Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 29 minutes ago, Weatherzim said: Buddy where are you from Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk Salem VA which presides right next to Roanoke as biggest city. Southwestern virginia banked up against the apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 How many ensemble members of the GFS have snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 18z GEFSSent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 The geographic spread in snowfall went way down on the GEFS. But where it had snow, in the Mtns, the mean went up a bit. Using Asheville, as an example in the bullseye area, had 10 out of 20 members with snow plus the control. 7 members were over 2 inches and the highest member was 8 inches. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 18 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said: How many ensemble members of the GFS have snow? Not enough. This is a non event at the moment. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Bring on the snow for Christmas!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, IWC said: Bring on the snow for Christmas!!! Where are you spending Christmas then? Sure ain't the SE. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Just now, Waiting on snow said: Where are you spending Christmas then? Sure ain't the SE. 99% of the southeast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Just now, Waiting on snow said: Where are you spending Christmas then? Sure ain't the SE. YOU GOTTA BELIEVE!!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 24 minutes ago, IWC said: YOU GOTTA BELIEVE!!!!! Santa is make believe. But doesn't make it real. If you want snow you better hope the NS energy doesn't get hung up over MN, WI, MI. Cause a cold rain shall happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 29 minutes ago, IWC said: YOU GOTTA BELIEVE!!!!! You'll be lucky if it doesn't hit 60 that day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Santa and warm and fuzzy feelings belong in the sanitarium. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, jjwxman said: Santa and warm and fuzzy feelings belong in the sanitarium. Christmas and the week before, are going to be warm and fuzzy! As well as January. Is this the right place? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 12z CFS for 1/10...Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Who's ready for an 0z GFS shellacking?! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 13 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Who's ready for an 0z GFS shellacking?! I'm ready for some sort of trend with all the models, the GFS gave me whiplash. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, JoshM said: I'm ready for some sort of trend with all the models, the GFS gave me whiplash. I literally left the game over it. Time to reinvest in this being something more than a nuisance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 25 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Who's ready for an 0z GFS shellacking?! You better hope the NS energy doesn't get hung up. Cause a cold rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Looks like 0z nam and 18z GFS are a little different wrt southern energy. Nam is slower with the energy but nam also weaker with n/s s/w over the plains/northern us. Could still work if the nam went out in time with n/s maybe being able to catch a slower ejecting southern us s/w. Both highs looks good in eastern canada around 1042. Bored waiting for the GFS so figured I'd nitpick 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 40 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I literally left the game over it. Time to reinvest in this being something more than a nuisance. I would't get too invested. This one is so marginal it's in a completely different book. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Looks like 0z nam and 18z GFS are a little different wrt southern energy. Nam is slower with the energy but nam also weaker with n/s s/w over the plains/northern us. Could still work if the nam went out in time with n/s maybe being able to catch a slower ejecting southern us s/w. Both highs looks good in eastern canada around 1042. Bored waiting for the GFS so figured I'd nitpick The high is a little bit further north on the NAM, and out to 84 it's marginally warmer than the GFS at the same time. Something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Gfs looks like it's taking a step back at 0z. Someone correct me if I'm wrong. Too positively tilted. Northern stream not as robust. I'm at 84 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 I love how this bowling ball of a vort just completely vanishes into thin air on the 0z GFS that was in the Ohio valley. Literally is a completely different outcome almost every run with what it feels like doing with the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WiseWeather Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 I think the models are just broke.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Way south and OTS 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: Way south and OTS Yea northern stream just took a big steaming dump to screw us. Icon a miss as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: Way south and OTS The GFS is in suppression mode. It always does this 3-5 days out. In this case however if it trends back NW I’m not optimistic it will be anything wintry. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Yea northern stream just took a big steaming dump to screw us. Icon a miss as well. The ICON at least has precipitation over NC/SC for a period of time. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 0z CMC summed up in one image. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted December 17, 2019 Share Posted December 17, 2019 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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