PackGrad05 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 the 06GFS is a tad slower with the system, making it more of a saturday night/sunday event... It also has the bullseye further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 0z GEFS... Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 6z GEFSSent from my A577VL using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 11:56 AM, Orangeburgwx said: 6z GEFS Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Expand Now that's a good sign! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Gfs is a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 2:54 PM, franklin NCwx said: Gfs is a cutterWhere do you see that? 12z suites haven't run yetSent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 3:02 PM, Orangeburgwx said: Where do you see that? 12z suites haven't run yet Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Expand 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 BS set up with those HPsSent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Yes, either the placement of the banana highs or the evolution of the LP. Both cannot be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 I'm just gonna go in expecting it to cut. Just like pretty much every single potential "threat" we've seen since last December's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 That run of the GFS was looking great until I looked at the surface and precip maps.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 There’s lots not to like about that. The high is 400 miles north of where we want it. There’s not a lot of cold air anywhere. The low is too far north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Man that would have been 12"+ for most of the Carolinas if the cold was there with the precip...Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Definitely lack of cold air supply on that run. But it is only one run of a deterministic model and we are still a week away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 4:39 PM, Queencitywx said: There’s lots not to like about that. The high is 400 miles north of where we want it. There’s not a lot of cold air anywhere. The low is too far north. Expand Yeah I think the 50/50 low is way too north as well. Everything needs to shift south. We need the TPV sitting in SE Canada for the cold and south push... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryan1234 Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 4:35 PM, SnowDawg said: I'm just gonna go in expecting it to cut. Just like pretty much every single potential "threat" we've seen since last December's storm. Expand I pretty much said this yesterday. We are going to have to wait until we are at least 5 days from an actual event to really iron out details. And even then that's a push. As of now, I am not buying any winter precip next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 In the ensembles we trustSent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 5:23 PM, Orangeburgwx said: In the ensembles we trust Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Expand ??? 20 members and all average less than an inch. Lol not a signal at all unless you're in Buffalo or Detroit. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Ensemble is at least still favoring slightly below normal temps through the period. Cause the main run just showed temps go above normal on the 20th and not go back below until the 27th. Just our luck, - NAO shows up and things start trending towards torch lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Today’s runs = bummmmmmmmers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 At this point, we’re just looking for patterns. In the next 2-3 days, we look for consistency and continued positive model signals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 5:23 PM, Orangeburgwx said: In the ensembles we trust Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Expand There is literally nothing there 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 6:13 PM, Queencitywx said: There is literally nothing thereAt least there is a signal showing compared to the OP runSent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Euro at 144 (19th)Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 6:13 PM, Orangeburgwx said: At least there is a signal showing compared to the OP run Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Expand There’s only 2/21 GEFS ensemble members showing any snow before 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Where do I go to cliff Dive? 3 years and counting no snow in Southern CentrAl NC . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bargainmusic Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 7:19 PM, Queencitywx said: There’s only 2/21 GEFS ensemble members showing any snow before 240. Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LiQuiDBuD Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 7:22 PM, Grayman said: Where do I go to cliff Dive? 3 years and counting no snow in Southern CentrAl NC . Expand It's a bit early for actual cliff diving. Wouldn't be a bad idea this far out, however, to scout where the best spot is to jump from. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 Been lurking in the MA thread. Things were looking up yesterday, but today has been an absolute disaster in the LR. Apparently the PAC is setting up to become super hostile just in time to completely defeat an apparent -NAO/-AO episode. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted December 13, 2019 Share Posted December 13, 2019 On 12/13/2019 at 7:47 PM, cbmclean said: Been lurking in the MA thread. Things were looking up yesterday, but today has been an absolute disaster in the LR. Apparently the PAC is setting up to become super hostile just in time to completely defeat an apparent -NAO/-AO episode. How hostile...Sent from my A577VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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