MountainGeek Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs looks way better and different at 500mb for next week Only out to 174 on TT.....what is that pretty blue ball I see heading our direction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Ggem nails us....also looks way better at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Right where we want it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Ggem nails us....also looks way better at 500mbReally? I know if this ended up being the final result you’d cancel winter. All jokes aside I’m liking the fact that the period looks more interesting. Coincides with the ensembles looking nicer too. I’d really love to see some snow in Arlington rather than Charlottesville! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Really? I know if this ended up being the final result you’d cancel winter. All jokes aside I’m liking the fact that the period looks more interesting. Coincides with the ensembles looking nicer too. I’d really love to see some snow in Arlington rather than Charlottesville! The biggest problem I see so far....it’s the GGEM! Should be called the GAGM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 11 minutes ago, Ji said: Gfs looks way better and different at 500mb for next week 6 minutes ago, Ji said: Ggem nails us....also looks way better at 500mb Remember when you used to complain about the GGEM being terrible lol GFS is a failure even with the good looking h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: Right where we want it now We need to put that on the banner phrases list...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Remember when you used to complain about the GGEM being terrible lol GFS is a failureWhen the ggem is only model that gives us snow....but when it joins the euro...makes me feel like there is a possiblity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Just now, Ji said: 1 minute ago, yoda said: Remember when you used to complain about the GGEM being terrible lol GFS is a failure When the ggem is only model that gives us snow....but when it joins the euro...makes me feel like there is a possiblity the 12z EURO gave us snow? I must have missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 We need to put that on the banner phrases list...lolThere's has been a big north trend today and it's a week out. This is bob chill storm where Boston finally gets theres and we get nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 the 12z EURO gave us snow? I must have missed itI mean not like yesterday 12z but it gave us something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Maybe a positive that GGEM and GFS both agree on the general idea of a storm staying under us during that timeframe? I'm more than happy to see anything other than yet another GL cutter. Main difference I can see is how much cold air we have to work with. GFS has the 850s going up into NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Not only that...wouldn't that low to the north keep it just south of us anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Lol that it shows D.C. more then double climo snow in just the next 6 weeks and you take away that. Lol. Yeah, but what I see is that the model is keying on 2 likely target zones in the coming heart of winter: one is to our NNE, and the other is to our S. I dont pay any attention to snow totals on those maps, just general locations. And I don't like either of those locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 00z FV3 is lulz from Jan 9 to Jan 11 for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Looks like the overnight Euro is going MIA on weatherbell today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Eps looks pretty bleak through January 11th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Fv-3 delivers a stalled LP around the 9th which is either cut off or just blocked for 2 days. 500's look nice for that storm. Not only that, FV-3 has snow on our doorstep on Jan 3rd, just as NAO is supposed to go positive. Well we have a couple of possibilities to track, at least till the 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1 hour ago, Ji said: Eps looks pretty bleak through January 11th The turn to winter may not happen till around the 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Hey look....nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 5 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Lol. Yeah, but what I see is that the model is keying on 2 likely target zones in the coming heart of winter: one is to our NNE, and the other is to our S. I dont pay any attention to snow totals on those maps, just general locations. And I don't like either of those locations. That wasn't an ensemble mean. It was the control run. We got hit by 3 warning events and a couple minor ones. Western NC was higher because there was one big southern slider in there. New England got more because they are New England. Your reading too much into it. It was a great run and your upset because you weren't the bullseye. Ive got a dose of harsh reality for you. We are almost never the bullseye. Years like 1987 and 2010 come around once every 20 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Hey look....nothing Euro has light snow on Jan 3 for central VA over to SBY. An inch or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Euro has light snow on Jan 3 for central VA over to SBY. An inch or 2. Jackpot zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1mb wind reversal occurring irt SSWE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: 1mb wind reversal occurring irt SSWE. Start a thread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 The turn to winter may not happen till around the 20th Of march? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 45 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Start a thread? Someone call Wes. We need a radio show stat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 problem is we cant seem to get two good runs in a row....everytime we make progress like the 12z eps...we take a step back Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: That wasn't an ensemble mean. It was the control run. We got hit by 3 warning events and a couple minor ones. Western NC was higher because there was one big southern slider in there. New England got more because they are New England. Your reading too much into it. It was a great run and your upset because you weren't the bullseye. Ive got a dose of harsh reality for you. We are almost never the bullseye. Years like 1987 and 2010 come around once every 20 years. I'm not upset over a long-range control run. I put the chances of any model ensemble being right at that range right up there with Dak Prescott leading the Cowboys to the Super Bowl, much less a control run. I'm simply amused that we get jackpotted by that slim precip minimum while there are jacks to our NNE and (again) S. You are totally correct; rarely do we ever jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 28, 2018 Share Posted December 28, 2018 1 hour ago, losetoa6 said: Do you have Individual members ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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