SnowDawg Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 19 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said: More precip this time? Pretty sure it was dryer actually. But still both OP's showing snow in the southeast on the same date with ensemble support. I'll take that this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 30 minutes ago, SnowDawg said: Pretty sure it was dryer actually. But still both OP's showing snow in the southeast on the same date with ensemble support. I'll take that this far out. Dryer but a tick colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 GFSv3 6z = Carolinas crush job! Get the keys to the bus! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: GFSv3 6z = Carolinas crush job! Get the keys to the bus! Post a clown map!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, bess said: Post a clown map!!! It won’t let me. It looked really good, but old GFS, not so much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It won’t let me. It looked really good, but old GFS, not so much! After the dec storm we kinda just hug the new gfs.. old one was late to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: It won’t let me. It looked really good, but old GFS, not so much! They switched to a point of the FV3 is now showing a nice storm and the GFS not. But the FV3 still had the storm signal at 0z. This would be nice for the folks down east in SC and NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 32 minutes ago, bess said: Post a clown map!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 9 minutes ago, goldman75 said: HOLY S***!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I just looked at the Kuchera on Pivotal, CAE and the midlands get between 6-9"... I will gladly take the 7 from that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 FV3 had a second good storm 3 days later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UpstateSCGamecock Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Yes, FV3 has back to back storms on Jan 28 and then Jan 31. Beautiful!Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 If the models hold serve through 18z, I'm starting the thread 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 6 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: If the models hold serve through 18z, I'm starting the thread There’s one model showing this? 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Don’t you mean model..... as in singular? I hope it’s right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarmNose Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 7 day threats are par for the course. Lets pump the breaks before we dig this winter back out of the trashcan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gearhead302 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 20 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: If the models hold serve through 18z, I'm starting the thread Why wait? Start it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 18 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: There’s one model showing this? 18 minutes ago, tarheelwx said: Don’t you mean model..... as in singular? I hope it’s right. several 0Z Euro ensembles, and the 0z CMC both support it for NC, as well as the 6z GEFS having 1+ from Charlotte westward... Edit: there were some really nice hits on the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 12 minutes ago, WarmNose said: 7 day threats are par for the course. Lets pump the breaks before we dig this winter back out of the trashcan Nailed the last FV3 7 day event... Just saying 8 minutes ago, gearhead302 said: Why wait? Start it now Rather have back to back Euro and EPS (12z support) before making my final choice 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 44 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: If the models hold serve through 18z, I'm starting the thread Please No! Every thread you start = zilch for me! LOL. Not sure who the guy was last year that started an early thread that paid off but you Sir are not him! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Yeah Orangeburgwx, I wouldn’t get trigger happy with this one. Give it a couple more days to see if there is more of a concensus. 5 days with multiple model support is a solid rule that we have. Just my opinion 5 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 For Atlanta, the Euro ensembles are still mostly saying no but the GEFS is on board with the majority of members showing at least 1 inch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 We’ve got the JMA onboard! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 14 minutes ago, griteater said: Yeah Orangeburgwx, I wouldn’t get trigger happy with this one. Give it a couple more days to see if there is more of a concensus. 5 days with multiple model support is a solid rule that we have. Just my opinion this 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 Didn’t have time to look at the 6z but does the western -NAO still hold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 To be fair to Orangeburgwx, the icon does appear to have it. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 4 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: To be fair to Orangeburgwx, the icon does appear to have it. I saw that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 31 minutes ago, RT1980 said: Please No! Every thread you start = zilch for me! LOL. Not sure who the guy was last year that started an early thread that paid off but you Sir are not him! Actually it was me if you are talking about the Dec. 9th event... Go look at who started it under the thread heading 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted January 20, 2019 Share Posted January 20, 2019 1 minute ago, Orangeburgwx said: Actually it was me if you are talking about the Dec. 9th event... Go look at who started it under the thread heading No Sir I meant the Jan 2018 thread! No disrespect intended! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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