NorthHillsWx Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 Looks "spooky" dry from Triangle east through the end of all model runs. Quite the difference from the western half of the Carolinas to the eastern side in terms of modeled precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said: Looks "spooky" dry from Triangle east through the end of all model runs. Quite the difference from the western half of the Carolinas to the eastern side in terms of modeled precip So far it looks good (model wise). Most show heaviest precip starting ~ or after mid-night. (but)RAH has "Likely" category for precip starting at 8pm for my grid location. My two youngest kids still trick or treat so I'm really hoping it holds off as the models currently show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherHawk Posted October 30, 2019 Share Posted October 30, 2019 Heard some talk about some possible snow in the forecast... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Kind of crazy to get this trough so early and so cold. But looking at the radar. Haven't seen this type of precip shield in along long time. Basically the eastern half of the Us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 On 10/23/2019 at 3:47 PM, mackerel_sky said: GFS sucks nuts! My 4 inches of rain is now down to sprinkles this weekend! Droughtbuster Can't wait for this front to get here, currently 71, while its 30s in NW MS. Unfortunately, it looks like it's going to lose a lot of punch for areas east of apps, not nearly as cold of a forecast for this side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 Euro looks really cold next weekend especially for NC. Widespread 20s 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted October 31, 2019 Share Posted October 31, 2019 1 hour ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Can't wait for this front to get here, currently 71, while its 30s in NW MS. Unfortunately, it looks like it's going to lose a lot of punch for areas east of apps, not nearly as cold of a forecast for this side. Yeah cold air really has a hard time getting over the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted November 1, 2019 Share Posted November 1, 2019 I know some people west of here got plenty of rain from the past system but we were not so lucky. Might be our only shot for awhile. Doesn't get any drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 Yo-yo month ahead for temps according to GooFuS. Should be some pretty wild swings even beginning this week into next weekend. Brrrr..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LurkerBoy Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 48 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: Yo-yo month ahead for temps according to GooFuS. Should be some pretty wild swings even beginning this week into next weekend. Brrrr..... Surprisingly on the BN side more than the AN side!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 12 GFS close to showing some non-rain precip next Friday. Temps hovering in the 30s all day in CAD areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 12 GFS close to showing some non-rain precip next Friday. Temps hovering in the 30s all day in CAD areas.Let’s go with “non-rain” as the quantifier all season... . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 I'll take this look @ 150hrs anytime. And considering this is the first week of November Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessy89 Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 I'll take this look @ 150hrs anytime. And considering this is the first week of November If that high can be 10 mb stronger. A lot of areas could see ice in November! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 And by hour 240 (ya, i know) the cold bomb drops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 37 minutes ago, JoshM said: And by hour 240 (ya, i know) the cold bomb drops Yep, many areas do not get above freezing for highs one day. That would be something to see in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted November 2, 2019 Share Posted November 2, 2019 33 minutes ago, FallsLake said: Yep, many areas do not get above freezing for highs one day. That would be something to see in November. That would be pretty epic for November so I doubt it will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 18zGFS Hr 276. Later with the cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 59 minutes ago, yotaman said: That would be pretty epic for November so I doubt it will verify. It will probably get cold. Add 10 degrees to the 18z GFS and we'd still be talking record temps. I would think 40s highs with lows in the 20s would be a great guess at this point. **folks have been talking about the GFS cold bias in the LR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 Ensemble looks colder... much better HP position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 BOOM! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 0z GFS coming in with an early season Snowstorm! Wish it was right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, JoshM said: BOOM! Western upstate skip job, bank it. I'll toss... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 The 6z GFS continues to show the potential wintery event. I think it's possible, but (of course) there are many factors not in the favor of a good winter storm. One key thing to tract in the coming days (if we're tracking), is how fast we can get the lower dew points to push into the CAD regions. Right now, I don't think it's enough. Dew points in the teens get into N VA but only get down into the upper 20s (at best) down into N NC. My thoughts, if this was to materialize as shown on the GFS we would probably get some mixed snow/sleet with the rain. And then if it did switch over it would really have a hard time accumulating. **it would be a typical (rare) November winter event outside the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 Let it be noted that Josh M is the owner of the first official "BOOM!" of the 2019/2020 winter season. Marking Nov 3rd as the date. Congrats Josh! You now own the winter. Its on you friend! Only JBurns can remove that curse from you but he wont until he receives at least 1 Big Dog and snow Christmas Eve. So get busy. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 too bad it's all a GFS fever dream because kuchera maps have a foot that falls after dark IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 GFS on its own right now keeping this wave moving along and not getting crushed, ironically. Euro parking the wave over the SW and doesn't kick it along. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 12z GFS, she gone! Congrats DC! Get use to that statement! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 7 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: 12z GFS, she gone! Congrats DC! Get use to that statement! Maybe for some, but not all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 3, 2019 Share Posted November 3, 2019 10 minutes ago, Solak said: Maybe for some, but not all. With a 1031 high behind the system, we know where this ends up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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