CentralNC Posted February 20, 2019 Share Posted February 20, 2019 59 minutes ago, Orangeburgwx said: 12z EURO with a 1061mb power bomb... That would be a good dump of cold air if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 0z GFS drops a cold bomb in fantasy range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Beautiful beginning to March on the 6z GFS... too bad it'll be gone in 6 hours 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 We excel at March snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Late Feb and early March snows are rare here in eastern NC but the #1 and #2 snowfalls of my life have been Feb 24-25th and Mar 1-2......the fact the airmass could be very cold is interesting as the thing about Mar 1980 that sticks out as much as the insane snow totals was the fact it the temps were in the mid teens during the day while snow just dumped....obviously the chances of such a event this year are slim, but I always get a tiny bit more amped for something when it pops up for this timeframe..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 March has produced more snow (in inches) at RDU than December... . since 1948 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: March has produced more snow (in inches) at RDU than December... . since 1948 or so. Probably not this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chubbiegull Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 That 1980 snow was awesome in Rocky Mount. I had like 24 inches at my house. I had to shovel the drifts from the front door to be able to open the storm door. I recall that about two weeks afterwards it was in the low 80's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, Chubbiegull said: That 1980 snow was awesome in Rocky Mount. I had like 24 inches at my house. I had to shovel the drifts from the front door to be able to open the storm door. I recall that about two weeks afterwards it was in the low 80's Yeah was in the 60-70's the week leading up to it too.....we couldn't stick a yard stick anywhere and not get 20-25" on it and the Ford Maverick my dad drove was completely covered...we also couldn't leave out the front door the snow was drifted 5-6 ft deep on that side of the house....probably never see anything like it again....PGV officially had 16" but I feel that is way to low.... Models do seem to like Mar 3-5ish.....and there seems to be some agreement that it will be colder too.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 26 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Yeah was in the 60-70's the week leading up to it too.....we couldn't stick a yard stick anywhere and not get 20-25" on it and the Ford Maverick my dad drove was completely covered...we also couldn't leave out the front door the snow was drifted 5-6 ft deep on that side of the house....probably never see anything like it again....PGV officially had 16" but I feel that is way to low.... Models do seem to like Mar 3-5ish.....and there seems to be some agreement that it will be colder too.... I lived in Virginia Beach and we ended up with about 16" or so with 6 foot drifts. Awesome 2 day storm. It would be incredible to get another just like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 FV3 vs. EURO vs. GFS... All showing cold in LR, question is who is going to win? With the shutdown over, hopefully the FVS rebounds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Is it too early to mention Sun angle? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 The Euro was going somewhere good at the end of its run, IMO, before it got cut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 9 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: The Euro was going somewhere good at the end of its run, IMO, before it got cut off. The 12z EPS has a decent signal for something minor around day 8 and something more significant around day 10.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Late Feb and early March snows are rare here in eastern NC but the #1 and #2 snowfalls of my life have been Feb 24-25th and Mar 1-2......the fact the airmass could be very cold is interesting as the thing about Mar 1980 that sticks out as much as the insane snow totals was the fact it the temps were in the mid teens during the day while snow just dumped....obviously the chances of such a event this year are slim, but I always get a tiny bit more amped for something when it pops up for this timeframe.....Yeah. 28” from the March 1980 storm in Camden County. Out of power and out of school for about two weeks (power was about a week). That is my benchmark for a great storm. I doubt I will live long enough to see another one like that. I was 10 years old (just turned 10 on February 11) and it was amazing. My friends and I made snow forts and just had a grand time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Definitely a WOOF signal on the EURO at day 10. Too early to get excited until we get some consistency, but that's a great look for a big dog. Large upper low/PV lob over New England and great PNA Ridge w/ undercutting STJ. We need a strong STJ wave to kick out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 Our best snows come in March! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 4 hours ago, downeastnc said: Yeah was in the 60-70's the week leading up to it too.....we couldn't stick a yard stick anywhere and not get 20-25" on it and the Ford Maverick my dad drove was completely covered...we also couldn't leave out the front door the snow was drifted 5-6 ft deep on that side of the house....probably never see anything like it again....PGV officially had 16" but I feel that is way to low.... Models do seem to like Mar 3-5ish.....and there seems to be some agreement that it will be colder too.... I was 15 years old at that time, and remember it like it was yesterday. We did not get as much snow as folks in the eastern areas but it was colder. 9 degrees F at mid-day with 30 mph winds and heavy snow is something I will never forget. I will probably live the rest of my life and never see that again in this part of the world. I was fortunate enough to be in Chicago during a true blizzard and it was not as much fun as that 1980 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 FV3 still showing something for NC around the March 4/5 time frame. GFS is not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 RAH this morning: Late week, all major models tend to slide a backdoor cold front through the area initiating CAD type conditions late Thursday into Friday morning as a SFC coastal low begins to develop to our southeast. These features will be worth watching closely, as some sort of wintry mix may be possible assuming a strong enough CAD and a close tracking Miller-A or Miller A/B style pattern sets up. Temps should remain seasonable all week, with highs in the upper 50s/lower 60s while lows dip into the 30s/low 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 12 minutes ago, Solak said: RAH this morning: Late week, all major models tend to slide a backdoor cold front through the area initiating CAD type conditions late Thursday into Friday morning as a SFC coastal low begins to develop to our southeast. These features will be worth watching closely, as some sort of wintry mix may be possible assuming a strong enough CAD and a close tracking Miller-A or Miller A/B style pattern sets up. Temps should remain seasonable all week, with highs in the upper 50s/lower 60s while lows dip into the 30s/low 40s. Yeah the euro is hinting at this along with the 6z FV3. Of course the FV3 would then continue into a big winter storm at days 9/10/11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Looks like this big cutter coming through this weekend will flip the pattern finally and put the low heights,PV on our side of the hemisphere. MJO has a good chance running out to 3/8 or 3/9 considering this sun rotation is coming much,much weaker than the previous one,first 10 days or so in March are in play IMO. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 PSU on MA forum mentions that top analog for coming pattern is March 1960. Nothing exciting happened around here then did it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 2 minutes ago, cbmclean said: PSU on MA forum mentions that top analog for coming pattern is March 1960. Nothing exciting happened around here then did it? Nope, only the best March of all-time. It's the March by which all others are measured. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 44 minutes ago, cbmclean said: PSU on MA forum mentions that top analog for coming pattern is March 1960. Nothing exciting happened around here then did it? Yep. I was 13. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 56 minutes ago, jburns said: Yep. I was 13. Was it over your head? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waiting on snow Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 1 hour ago, cbmclean said: PSU on MA forum mentions that top analog for coming pattern is March 1960. Nothing exciting happened around here then did it? I want to pull my kitty fur out everytime I see March 1960 come up! I mean come on, that was 6 decades ago and a whole different climate! I'll buy every single poster from the Upstate a steak dinner if that even comes close to happening again! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhill Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 http://wxbrad.com/the-year-it-snowed-3-wednesdays-in-a-row-in-march/ Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 From WOOF to POOF on the 12z EURO 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 23, 2019 Share Posted February 23, 2019 1 hour ago, CaryWx said: Was it over your head? If more than a dusting, then yes! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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