Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Great for Columbia, SC. I hope you are right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 This big switch by the Euro is not believable IMO. Had no ensemble support last night and little if any from the 12Z GEFS. When any model jumps around like that it is usually wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Iceagewhereartthou said: Lol; 11 inches for Orangeburg, 1 for western upstate! This will change 100 times of course, but you just have to laugh... 11"?!?! Im gonna faint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, Cheeznado said: This big switch by the Euro is not believable IMO. Had no ensemble support last night and little if any from the 12Z GEFS. When any model jumps around like that it is usually wrong. Jump on the bandwagon while you still can! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nick Esasky Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: we all know how this ends up it it verifies......200 miles north of where it is today...... If it ends up 200 miles north, I'd say by definition it didn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: This big switch by the Euro is not believable IMO. Had no ensemble support last night and little if any from the 12Z GEFS. When any model jumps around like that it is usually wrong. Yeah, your a lock for the frontal passage snow Wednesday, so enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, mackerel_sky said: Yeah, your a lock for the frontal passage snow Wednesday, so enjoy! Nobody in the Southeast is ever a lock for frontal passage snow. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: This big switch by the Euro is not believable IMO. Had no ensemble support last night and little if any from the 12Z GEFS. When any model jumps around like that it is usually wrong. Aren’t most op models showing this to some degree? GFSv3, GFS,CMC, Euro? It’s not like Euro is on an island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 I just did a profile match... It is downright eerie at how that snow gradient is nearly identical (but to a lesser extent) to the infamous 1973 Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Can someone post a snow map at 216? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 14 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Aren’t most op models showing this to some degree? GFSv3, GFS,CMC, Euro? It’s not like Euro is on an island Er.....No. Not even close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: Can someone post a snow map at 216? Gladly https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/south-carolina/snow-depth-in/20190203-1800z.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Yep, very close to '73 storm and almost same time of the year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Yep, very close to '73 storm and almost same time of the year! Literally just one week earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 33 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Nobody in the Southeast is ever a lock for frontal passage snow. lol Well, not nobody lol... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 24 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Can someone post a snow map at 216? Sorry it's already 2:54! Couldn't resist... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NTriadwx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 48 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: This big switch by the Euro is not believable IMO. Had no ensemble support last night and little if any from the 12Z GEFS. When any model jumps around like that it is usually wrong. Mr. Debbie Downer 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mryanwilkes Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 56 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: This big switch by the Euro is not believable IMO. Had no ensemble support last night and little if any from the 12Z GEFS. When any model jumps around like that it is usually wrong. Get outta here with your fancy logic and reasonable opinions. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Looking to the skies Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 59 minutes ago, Cheeznado said: This big switch by the Euro is not believable IMO. Had no ensemble support last night and little if any from the 12Z GEFS. When any model jumps around like that it is usually wrong. Since when did we believe the GFS? Most i know shows the Euro outlook, i know Spann does even though he uses the GFS for reference mostly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 There is some ensemble support for a system at least being in the gulf during that time period. Some suppressed, some warm and wet, some without it, and a handful with snow. At this lead time I just want to see the general idea that there could be a system down there, that’s good enough for me. First place any of us even seen the Feb 1st system was on the EPS a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gearhead302 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 16 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Sorry it's already 2:54! Couldn't resist... Don't post this stuff...... orangeburgwx will have a storm thread up within the hour.... 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 17 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Sorry it's already 2:54! Couldn't resist... Its got the perfect 'snow hole' right in the Western Upstate, so it must be accurate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, Looking to the skies said: Since when did we believe the GFS? Most i know shows the Euro outlook, i know Spann does even though he uses the GFS for reference mostly The Euro has a tendency to be overamped beyond 96 since it’s upgrade 4 or so years ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWakeCo Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Incredible amount of excitement/ buzz on the other board about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, PGAWx said: Incredible amount of excitement/ buzz on the other board about this. At least until the next Model runs, or when Orangeburgwx starts a thread about it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 nam much further nw with precip at 54. this is a massive shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Looking to the skies Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 1 minute ago, PGAWx said: Incredible amount of excitement/ buzz on the other board about this. It should be. This is not the normal cold air chasing system, and the next system has a chance to have even more impact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 14 minutes ago, Snow dog said: Its got the perfect 'snow hole' right in the Western Upstate, so it must be accurate! Unbelievable isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 25, 2019 Share Posted January 25, 2019 Just now, DopplerWx said: nam much further nw with precip at 54 Just saw that. Still thinking this wont do anything but interesting to see how it evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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