frame has ice all the way down to Orangeburg, over to Myrtle Beach, and then up to Wilmington. And I'm sure many upcoming model changes... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Just hope there's not a northwest trend where that core ends up in Roanoke, Va. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Anyone have the EPS Snowfall Mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Euro Control Is A Big Winter Storm For VA/NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 38 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Just hope there's not a northwest trend where that core ends up in Roanoke, Va. A week out trends are mostly meaningless, although for the next 3ish days I'd like to keep it South. We just might beat Boston this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 From RAH: Sun-Mon: As the N Great Lakes low wobbles E over the St Lawrence Valley as energy feeds into its W side, there is a better chance of broad cyclonic flow that will kick a cold front E through NC Sat night or early Sun, bringing dry weather and colder air for NC as an Arctic surface high builds across the north-central and Northeast/Mid Atlantic states. But the ECMWF stalls the front closer to NC, with low centers tracking along it drawing abundant moisture and precip back over a wedged-in central NC, while the GFS stays dry. Will keep the forecast pop-free for now, but again, predictability is low. Thicknesses are projected to drop to around 25 m below normal for Sun and over 50 m below normal Mon, favoring fair skies and chilly temps. -GIH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 3 hours ago, FallsLake said: This is from Tropical Tidbits (not a lot storm detail), but it does look promising: That cold airmass looks funky!? Can you get a good cold push with the high in Montana?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 I wouldn’t want to be in the bullseye 7 days out! Plenty of time for this to trend North, and be a mid Atlantic special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: I wouldn’t want to be in the bullseye 7 days out! Plenty of time for this to trend North, and be a mid Atlantic special Exactly... we've seen this all Winter long from one model or another. In this case most of the globals show the storm system, which is encouraging, but I'm holding on to my big grain of salt for now. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said: Really strange how tightly clustered the ensembles are. Kinda makes me suspicious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbiegull Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 42 minutes ago, jjwxman said: Exactly... we've seen this all Winter long from one model or another. In this case most of the globals show the storm system, which is encouraging, but I'm holding on to my big grain of salt for now. Lol Yep. Monkeys may fly....and we may get 10" snow in ENC one full week into March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 18z GFS looks good for a lot of us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Let’s have this thing exist at D4 range. Then I’m in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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