EastCoast NPZ Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 18 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: I wonder if there is a panel where the east coast US is the lowest anomaly of the whole NOrthern Hemisphere? Yes, it's called the seasonal snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 29 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: 15 inches less than Harrisburg? Pass. Don't worry, there's a higher chance you get the same amount of snow as Harrisburg with that storm. Zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Hmm.. what if this trends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyamaha Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Hmm.. what if this trends?Trends to what??? More Rain.. yea that will happenSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, luckyamaha said: Trends to what??? More Rain.. yea that will happen Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk It doesn’t look like a small amount of rain either. More flood watches to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Come on...come on now. No one thinks it's going to happen. Just having fun. Nothing in "real" range to discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luckyamaha Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: No one thinks it's going to happen. Just having fun. Nothing in "real" range to discuss. We can still discuss how much potential Rain we could get in "real" range. Lets go over or under 1.75" in the gauges. If we are going to have the wettest year might as well make it unreachable for next several years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: No one thinks it's going to happen. Just having fun. Nothing in "real" range to discuss. I treat digital snow as a proxy for the health of the overall pattern. If the model's aren't spitting out fantasy-land storms, then it is a sign that the long-range pattern is looking sucky. Conversely, healthy digital snow totals means that that the players are on the field to some degree. So I think it is completely rational to be happy to see this as a sign of a less hostile pattern in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 This near-term 20th-21st event looks like a heavy snow producer at high elevations of WV and western VA, even if it's all rain for most in the region. Some ski resorts may do well from it, if the trend east stabilizes. This is a high energy peak with full moon on the 22nd, strong southeast winds will be accompanied by very high tides in the region too. At this point looks like 2-3" rainfalls and 55-60 deg temps trending to 45-50 closer to Blue Ridge, but freezing levels in WV not much higher than 2,000' could allow for some heavy snowfalls on higher slopes. Would need a further 200 miles east trend to become a genuine snow threat for most of the region, seems out of the picture now but hey, getting near coastal storms to shift 200 miles east is easy enough. Why not this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 We are getting something fired at us once a week with 12 weeks to go. 60% to west, 20% to south, 20% hit. 2-3 decent snow events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 FV3 0Z run has the New Years day storm for two runs in a row. This time it looks like a redevelopment coastal idea. Too far out but at least there are hints that the pattern is trying to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Somewhat of a signal on the 06z GEFS around NYE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 17 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Euro @240 looks semi interesting. Looks like a possible cad setup. Its wayy out there but some higher heights into GL ...confluence over NE . .pretty strong high pressure in south central and se Canada ..energy trying to eject from the sw. yea FV3 has snow to ice to rain on Dec 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 7 minutes ago, Ji said: yea FV3 has snow to ice to rain on Dec 28 It's ripe with possibilities! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 FV3 at 6z looks good too. R/S line slightly north, but at this range 3 runs in a row on a January 1st storm is nice to see! Still fantasy-land, but nice to see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 It's funny how during epic patterns we cant even seem to buy a threat the past few years yet when the pattern is horrendous looking and everyone punts we get several threats showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 7 minutes ago, Random Chaos said: ... R/S line slightly north...... January 1st storm I got nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 30 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: It's funny how during epic patterns we cant even seem to buy a threat the past few years yet when the pattern is horrendous looking and everyone punts we get several threats showing up. Threats are showing up during the front side of the transition out of a crap pattern so they aren't really flukes in the true sense. 6z gfs has the sickest SPV split and beating I've seen yet though... It way actually save winter this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 This is only going to make things more complex possibly. A split with daughter vortices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Wow, above Finland on December 23 rd, this coming weekend. plus 41 C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, frd said: Wow, above Finland on December 23 rd, this coming weekend. plus 41 C. Day 10 GEFS 10mb temp anomalies. Impressive. Perlar Vertex be disturbed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Day 10 GEFS 10mb temp anomalies. Impressive. Perlar Vertex be disturbed. You notice how many weather records are occuring recently near us and to a degree in the NH, rainfall records, low pressure records, low temps, this week the progged low pressure area to our West at 985 or lower, a record if that happens, over performing coastal storms, the area off VA and NJ that storms explode at. Have shown some sat pics of these in the past. Every indication this may continue I hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 FYI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 1 minute ago, frd said: You notice how many weather records are occuring recently near us and to a degree in the NH, rainfall records, low pressure records, low temps, this week the progged low pressure area to our West at 985 or lower, a record if that happens, over performing coastal storms, the area off VA and NJ that storms explode at. Have shown some sat pics of these in the past. Every indication this may continue I hope. Certainly doesn’t seem a shortage of strong lows and moisture laden storms. Keep that up when the pattern flips and it’ll be busy in here. Storm mode for weeks. Ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 This site link has a nice tools and animation loops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: Certainly doesn’t seem a shortage of strong lows and moisture laden storms. Keep that up when the pattern flips and it’ll be busy in here. Storm mode for weeks. Ha Eh, ask Santa for a big supply of your favorite K cups !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 "Daughter Vortices" Sounds like a term to put on my "If I had a band, I'd name it..." list Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/12/17/polar-vortex-could-unleash-winter-wallop-by-january/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 12 minutes ago, smokeybandit said: Daughter Vortices" Sounds like a term to put on my "If I had a band, I'd name it..." list Heavy metal of course , right . But seriously, I was thinking it might be time to post Ryan's 46 day snowfall map. ( just for laughs ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 18, 2018 Share Posted December 18, 2018 Hmm, to be honest if this is all we get I am very dissapointed :-) but I take ! And, OMG to the NE of us. As for NH snow cover decline posted yesterday by late Jan might be near the top again. Also, listened to DT this AM on new post , very gung ho for a good Jan. No surprise, right, but nice to have concensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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