BornAgain13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 4 minutes ago, Wow said: 12z Euro has the players there again but doesn't get the job done bringing down the cold air, thowing in a low over the GL Weird though , even with not much supply of cold air, the system is suppressed really far south... kind of a unique run of the Euro, would have thought with not much cold air , the moisture would of come north... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Yeah that's not gonna happen. We'll see what the ensembles have to say soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 What time again do the euro enscrambles come out? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 What time again do the euro enscrambles come out?By 4:30Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 12z GEFS is trying hard... Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 12z GEFS is trying hard... Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Meh, nothing has really changed from yesterday’s runs. That still shows basically nothing in regards to snow. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 GEFS for the closest station to me. Yesterday at 12z vs today at 12z. Won't call it a trend yet but it's certainly a step in the right direction. Hope we can keep it up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 If I had to guess I would believe that the 18z GFS will have a much different solution than 12z but hopefully it's a positive change... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 18z so far at 150 hrs looks pretty good at the upper levels... Still has the Quebec block and the southern low is digging further south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 W NC getting hammered @168 hr 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 This is an upper low digging far south with a coastal bombing of the SC coast. This is not an overrunning event. It'll be marginally cold at the surface. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Wow.. digging it wayy down into FL.. lol Anyhow.. still puts down a nice snow for W half of NC & SW VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Looking at upper level trends, the high has been digging in a more ideal spot over SE Canada each of the past few runs. Exactly what we want to see. Specific outputs notwithstanding, we have something to track. Hopefully over the next few days the trend becomes clearer and even more ideal. At about a week out, you can't ask for much more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Wow said: This is an upper low digging far south with a coastal bombing of the SC coast. This is not an overrunning event. It'll be marginally cold at the surface. 850s aren't too good, either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 That thing kept digging... wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 So why did the LOW not move up the coast that time , it went straight SE out to sea lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 minute ago, BornAgain13 said: That thing kept digging... wow Nice first day of winter opening show, huh? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 9 minutes ago, Wow said: This is an upper low digging far south with a coastal bombing of the SC coast. This is not an overrunning event. It'll be marginally cold at the surface. Yep. Heavy snow where it’s cold enough with a narrow transition area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Just now, Queencitywx said: Yep. Heavy snow where it’s cold enough with a narrow transition area. Someone is going to get hammered by this thing if the trends keep up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 10 minutes ago, JoshM said: 850s aren't too good, either. They are marginal as well but the rain/snow line will be determined by the trek of that 850 low. This is an interesting setup as we don't have a sfc low forming in the gulf.. it's a very suppressed Miller B storm! Reminds me a bit of March '09.. had a good thundersnow out of that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Wow said: They are marginal as well but the rain/snow line will be determined by the trek of that 850 low. This is an interesting setup as we don't have a sfc low forming in the gulf.. it's a very suppressed Miller B storm! Which apparently is a great setup for southern VA , NW NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 It's a great setup whoever ends up just north of the upper low track, so yeah based on history an upper low diving this far south it's good for those areas. Doubt very much it'll dig this far south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Congrats Asheville (note that is the Kuchera...)Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Just want to point out... 8"+ of snow with over .5" of ice...Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Ok, didn't advance far enough 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Will be interested to see how the trend moves on the GEFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Wow, wish I could cash that in now. Hate that that is a week out look lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 Wow, wish I could cash that in now. Hate that that is a week out look lolNeed I remind you I got laughed at for starting that 15 day thread last year for the Dec. 8th storm... look what happened XDSent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 8 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: Just want to point out... 8"+ of snow with over .5" of ice... Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Based on the setup, there won't be much ice out of this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted December 14, 2019 Share Posted December 14, 2019 37 minutes ago, Wow said: This is an upper low digging far south with a coastal bombing of the SC coast. This is not an overrunning event. It'll be marginally cold at the surface. Don't think I've seen this before. Weird angle for a UL to approach from. Temps maybe marginal. But the angle of the UL and Surface low. Definitely favor a upslope flow for eastern side of the Apps/Blueridge. Southeast to Northwest flow snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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