Dan76 Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 Where's the Jan thread ? Looking at dec in the rear view now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 1 minute ago, Dan76 said: Where's the Jan thread ? Looking at dec in the rear view now. I agree. Although I think maybe a few more days. At the 29th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 Just now, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: I agree. Although I think maybe a few more days. At the 29th? Never too early..88 looking at the 5th already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 @snowman19 can i please get the cliff notes to your winter forecast? TIA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 3 hours ago, bluewave said: This has been our longest “the big snowstorm is just a week away pattern” in a while. It all started with the suppressed smowstorm back on the 11th. Euro 12z Nov 30 run The last time that continued for a longer stretch it lasted for the entire winter. 11/12. That would be an epic bust for long range forecasting. It’s not entirely out of the range of possibility. We have seen patterns lock. What we do not need is the pattern we do want finally coming back In March again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 48 minutes ago, Rjay said: @snowman19 can i please get the cliff notes to your winter forecast? TIA Barnes and Noble, clearance table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 15 hours ago, Rjay said: @snowman19 can i please get the cliff notes to your winter forecast? TIA Sure, I think it’s cold/snowy starting in mid-January (1/15 or so) through mid to late February and that’s it. I don’t think March is cold/snowy this time around. The +QBO should be strengthening and decended into the lower stratosphere at that point, I think the high latitude blocking breaks down, pattern retrogrades and it’s onto spring by early March 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 12 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Sure, I think it’s cold/snowy starting in mid-January (1/15 or so) through mid to late February and that’s it. I don’t think March is cold/snowy this time around. The +QBO should be strengthening and decended into the lower stratosphere at that point, I think the high latitude blocking breaks down, pattern retrogrades and it’s onto spring by early March That sounds reasonable. Also very good analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 21 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Sure, I think it’s cold/snowy starting in mid-January (1/15 or so) through mid to late February and that’s it. I don’t think March is cold/snowy this time around. The +QBO should be strengthening and decended into the lower stratosphere at that point, I think the high latitude blocking breaks down, pattern retrogrades and it’s onto spring by early March Even though I hate the idea of 4-6 weeks of snow and cold, I would take it. I love the idea of an early spring, not a winter that drags on forever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 24, 2018 Share Posted December 24, 2018 Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 EURO WEEKLIES have winter beginning Jan. 03 onward. Does not seem too spectacular however. In Jan. we could get away with it and have a snowstorm anyway if the Teleconnections/MJO conspire and the SSW gives us some BN air on our side of the NP. Next 30 on the CFS is 19BN 11AN But just in case we get the BN air only........does anyone have a list of major snowstorms around here that have occurred with bad Teleconnections/MJO? Thanks in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 5 hours ago, snowman19 said: Sure, I think it’s cold/snowy starting in mid-January (1/15 or so) through mid to late February and that’s it. I don’t think March is cold/snowy this time around. The +QBO should be strengthening and decended into the lower stratosphere at that point, I think the high latitude blocking breaks down, pattern retrogrades and it’s onto spring by early March That could be something like 1977-78, which was one of the analogs used. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: EURO WEEKLIES have winter beginning Jan. 03 onward. Does not seem too spectacular however. In Jan. we could get away with it and have a snowstorm anyway if the Teleconnections/MJO conspire and the SSW gives us some BN air on our side of the NP. Next 30 on the CFS is 19BN 11AN But just in case we get the BN air only........does anyone have a list of major snowstorms around here that have occurred with bad Teleconnections/MJO? Thanks in advance. This sounds ominous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas all. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas to all the staff and forum members! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas everyone !!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 23 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Merry Christmas Happy Christmas and New Year for everyone. It’s better to be wrapped in red, green, silver and gold, than your own tears. Someday I intend to take my own advice. As always .... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas everyone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 8 years ago today , we were tracking a monster snowstorm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas everyone !!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas, may it bring lots of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 REMEMBER? One year ago today, temps. went below 32*, and then stayed there for 14.5 days and nights, including a blizzard like snowstorm. A mere memory is all we got for this same time frame now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 hour ago, CIK62 said: REMEMBER? One year ago today, temps. went below 32*, and then stayed there for 14.5 days and nights, including a blizzard like snowstorm. A mere memory is all we got for this same time frame now. Incredible stretch of cold. We had a 2 inch snow on 12/28 that lasted on the ground for a week! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 I'm so bored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Washed the truck today,not bad out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 6 hours ago, IntenseBlizzard2014 said: I'm so bored. How so? It's Christmas. Nice time to be festive as we come closer the much-anticipated wintry period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 1 minute ago, Hailstorm said: How so? It's Christmas. Nice time to be festive as we come closer the much-anticipated wintry period. Trying to get in the festive mood. Not feeling it. Maybe I'm getting old? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 ''Anticipated'' is the operative word of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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