Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2 hours ago, JoshM said: Clown Map Still can't get 6 inches in western upstate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Sharp cutoff near southern wake? That map is legit! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billypg70 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 32 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Still can't get 6 inches in western upstate I see a 7 sitting over either wahalla or Seneca That qualifies as Western Upstate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheers for Western Ears Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 8 hours ago, frazdaddy said: FV3 toyed with it and another for the 21-22 at 6z. So we have hints from the Euro, Fv3, GFS and the Canadian that something could be up around the 20/21 timeframe. We shall see. It is encouraging to continue to see support from both the GFS as well as the Fv3 (op runs that is) is the Euro still in agreement at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 57 minutes ago, Cheers for Western Ears said: It is encouraging to continue to see support from both the GFS as well as the Fv3 (op runs that is) is the Euro still in agreement at all? Euro mainly showing Rain right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 0z GFS warmer, rain for most of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Stupid lakes LP back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Looks like it miller B's itself from central Alabama to off Norfolk. Need it more suppressed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 GFSv3 says NC shuts down for 2 weeks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 21 minutes ago, JoshM said: 0z GFS warmer, rain for most of us. Shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 The 6Z GFS still shows some ice potential for central NC on Tuesday/Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 6z GFS and GFS/FV3 still have the day 7/8 storm. GFS looks like more of a NC storm whereas the FV3 would be a big storm for many on our board: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: The 6Z GFS still shows some ice potential for central NC on Tuesday/Tuesday night. Yep that would correlate with the above FV3 map. The GFS also has a lighter event for this upcoming Sunday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSchew Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 0z Canada lost it for now. It’s showing apps runner on Monday with a little ice in NC mtns up thru most of VA, cold rain from Wilkes Co and points SE. CMC also showing warmer solution for second system on Wednesday with rain all the way into WV mtns, snow confined to PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 18 minutes ago, WSchew said: 0z Canada lost it for now. It’s showing apps runner on Monday with a little ice in NC mtns up thru most of VA, cold rain from Wilkes Co and points SE. CMC also showing warmer solution for second system on Wednesday with rain all the way into WV mtns, snow confined to PA. The euro is also in the same camp. Would be nice to see them come in colder at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2 hours ago, FallsLake said: The euro is also in the same camp. Would be nice to see them come in colder at 12z. Yeah, Its going to be tough to jump on board without the Euro! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted February 12, 2019 Author Share Posted February 12, 2019 14 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Still can't get 6 inches in western upstate You know what that silly clown map reminds me of? The 93 Superstorm......aaahhh the memories. I guess that's all we're left with now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 CMC still a rain storm, GFS is a SNOW/ ICE to Rain, and then an ICE Storm after that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 12 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: CMC still a rain storm, GFS is a SNOW/ ICE to Rain, and then an ICE Storm after that... Yes a lot of upcoming activity to be resolved. This will be something to watch for in coming days as late Feb getting some game on in the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: Yeah, Its going to be tough to jump on board without the Euro! The Euro ens have a few big hits for NC and several for VA, hopefully we see more and more ens panels showing bigger hits going forward...I am sure 99% of the NC/VA folks would lock this panel in lol..... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheers for Western Ears Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 49 minutes ago, downeastnc said: The Euro ens have a few big hits for NC and several for VA, hopefully we see more and more ens panels showing bigger hits going forward...I am sure 99% of the NC/VA folks would lock this panel in lol..... How did the 12z op run look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, Cheers for Western Ears said: How did the 12z op run look? Still running only have through the 13th so far.... https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2019021212/799-w-396-n/temperature-f/20190212-1600z.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 35 minutes ago, Cheers for Western Ears said: How did the 12z op run look? Improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2-3 inches from roughly Hickory to Durham-ish followed by a significant to damaging freezing rain event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 1038MB high about 100 miles north of Buffalo. If it’s a little stronger or a little further south, the freezing rain line plunges even further south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 32 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: 2-3 inches from roughly Hickory to Durham-ish followed by a significant to damaging freezing rain event. i'd honestly be a little surprised if north carolina doesn't get something frozen or freezing over the next 10 days. Looks like this hot garbage of a winter will continue for ga though unless the models are faster with the highs building into the mid atlantic/northeast or we see things shift south..which lol...we know that won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 3 hours ago, Queencitywx said: 2-3 inches from roughly Hickory to Durham-ish followed by a significant to damaging freezing rain event. Master peak snow totals its all a front end thump totals.....still a big jump from the 00Z Then there is the #1 Euro Ens panel at least thats how its numbered on Weather.US that I linked before it holds the big dog and obviously has the low moving east and buries almost all of NC...would love to see this pan out....actually it didn't it looked like the above but a bit better.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 I remember the good ole winters of yor, when a good Euro run actually meant something! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 RAH this afternoon - 2/12/19 Monday looks to be dry as strong continental high pressure moves across the upper Midwest and ridges in from the north with temperatures near normal. This high will slide into a better position for classic/hybrid damming by Tuesday morning as isentropic lift begins and a feed of moisture originating from the Gulf of Mexico advects into the western Piedmont. With the cold air in place, winter P-types could become a problem early Tuesday in the climatologically favored areas. Stay tuned. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 8 minutes ago, Solak said: RAH this afternoon - 2/12/19 Monday looks to be dry as strong continental high pressure moves across the upper Midwest and ridges in from the north with temperatures near normal. This high will slide into a better position for classic/hybrid damming by Tuesday morning as isentropic lift begins and a feed of moisture originating from the Gulf of Mexico advects into the western Piedmont. With the cold air in place, winter P-types could become a problem early Tuesday in the climatologically favored areas. Stay tuned. I bet the 12z euro helped them mention the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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