FallsLake Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Just looked at the euro and it's showing something too. Time to reel us in one last time and then crush our dreams -- 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 35 minutes ago, FallsLake said: I love it. The models (6z FV3 and GFS) wants to give us the middle finger for one last time this season with a day 7 fantasy storm. 6z FV3: That’s awesome. Will we finally be able to get one stick around till the100 hour mark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 18 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: That’s awesome. Will we finally be able to get one stick around till the100 hour mark? Yeah until this year, a storm showing at this range would really peak the interest. We've even created storm threads for day 7 storms. But this year, I'm not sure when to take storm threats seriously. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Trying my best to not get sucked in.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 1 hour ago, FallsLake said: Yeah until this year, a storm showing at this range would really peak the interest. We've even created storm threads for day 7 storms. But this year, I'm not sure when to take storm threats seriously. 12 hours still might be a bit early, but it would probably be at least within the window of appropriate lead time for a thread this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Its a ULL not your typical southern system but interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 52 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: 12 hours still might be a bit early, but it would probably be at least within the window of appropriate lead time for a thread this year. I'm in when #JBurns sees flakes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 26 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: I'm in when #JBurns sees flakes. How much did you get in December? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 30 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: How much did you get in December? Nada, < 1" of slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Nada, < 1" of slop Same here. Thought you would have done a bit better. Maybe we can get a March Miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 42 minutes ago, Cold Rain said: Same here. Thought you would have done a bit better. Maybe we can get a March Miracle. Would not surprise me if we did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 The 12 GFS continues to show the storm, but the FV3 pushed the low through too quick which didn't allow the high to the north push down in time to change rain over to snow. But that's just details. Players are on the field; just don't know how good they are.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 This would be nice... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDowell_Weather Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 52 minutes ago, FallsLake said: This would be nice... If and BIG if here that verified wonder what the top analoges would be. I don't like how the cold air has to play catch up and the fact its late March. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Meh. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 From RAH: The next wx system will come during the first half of next week. It`s an interesting system with models depicting a closed H5 low dropping SEWD from the Central Plains to across the Carolinas. Thermo profiles would suggest perhaps a late-season p-type concern across the Piedmont, but given that this system is so late in the forecast period, inevitably the details will change below now and then. Will continue to monitor model trends, and for now will show increasing PoPs during this time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jjwxman Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Where the heck was this in Jan and February... lol, What Beautiful set up... The 12z Euro was just a hair too warm this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 Folks, I wouldn't "Give-up" on *Winter* until the Wilmington, Azalea Festival, As long as I've resided in the SENC. Always We get very cold, or Wintery Weather, (Sleet or Ice), by that Date. April 3rd~7th.. As long as I've lived here @ the Beach, oh, about the last 50 years.. (Very few "Warm" Festival(s) during My time residing here)... That said,, What @jjwxman, posted, "could" trend colder.. In Our Favor.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 18z GFS still has the storm. We know it's got to be right, it has the Wake County split.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldman75 Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 It also has the snow hole on Myrtle beach but snows in Georgetown. Mark it on the calendars, it’s legit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 6 hours ago, FallsLake said: This would be nice... Yay! Dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 19, 2019 Share Posted March 19, 2019 3 hours ago, jjwxman said: Where the heck was this in Jan and February... lol, What Beautiful set up... The 12z Euro was just a hair too warm this run. I saw lots of those looks in Jan/Feb 5-10 days out! Then they just turned to cold rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Though this storm was much larger and covered GA/SC/NC its still the closest thing to something like what the GFS has in living memory....its been 35 years since something like that has happened... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 2 hours ago, downeastnc said: Though this storm was much larger and covered GA/SC/NC its still the closest thing to something like what the GFS has in living memory....its been 35 years since something like that has happened... 35 years? Guess we're due, right? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 6z GFS has backed off some but still shows frozen precip over northeastern NC into SE VA. The FV3 has less but is showing more potential then previous runs. My take looking at the current models, we could see some change over to snow for north-central NC eastwards into the north-central coastal plain then up into SE VA. But I wouldn't expect much accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Yay, the rain is finally coming back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 12z FV3 back to showing a big event. Has RDU with a foot (10:1). Do I believe it?....No, but it's interesting to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Snow depth: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 Snow depth: Just need that westward trend... Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted March 20, 2019 Share Posted March 20, 2019 40 minutes ago, calculus1 said: Just need that westward trend... Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk Or to make more folks happy, expand the coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts