griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 12z NAM at 8AM tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 nam holds firm on it's much wetter solution. As high as 1.25 to 1.50 down near greenwood...just shy of an inch here liquid....0.85 to 0.90 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 'The snowiest winter sounding I ever saw was an April NAM sounding for Uptown Charlotte' 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 good lord the nam. cut it by 80% and i'll still be ecstatic. wild that clt has has not even a trace in april since 87. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 NAM composite reflectivity loop from 2AM to 2PM tomorrow 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Kinda strange how to our south is looking so much better. Goes to show what a dynamic system can do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 The 12Z Nam3K is a little more east with snow....brings it right to Wake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 4 minutes ago, griteater said: NAM composite reflectivity loop from 2AM to 2PM tomorrow Does it not show snow? And do you have one of those pretty soundings for GSP? Please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 7 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: good lord the nam. cut it by 80% and i'll still be ecstatic. wild that clt has has not even a trace in april since 87. Now it'll be really funny if the best storm in years in Charlotte happens in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 32 minutes ago, griteater said: 'The snowiest winter sounding I ever saw was an April NAM sounding for Uptown Charlotte' Where was that in December?! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Someome in the area bounded by I-26/I-85/I-77 is gonna get smoked tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 5 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Does it not show snow? And do you have one of those pretty soundings for GSP? Please NAM shows mix to snow for you. We'll need steady precip to get things cooled down to where it's cold enough https://www.weathernerds.org/models/nam.html?&inittype=zoom&initfield=Rain-Snow_Radar&initcycle=determine&initfhour=024&initimdimx=1050&initimdimy=653&initrange=37.171858774690:275.022857142806:32.907407407425:283.251428571371&initcx1=0&initcy1=0&initcx2=0&initcy2=0&initcross=False&initsound=True&initsoundx=333&initsoundy=384&initloop=False&initoverlay=False&initlstart=000&initlend=084&initlint=6&initol1=Rain-Snow_Radar&initol2=null&initol3=null&initol4=null&initol5=null&initcities=On&inithgwys=On 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 12z RGEM is warmer than the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 12z ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 fwiw gfs at 06z had nothing for clt and now 12z has ~1" accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 FV3 is much wetter and shows Wake getting in on it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 The local Mets are really downplaying this. As if it’s a nothing event. I could very well still be, but you’d think a few would be talking about it possibly being more.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Everyone tommorow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 20 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: Everyone tommorow In April it certainly is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 26 minutes ago, ryan1234 said: The local Mets are really downplaying this. As if it’s a nothing event. I could very well still be, but you’d think a few would be talking about it possibly being more. . There's an obvious reason. This thing panning out to anything more than a minor ooh and ahh type event is one step short of powerball odds. (Ok,ok, maybe getting struck by lightning) I mean really, we're talking about Mack and Shetley getting snow, together, on the same day, in April. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 33 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: There's an obvious reason. This thing panning out to anything more than a minor ooh and ahh type event is one step short of powerball odds. (Ok,ok, maybe getting struck by lightning) I mean really, we're talking about Mack and Shetley getting snow, together, on the same day, in April. All is right in the world, until reality sets in and I’m looking at 2 hours of 40 degrees and drizzle,an Gaffney Jackpots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 Euro bumped SE with precip but is a little colder on the NW fringe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 16 minutes ago, griteater said: Euro bumped SE with precip but is a little colder on the NW fringe Maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 11 minutes ago, Snow dog said: Maps? Last 5 runs of Euro total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 The RAP looks similar to the NAM but again, its way out in its la la land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 My thoughts on this setup... I would go with: Charlotte Area: Trace to 1 inch Greenville-Spartanburg Area: Trace to 1/2 inch Looks to me like forcing for ascent will be modest. Precip light to moderate at times, with focus of precip in a 4 hour window - 7AM to 11AM for Charlotte, 5AM to 9AM for GSP. Rain or Rain/Snow mix when precip is light. Mostly snow when precip is steady. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 9 minutes ago, griteater said: My thoughts on this setup... I would go with: Charlotte Area: Trace to 1 inch Greenville-Spartanburg Area: Trace to 1/2 inch Looks to me like forcing for ascent will be modest. Precip light to moderate at times, with focus of precip in a 4 hour window - 7AM to 11AM for Charlotte, 5AM to 9AM for GSP. Rain or Rain/Snow mix when precip is light. Mostly snow when precip is steady. Somebody between CLT-GSP-CAE gets lollipop of 3”, imo!! Sky is totally clear, radiational cooling should be maximized and E/NE wind is stiff! Has a good feel to it, IF we can get enough precip! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said: All is right in the world, until reality sets in and I’m looking at 2 hours of 40 degrees and drizzle,an Gaffney Jackpots Now Now, you know I'm the one who will jackpot 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 1, 2019 Share Posted April 1, 2019 The word from GSP... Clouds will begin to increase tonight as storm system across southern Georgia and southern South Carolina amplifies and then moves up the eastern coast. Most of the precipitation with this system is southeast of the GSP region, but some is expected Tuesday morning. Cold-air damming with northeasterly surface flow will keep surface temperatures low enough for possible snow, without making much of a warm nose. 12Z NAM soundings show clear-cut snow soundings in some places, though with surface temperatures just barely cold enough. Tuesday morning lows, which take wet-bulb effect into account to some extent, are generally just above freezing in piedmont areas. Areas with heavier precipitation could see more wet bulbing, and have a greater chance of getting some snow accumulation. Both the NAM and the HREF have the most snow along south of I85 where heavier precipitation and more wet-bulbing occurs. Otherwise, rain mixed with snow with fairly quick melting is anticipated Tuesday morning, with some slush possible on area roads. Higher elevations in the mountains may see general snow, but precip. amounts are expected to be lighter there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted April 4, 2019 Share Posted April 4, 2019 Why does the NAO hate us so much? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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