BullCityWx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 12z GEFS seems REALLY interested in that post day 9 pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, wncsnow said: You know... For this to be such a "arctic blast" it is really not that cold at all. 40 here and pretty nice out really even here in Virginia. SE Ridge FTW! I think you can add the mountains into the factor. 10+ degrees colder on the west side. As stated before, the mountain can help us with CAD or hurt us by impeding cold dense air over the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 18 minutes ago, wncsnow said: You know... For this to be such a "arctic blast" it is really not that cold at all. 40 here and pretty nice out really even here in Virginia. SE Ridge FTW! Its 28 here with 40mph winds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Here's one more index update for the week! 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Its 28 here with 40mph winds! and he's under a wind chill warning for this evening in Danville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, franklin NCwx said: Its 28 here with 40mph winds! That seems chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 It's even worse on the ridge tops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 23 minutes ago, wncsnow said: You know... For this to be such a "arctic blast" it is really not that cold at all. 40 here and pretty nice out really even here in Virginia. SE Ridge FTW! It's currently 11° here. It's cold but it's nothing like last January's cold. We hit -9° a few times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rowjimmy73 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 5 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: and he's under a wind chill warning for this evening in Danville. yea this is where since i live in danville i'll call him the obvious troll, winds are howling outside and in no way shape or form does it feel "nice" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 10 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: and he's under a wind chill warning for this evening in Danville. Wind Chill Advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 RAH discussion states that another arctic front passes through tonight and will deposit the cold air for RDU. Low near 15-16 with wind chill around 10. Think we get a wind chill advisory, too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 12z gfsFV3 adds to the noise starting Feb 8-9. One overuning event after another. Has front to our west runing sw to ne but gets it sagged and by feb 10 on has moisture coming and going across se, overruning with one hp after another sliding across ne. See ice down in south GA one day. So starting Feb 8 onward to atleast Feb 15 is a golden opportunity. Really curious to how the front that passes through feb 8-9 decides to set up shop and its orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 30 minutes ago, rowjimmy73 said: yea this is where since i live in danville i'll call him the obvious troll, winds are howling outside and in no way shape or form does it feel "nice" Its really not that bad, I am from the mountains unlike you Flat landers I can handle a little wind and cold.. the heat is another story. The 2014 cold blast was much worse, and a few years ago it got below zero here with snowpack. Yes this is a very impressive arctic blast for the midwest and some of the Northeast but definitely a glancing blow here.. Highs here arent even forecasted to stay below freezing during any of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 12z Euro Op: Feb 8th still looking good/on track 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 EPS saying JB is a prophet post Feb 8th onward. "Delayed but not Denied. " "Harshest 30 day stretch of winter Mack has seen in his lifetime" on the way. Remember women and children first! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 EPS saying JB is a prophet post Feb 8th onward. "Delayed but not Denied. " "Harshest 30 day stretch of winter Mack has seen in his lifetime" on the way. Remember women and children first! Say it ain’t so! I read somewhere a couple days ago that JB was going to have a historic bust this winter?!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 2 hours ago, Queencitywx said: I'm on the cutoff line again... Is it too much to ask?!?! Oh yeah that's right: 1)Never trust snow on models outside 48hrs... Even inside 48 always be skeptical 2)SER/WAA (warm nose) always prevails 3) CAE snow shield screws the entire state of SC, Savannah to Augusta, and from Charlotte through the triangle #rantover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 25 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: EPS saying JB is a prophet post Feb 8th onward. "Delayed but not Denied. " "Harshest 30 day stretch of winter Mack has seen in his lifetime" on the way. Remember women and children first! If JB varieties then the Browns are wining SB 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 1 hour ago, NCSNOW said: 12z Euro Op: Feb 8th still looking good/on track Shift it 100 miles SE and it will get the whole board down to FL involved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, Orangeburgwx said: I'm on the cutoff line again... Is it too much to ask?!?! Oh yeah that's right: 1)Never trust snow on models outside 48hrs... Even inside 48 always be skeptical 2)SER/WAA (warm nose) always prevails 3) CAE snow shield screws the entire state of SC, Savannah to Augusta, and from Charlotte through the triangle #rantover That's because you're using this tool wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 16 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Say it ain’t so! I read somewhere a couple days ago that JB was going to have a historic bust this winter?!! He might of been knocked down for a few days early next week, but hell be the one knocking em out when all is said and done. We are only 8 -16 days away before Macks historic obs start rolling in throughout mid March. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 He might of been knocked down for a few days early next week, but hell be the one knocking em out when all is said and done. We are only 8 -16 days away before Macks historic obs start rolling in throughout mid March.No doubt Mack is in the right spot! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 37 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: No doubt Mack is in the right spot! Everybody knows frosty always in best spot. Storms will always look south but come back NW in the end . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 1 hour ago, NCSNOW said: He might of been knocked down for a few days early next week, but hell be the one knocking em out when all is said and done. We are only 8 -16 days away before Macks historic obs start rolling in throughout mid March. The only thing Mack will be rolling out is a spreader with pre emergent. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, Waiting on snow said: The only thing Mack will be rolling out is a spreader with pre emergent. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 1 hour ago, Orangeburgwx said: I'm on the cutoff line again... Is it too much to ask?!?! Oh yeah that's right: 1)Never trust snow on models outside 48hrs... Even inside 48 always be skeptical 2)SER/WAA (warm nose) always prevails 3) CAE snow shield screws the entire state of SC, Savannah to Augusta, and from Charlotte through the triangle #rantover Just so you know we can actually see how much these maps show for Orangeburg. We don't need you to post every time 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Hot off the press. The 18z FV3 is having a Big Mac Attack. Dumps 11.5 inches on Mac and Shettley Feb 9-10. Big snows all over Carolinas and back into GA. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthernUpstateSC Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Waiting on snow said: The only thing Mack will be rolling out is a spreader with pre emergent. Lol LOL...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 hour ago, NCSNOW said: Hot off the press. The 18z FV3 is having a Big Mac Attack. Dumps 11.5 inches on Mac and Shettley Feb 9-10. Big snows all over Carolinas and back into GA. I still have problems accepting taking maps 2 weeks out even remotely seriously. A few years ago you would have been tarred and feathered for even posting a single map that far out. I also don't buy how much better the models have gotten as a reason. There hasn't been a single storm that I can remember where we knew three days out what was going to happen. Besides, at my age, you don't look too far ahead. Hell, I don't even buy green bananas. 4 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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