cbmclean Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 2 hours ago, Bob Chill said: Looks good in the temp department but also looks like it would be on the dry side with dominant northern stream. Much better than a shutout pattern of course but not the kind of longwave pattern that would keep the juicy southern stream action going. I'm not very picky so anything other than a shutout is fine. It's not a KU look so Ji won't be thrilled with it. I know that KU stands for those two guys who literally wrote the book on big snow in the east, but what is a "KU storm"? Is it a specific type like a Miller A/B or does it just mean a big storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Just now, stormtracker said: still laughing Laughing is all we got for at least a week. Can't afford a reverse pace tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 57 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Considering banning the following also: xxx looks "tasty" "we take" . any post from Chuck I'm taking other suggestions as well. Squashed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Squashed Tick, smidge, “more amped” lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 7 minutes ago, cbmclean said: I know that KU stands for those two guys who literally wrote the book on big snow in the east, but what is a "KU storm"? Is it a specific type like a Miller A/B or does it just mean a big storm? The easy short answer is a strong synoptic miller a, b, or hybrid that affects a large portion of the east coast. A KU can be all rain here or even a whiff like Dec 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: The easy short answer is a strong synoptic miller a, b, or hybrid that affects a large portion of the east coast. A KU can be all rain here or even a whiff like Dec 2010. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 FV3 gonna thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Considering banning the following also: xxx looks "tasty" "we take" . any post from Chuck I'm taking other suggestions as well. You are considering banning XXX looks tasty?, i will never have anything to post anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Gefs and eps agree that wx will remain active from NYE through the first week of Jan. A lot of mixed events showing up on the gefs and imho that's probably the most probable way we get snow here so that's where my expectations are. Practically impossible to accurately guess how things shake out but having multiple chances this time of year provides a lot more leeway for flaws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Not looking that great for an impact, at least form the GFS, in terms of the strat helping in high lattitude blocking per Earthlight, so + NAM state and little downwelling = muted or uncertain outcomes for high lattitude blocking. Posted 20 minutes ago We continue to see a very muted downwelling signal on the GFS. This would be a less than ideal solution, as the zonal easterlies never truly propagate downward. At the end of the day this is a +NAM state and the effects on higher latitudes blocking potential would be muted and/or indeterminate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 44 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Squashed Trend is your friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Nice to see gfs, FV3, and GGEM all bring out the Southwest shortwave in pieces between the 30th and 2nd or so. That’s our ticket to getting a couple modest events in short order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 48 minutes ago, poolz1 said: FV3 gonna thump Lulz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 19 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Nice to see gfs, FV3, and GGEM all bring out the Southwest shortwave in pieces between the 30th and 2nd or so. That’s our ticket to getting a couple modest events in short order. Agreed. Even a west track can work. Might not be a pretty powder event but beggars can't be choosers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 9 minutes ago, yoda said: Lulz Lmao if that verified I’d be up to 40” on the year after our 14” one a couple weeks ago. I’ve been following just not posting but I hope all of us get effin smashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Agreed. Even a west track can work. Might not be a pretty powder event but beggars can't be choosers. Especially not after the last couple years, lol (and since we really don't know what we'll be looking at by mid January) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 40 minutes ago, yoda said: Lulz We ta..wait that’s been banned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, Scraff said: We ta..wait that’s been banned. We are now using the new term @Bob Chill used... we abscond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 12z EURO is a central/southern VA snowstorm for NYE/NYD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z EURO is a central/southern VA snowstorm for NYE/NYD. Atmospheric memory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z EURO is a central/southern VA snowstorm for NYE/NYD. #rightwherewewantit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 17 minutes ago, Scraff said: We ta..wait that’s been banned. Fire Mark Turgeon! sorry wrong site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Atmospheric memory Shut up JB2. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z EURO is a central/southern VA snowstorm for NYE/NYD. 09-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: #rightwherewewantit #Northtrend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 Again, we are pattern changing into -EPO, not +PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 4 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Again, we are pattern changing into -EPO, not +PNA. Actually it's both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 12z EURO is a central/southern VA snowstorm for NYE/NYD. Ouch! I mean...that's where we've been, right? If it doesn't budge by Wednesday...I mean, we've seen this movie before, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 26 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: #Northtrend That's one game I won't be playing again...Again, that doesn't budge by like Wednesday or Thursday...forget it!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 23, 2018 Share Posted December 23, 2018 10 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: That's one game I won't be playing again...Again, that doesn't budge by like Wednesday or Thursday...forget it!! It trended north. But before that it trended south to the point where about 72-84 hours out it looked south of the va/Nc border. I said if it did that then the north trend the final 48 hours wouldn't be enough and it wasn't. If it's sitting just to our south at 72 hours then maybe. Also this isn't remotely the same setup. Models won't be able to place the exact location from as far out in a progressive pattern like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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