Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:13 AM, WinterWolf said: I actually used it because I saw you use it, and thought, that is kind of a cool word lol. Expand Lol it rolled off my tongue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Lol...March could have been even better if we didn’t whiff on the total Rainer Nor’east In the middle of that run. And then at the end 3/21 or 22...that one that was forecast for 18 inches and we got 2-3 inches. The parade of storms was Epic...but the results imo weren’t Epic. Turn the rainy one into all snow, and the 3 incher into 18, and then it’s Epic!! Im buckled up Ginx...just keeping it real and my expectations in check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/22/2018 at 11:53 PM, weathafella said: It seems to me that at the end of the ensembles we’re ok but not particularly great on the Pacific side. I think any epic pacific pattern is 1/15 and beyond. However, I’m pretty confident of multiple snow chances between 1/1-15. Expand Yep, agree completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/22/2018 at 9:58 PM, ORH_wxman said: We will see if we can beat the meltdowns of January 2013 and January 2015. Those were hilarious. All the calls of a busted pattern. Lol. Expand Well if this season's pattern fails to launch, which is a distinct possibility, then you bet it will. The goalposts are currently 1/15 to 1/20. If they keep advancing, then you can kiss this winter goodbye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Do we have a thread for the ice storm next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:53 AM, SnoSki14 said: Well if this season's pattern fails to launch, which is a distinct possibility, then you bet it will. The goalposts are currently 1/15 to 1/20. If they keep advancing, then you can kiss this winter goodbye. Expand What goalposts ? Everyone thinks the pattern will get better by the 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Glad we don’t live in NY or NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/22/2018 at 9:58 PM, ORH_wxman said: We will see if we can beat the meltdowns of January 2013 and January 2015. Those were hilarious. All the calls of a busted pattern. Lol. Expand 2013 might have been worse than 2015 always remember I melted right before, during and after events but never weeks before a "pattern change" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 1:41 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Glad we don’t live in NY or NJ Expand He always pessimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:20 AM, WinterWolf said: Lol...March could have been even better if we didn’t whiff on the total Rainer Nor’east In the middle of that run. And then at the end 3/21 or 22...that one that was forecast for 18 inches and we got 2-3 inches. The parade of storms was Epic...but the results imo weren’t Epic. Turn the rainy one into all snow, and the 3 incher into 18, and then it’s Epic!! Im buckled up Ginx...just keeping it real and my expectations in check. Expand Yeah, if we'd had a better airmass last March would've definitely been epic. It still was for folks out east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 1:43 AM, codfishsnowman said: 2013 might have been worse than 2015 always remember I melted right before, during and after events but never weeks before a "pattern change" Expand 2013 was really bad. We flipped the pattern in mid to late January. We got a bunch of cold with only little snow to show for it plus one monster torching cutter on Jan 30-31 and we had epic meltdowns. Reason didn't matter. It didn't matter the pattern still looked excellent. Everyone and their mother was hurling the bust bombs and talking about how shitty the pattern was. Then we proceeded to get hit by one of the worst blizzards since 1978 across a large swath of SNE. You couldn't have scripted it any better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/22/2018 at 11:53 PM, weathafella said: It seems to me that at the end of the ensembles we’re ok but not particularly great on the Pacific side. I think any epic pacific pattern is 1/15 and beyond. However, I’m pretty confident of multiple snow chances between 1/1-15. Expand Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:02 AM, WinterWolf said: I’ve been thinking...perhaps we shouldn’t be looking for anything “Epic” coming down the road in the pattern?? I think that’s part of the problem for some...they’re expecting Epicosity..and when it is not totally being pictured on the modeling ...it’s throwing some for a tail spin. Imo...You usually don’t quite see Epic coming till it’s almost at the doorstep. Things are looking much better going forward, and especially after the NY..that should be good enough to calm the nerves for now. Expand I expect epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:20 AM, WinterWolf said: Lol...March could have been even better if we didn’t whiff on the total Rainer Nor’east In the middle of that run. And then at the end 3/21 or 22...that one that was forecast for 18 inches and we got 2-3 inches. The parade of storms was Epic...but the results imo weren’t Epic. Turn the rainy one into all snow, and the 3 incher into 18, and then it’s Epic!! Im buckled up Ginx...just keeping it real and my expectations in check. Expand It was epic in my area...snowiest March on record and largest event of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:53 AM, SnoSki14 said: Well if this season's pattern fails to launch, which is a distinct possibility, then you bet it will. The goalposts are currently 1/15 to 1/20. If they keep advancing, then you can kiss this winter goodbye. Expand Goal posts have been there since November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 4:02 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was epic in my area...snowiest March on record and largest event of my life. Expand Yup..but not here it wasn’t. That biggest event you got, was a 4 incher here lol. Had it been what you got, and then the flop on the last one too was bad, then it would have been off the charts!! But it wasn’t to be here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 4:00 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I expect epic. Expand Well I hope you’re not going to be disappointed if Epic doesn’t show up? Those are very high expectations...which is usually a recipe for disappointment. Really Hope you’re right though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 4:39 AM, WinterWolf said: Well I hope you’re not going to be disappointed if Epic doesn’t show up? Those are very high expectations...which is usually a recipe for disappointment. Really Hope you’re right though.. Expand Am I expecting 90" in 30 days, no.....one event over 20" and a 30"+ month? You bet...disappointment and a bust for me if not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 The euro was mildly entertaining in the long range. Couple of potential threats. Latitude looks to be helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Okay--continual pushing back of the pattern changing.....after Christmas Eve, after New Year's, weeklies 3-4 looking good. This winter blows. At least we had November and at least we dropped into the 20's overnight to freeze up the mud and we won't have to keep faking intestinal distress during Christmas to sneak into the bathroom to glance at models and clown maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 11:02 AM, moneypitmike said: Okay--continual pushing back of the pattern changing.....after Christmas Eve, after New Year's, weeklies 3-4 looking good. This winter blows. At least we had November and at least we dropped into the 20's overnight to freeze up the mud and we won't have to keep faking intestinal distress during Christmas to sneak into the bathroom to glance at models and clown maps. Expand Winter started 2 days ago How much snow should you have by now ? I have 5 inches from the November storm. I'm above normal lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 3:43 AM, ORH_wxman said: 2013 was really bad. We flipped the pattern in mid to late January. We got a bunch of cold with only little snow to show for it plus one monster torching cutter on Jan 30-31 and we had epic meltdowns. Reason didn't matter. It didn't matter the pattern still looked excellent. Everyone and their mother was hurling the bust bombs and talking about how shitty the pattern was. Then we proceeded to get hit by one of the worst blizzards since 1978 across a large swath of SNE. You couldn't have scripted it any better. Expand The slow start in '13 was made worse because of how sh*tty 2012 was. That was a looong period of garbage. And I remember the denial in here when the blizzard started showing up in the modeling. A certain snowbank sculptor in Tolland was tossing the Euro long and hard until about two days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 11:33 AM, Snow88 said: Winter started 2 days ago How much snow should you have by now ? I have 5 inches from the November storm. I'm above normal lol Expand Not sure of the month averages, certainly November came in above, and certainly December is below. My annual average is about 3X NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 What a melt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:04 PM, CoastalWx said: What a melt Expand deservedly so. It's gonna blow. CNE and NNE will be okay. 26* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 GFS would certainly waste some winter QPF as liquid next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:16 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: GFS would certainly waste some winter QPF as liquid next 10 days. Expand I was going to say "get used to it" but I guess we already are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 On 12/23/2018 at 12:18 PM, moneypitmike said: I was going to say "get used to it" but I guess we already are. Expand I'm not saying that that GFS is right in anyway but if it was, any SNE/CNE ski areas would basically be neutered going into January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Canadian also has next weekends torching cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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