CaryWx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 That would have to b-line straight to Norfolk from that spot to give RDU all rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 REGIONS Prev. RunNext Run FORECAST GIFTREND GIF Precip/Moisture Lower Dynamics Upper Dynamics Thermodynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, NCSNOW said: REGIONS Prev. RunNext Run FORECAST GIFTREND GIF Precip/Moisture Lower Dynamics Upper Dynamics Thermodynamics 850's don't support anything but rain for everybody. Could be freezing rain if it is cold enough on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Counts sleet frzng rn. So its ice,but still gives what Lookout was talking about 2 days ago suport. Just drizzle most likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, NCSNOW said: Counts sleet frzng rn. So its ice,but still gives what Lookout was talking about 2 days ago suport. Just drizzle most likely I could see it being freezing rain and sleet, if it comes in early enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 1 minute ago, NCSNOW said: Counts sleet frzng rn. So its ice,but still gives what Lookout was talking about 2 days ago suport. Just drizzle most likely It’s a start. I’ll gladly take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 The icon, lol! Big Rainer next weekend 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 1 minute ago, mackerel_sky said: The icon, lol! Big Rainer next weekend What's the LP track. Over land or just off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, CaryWx said: What's the LP track. Over land or just off the coast Great track, no cold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Actually it’s showing some snow on the last frame in the piedmont of NC. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 GFS may show us something here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 GFS looks improved for sure this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 0z gfs is lot diff than 18z h5. Lost the northern cali closed low finally. See what happens . Energy flying everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 00z GFS looking alright. If that northern energy can go a little faster (or a lot slower), we're in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 This may bring some goods---well at least this run anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 We just need a dang high pressure. Apparently, that's a lot to ask for these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 GFS Zoom ► Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Snowing miss, central Alabama up into TN at 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Never mind, GFS sends it down into Florida. Ripe to make a comeback, of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, WidreMann said: We just need a dang high pressure. Apparently, that's a lot to ask for these days. Maybe we can get caa from that spoke over ne or since its ns system itll produce its own. But yes I trust hp over ne the most no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 GFS just rots the system in the gulf lol. Historically, that means it’s game on for us 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Just now, WidreMann said: We just need a dang high pressure. Apparently, that's a lot to ask for these days. There is enough confluence already and 850's are plenty cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 14 minutes ago, Billypg70 said: Bob, Love your input. I'm just curious. I was born in 70 and can remember when it wasn't that rare for troughs to engulf the entire country. 77-78 comes to mind. What can cause the entire country or close to the entire country to be colder than normal? Could this be setting up in this current modeled pattern? We need a -ao/nao combo for a broad conus trough. 77-78 had that iirc. It's not all that uncommon. 95-96, 09-10, and 10-11 all had periods of a -pna coinciding with a trough and winter wx in the east. It's been a while though. Not all -pna's are terrible. Having a -epo is key for cold in the east with a -pna because it deflects the pac jet poleward and away from the north american coast. The -ao/nao suppresses heights in the east so cold continental air can stretch coast to coast in the US. One of the snowiest winters on record in my region happened back in the 60s and basically had a door to door -pna. You guys in the SE probably need a +pna more than my region though. Maybe someone can look back at years where there was a -pna but good snow in your area amd figure out what other features made it work. We may not even need to worry about it as the -pna on ensemble guidance may just be transient or never materialize. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Ots looks like gfs. Or as grit says rots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 icon says big windy LP and gfs sends it to the grave. I like where we are 7 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Wonder how the 0z GEFS enscrambles will handle this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 ICON overamped and GFS kill switched.. I think we may be in business for everybody (even Northern Florida) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justabamajammer Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Canadian HATES oranges Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 Walk outside look up. Moon eclipse is peaking pretty cool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 21, 2019 Share Posted January 21, 2019 11:41 it goes total. 12:15ish is best red.Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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