PackGrad05 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 The trends of the HRRR has been to increase QPF and throw the moisture a little further NW tomorrow morning. Some snow falling in southern Harnett and Johnston counties, taken verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 8 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: The trends of the HRRR has been to increase QPF and throw the moisture a little further NW tomorrow morning. Some snow falling in southern Harnett and Johnston counties, taken verbatim. Me and downeastnc have a bet riding that we wouldnt see any more winter weather. He is all happy that the models are trending wetter. I still say it will be hard to get accum snow north of highway 70 in the coastal plains unless the models really blow up the precip on the NW side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 https://twitter.com/griteater/status/1102657335598768128 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drscottsmith Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 hours ago, SouthernVAwx said: Worth noting the 12z GFS builds on a severe threat for Sunday evening. I don't post often as I am still learning (and realize everyone is thinking about Tues/Wed right now), but I believe next weekend is going to be a serious situation...starting Saturday 3/9 and extending into Sunday. Not good on the heels of yesterday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, drscottsmith said: I don't post often as I am still learning (and realize everyone is thinking about Tues/Wed right now), but I believe next weekend is going to be a serious situation...starting Saturday 3/9 and extending into Sunday. Not good on the heels of yesterday. I am so f$%&ing tired of this rain. My God, we could go 3 weeks without a drop and it wouldn't bother me.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 nam showing the tongue of precip over clt now, similar to the hrrr. precip shield is healthier and further inland as well but looks like ran in eastern sc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I think a lot of folks are going to see some surprise flurries in the morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: I think a lot of folks are going to see some surprise flurries in the morning. Flurries in early March, after all the LR model teases for the past two months, is equivalent to a kick in the nads. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Can it flurry at 40 degrees!? Go figure the moisture comes hard NW and my high tomorrow is 52! Models overdoing the cold, yet again! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 55 minutes ago, tnweathernut said: Flurries in early March, after all the LR model teases for the past two months, is equivalent to a kick in the nads. Exactly what I text a friend this morning!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 25 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Can it flurry at 40 degrees!? Go figure the moisture comes hard NW and my high tomorrow is 52! Models overdoing the cold, yet again! It's been a winner of a season bud!!! Don't ya just love living in the SE when ( you love winter weather)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 43 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said: Can it flurry at 40 degrees!? Go figure the moisture comes hard NW and my high tomorrow is 52! Models overdoing the cold, yet again! it did in Las Vegas at 50 degrees, so it's possible. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 23 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said: It's been a winner of a season bud!!! Don't ya just love living in the SE when ( you love winter weather)! JB lied to us! Over and over again! Delayed, but not denied! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, PackGrad05 said: I think a lot of folks are going to see some surprise flurries in the morning. It really wont take much to turn this into something as bit more than a few flurries, already downstream it seems to be producing a bit more than the hi res show, sure would be nice to see one bust in our favor for once.....doesn't seem likely but we may see at least some flurries up here in Pitt Co.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, downeastnc said: It really wont take much to turn this into something as bit more than a few flurries, already downstream it seems to be producing a bit more than the hi res show, sure would be nice to see one bust in our favor for once.....doesn't seem likely but we may see at least some flurries up here in Pitt Co.... i was just looking at the radar and the precip field already looks more expansive than the hrrr has initialized at. although it isn't much but it will be nice to see snow falling here in se nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 People reporting snow in Tusculoosa and Bham AL well north or the radar returns so that is odd.....not sure how heavy it is but I cant imagine its too heavy if its not being picked up on radar.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, downeastnc said: People reporting snow in Tusculoosa and Bham AL well north or the radar returns so that is odd.....not sure how heavy it is but I cant imagine its too heavy if its not being picked up on radar.... Reports of snow in Atlanta... if this trend keeps up, we could get into the action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 flurries just started here. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Curious, Jet or "chaff"??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Lotsa streaming QPF, We'll see in about 10 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCentralWakeCo Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 12 minutes ago, SENC said: Lotsa streaming QPF, We'll see in about 10 hours? Interesting to see. This is HRRR at hour 1 and doesn’t have it as north as current radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Last few frames of the radar on my phone really lighting up over Athens pushing in N SC. 20-25 dbz returns Columbia north special? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Touchet Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just to let you guys know, the returns that say it is snowing are just rain. Pure rain. Radar showed it snowing over my house and it was nothing but rain. Supposedly, it will get below freezing tonight. If it makes it to 32, I’d be surprised. Temperature has been holding steady at around 36 for hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 There are people in Tuscaloosa and Birmingham reporting light to mod snow from time to time well north of the precip on radar....RGEM is a little better now has a dusting literally 10 miles to my south lol.....you know if I was forecast to get 1-3" tonight this thing would have no trouble trending south enough to screw me over the next 6-8 hrs, it never ever goes the other way though....I cant remember the last time we had a situation like this were the precip made it further inland than expected and gave us a surprise couple of inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Touchet said: Just to let you guys know, the returns that say it is snowing are just rain. Pure rain. Radar showed it snowing over my house and it was nothing but rain. Supposedly, it will get below freezing tonight. If it makes it to 32, I’d be surprised. Temperature has been holding steady at around 36 for hours. Not in Athens, it’s snow on radar and ground truth per Lookout Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
timnc910 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Moderate snow and sleet here in Maple Hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 LOL Folks, I was right.. I'm setting at 32.01 and RAIN.. though just over the river, (5 miles) they are reporting SN.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 meanwhile 5 miles away.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 All right, looks like it's about time to lower the blinds, turn out the lights and wrap this one up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Worst winter in a while. Just a ton of more wet. Very few below freezing mornings. See ya next season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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