NorEastermass128 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Discussion thread for Sunday night's potential wintry event. It's all we got. Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 IMO: less dynamic = cold rain / icy mess for some more dynamic = flip to accumulating snow Just gotta get the lift, but gotta like the 12z runs pending EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Cold rain, some sleet, some flakes... Could trand a bit better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:40 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Cold rain, some sleet, some flakes... Could trand a bit better Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 I think it could end up as a few inches...especially n ORH county and ne MA. Maybe ice, too.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 What is zach pop's fascination with the laughter emoji? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 It seems real marginal. I suppose there could be some elevated icing. Any snow seems like would have to come with a pretty good thump. The gfs soundings weren’t that hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:48 PM, CoastalWx said: It seems real marginal. I suppose there could be some elevated icing. Any snow seems like would have to come with a pretty good thump. The gfs soundings weren’t that hot. Expand Not as presently constituted, but its not far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:49 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not as presently constituted, but its not far off. Expand It just need som help. The mid levels are pretty mild. Your latitude could help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Maybe .25 of ice top off with 2-4” paster for areas away from coast . Not sure how much precip gets north of 90? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:50 PM, CoastalWx said: It just need som help. The mid levels are pretty mild. Your latitude could help. Expand I know....its a long shot and I wouldn't forecast that, but its within the realm of tip's correction vector. The 00z EURO was very close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:53 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I know....its a long shot and I wouldn't forecast that, but its within the realm of tip's correction vector. The 00z EURO was very close. Expand What i could see is a flip to snow at the end that leaves maybe 1-2 in spots. If this thing can reach to NH, they may pull off a paster. I’d like to see guidance be a little more aggressive though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:48 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: What is zach pop's fascination with the laughter emoji? Expand Because he cant post...desperate to let you all know he is still around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:54 PM, CoastalWx said: What i could see is a flip to snow at the end that leaves maybe 1-2 in spots. If this thing can reach to NH, they may pull off a paster. I’d like to see guidance be a little more aggressive though. Expand We are going to see the n stream under modeled this season, I think....didn't pan out last week, and probably won't this week, but I think this will be especially true as the season ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:52 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Maybe .25 of ice top off with 2-4” paster for areas away from coast . Not sure how much precip gets north of 90? Expand Maybe on top of Mount Wachusett Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:55 PM, #NoPoles said: Because he cant post...desperate to let you all know he is still around Expand What a meager existence.....feeling it necessary to resort to such marginal tactics in an attempt to assert yourself on a weather forum? Just flip the byrd and walk away...jesus lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:52 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Maybe .25 of ice top off with 2-4” paster for areas away from coast . Not sure how much precip gets north of 90? Expand 0.25" of ice ain't easy to get. I see the snow being more likely than anywhere near that much ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 5:57 PM, ma blizzard said: Maybe on top of Mount Wachusett Expand Most of the hilly interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Euro is still awfully mild in the mid levels, but it does try to go to town as it exit stage right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 That’s a great mid level look if it wasn’t so torched. What a shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 6:19 PM, CoastalWx said: That’s a great mid level look if it wasn’t so torched. What a shame. Expand How’s N Ma / S NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Anybody take a gander at the amount of precip over Connecticut from Hartford Se on BTV WRF 3” plus QPF ?? that is a insane fire hose for 8 or so hours in Connecticut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 6:26 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: How’s N Ma / S NH Expand Pretty mild. I suppose one could argue a flip to snow at the end, but it’s all so marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Pretty warm run, Not a lot of snow to be had on that 12z Euro run outside of NW CT, Berks and DE Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 6:34 PM, CoastalWx said: Pretty mild. I suppose one could argue a flip to snow at the end, but it’s all so marginal. Expand So ice inland SNE ending as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 NWS mentions freezing rain here for Sunday night, maybe the first icing event of this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Gonna be all about the omega to flip the precip. Ice seems minimal, sleet moreso. Euro is warm unless you are in the Berks, Monads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 7:28 PM, Ginx snewx said: Gonna be all about the omega to flip the precip. Ice seems minimal, sleet moreso. Euro is warm unless you are in the Berks, Monads Expand I can't get a good feel on it. There's a lot of spotty ~0C 850s that bounce around which does seem to indicate flips to frozen with higher uvvs. I wouldn't rule out the low level cold overperforming in the CTRV either as that wetbulbed cooler air to the north drains down the valley. Maybe icier at BDL than NE CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 On 12/14/2018 at 7:38 PM, dendrite said: I can't get a good feel on it. There's a lot of spotty ~0C 850s that bounce around which does seem to indicate flips to frozen with higher uvvs. I wouldn't rule out the low level cold overperforming in the CTRV either as that wetbulbed cooler air to the north drains down the valley. Maybe icier at BDL than NE CT? Expand Elevated icing setup vs valley. NBC 30 all over this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2018 Share Posted December 14, 2018 Nam GW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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