LibertyBell Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 29 minutes ago, jm1220 said: There’s a difference between a bust and disappointment/underperformed. This one underperformed for people near the coast but it’s probably not a bust. My point and click had 6-10” yesterday evening and I had 4-5”, so I guess you could call that a bust technically since it fell outside the range. There was big uncertainty about where the mix line would be, such things are the realm of nowcasting. Cant fault the forecasters, I expected 3-5 inches here and got about 2.5 lol. About an inch less than the one prior to this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Quickly ran updated seasonal #s: LGA: 18.1" for the season. NYC: 20.5" for the season. EWR: 21.8" for the season. JFK: 14.4" for the season. BDR: 24.4" for the season. ISP: 14.3" for the season. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 When did these start? Extreme Cold Warning URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Missoula MT 1042 AM MST Mon Mar 4 2019 MTZ002-003-007-043-041845- /O.EXP.KMSO.EC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190304T1800Z/ West Glacier Region-Flathead/Mission Valleys- Butte/Blackfoot Region-Potomac/Seeley Lake Region- 1042 AM MST Mon Mar 4 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 All this worrying about 3 or 5 or 7 inches and half of it is gone already anyway 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2 hours ago, ag3 said: Quickly ran updated seasonal #s: LGA: 18.1" for the season. NYC: 20.5" for the season. EWR: 21.8" for the season. JFK: 14.4" for the season. BDR: 24.4" for the season. ISP: 14.3" for the season. Most of the area is under Don's latest 15"-25" prediction. Think we get one more event to close out the season, perhaps at the end of the week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 45 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Most of the area is under Don's latest 15"-25" prediction. Think we get one more event to close out the season, perhaps at the end of the week? You're really splitting hairs calling that outside of Don's range.. three stations at 14.x and three already between 15 - 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stu Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Bust? We got 8" in Montclair from a predicted 5-9. It's all relative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 hours ago, jm1220 said: There’s a difference between a bust and disappointment/underperformed. This one underperformed for people near the coast but it’s probably not a bust. My point and click had 6-10” yesterday evening and I had 4-5”, so I guess you could call that a bust technically since it fell outside the range. It was sarcasm dude. You have to respond to Bx with sarcasm, it's in the rule book. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I think the aerial extent of the under/overperforming matters almost as much as the magnitude when declaring a bust. A true bust defies predictions across a wide area, not just isolated pockets within a region of fulfilled expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 17 minutes ago, gravitylover said: It was sarcasm dude. You have to respond to Bx with sarcasm, it's in the rule book. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: All this worrying about 3 or 5 or 7 inches and half of it is gone already anyway march snow doesn't count 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: march snow doesn't count Like November? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 35 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Like November? if 7" of snow falls and you're not awake to see it did it really happen 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 i can't wait for those summer mornings when you wake up and it's already 88 degrees 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 42 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: I think the aerial extent of the under/overperforming matters almost as much as the magnitude when declaring a bust. A true bust defies predictions across a wide area, not just isolated pockets within a region of fulfilled expectations. Long island was a bust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
495weatherguy Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, forkyfork said: i can't wait for those summer mornings when you wake up and it's already 88 degrees right on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 39 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said: Long island was a bust I guess if you squint you can sort of see LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 50 minutes ago, forkyfork said: if 7" of snow falls and you're not awake to see it did it really happen Actually it depends on whose bed your in. As always ...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: if 7" of snow falls and you're not awake to see it did it really happen LOL my daughter slept all day Saturday and when we went out Sunday she asked where did the snow come from? And there were only piles left anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: i can't wait for those summer mornings when you wake up and it's already 88 degrees Think this year NYC finally hits 100? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2 hours ago, 495weatherguy said: Long island was a bust Yeah but nobody lives there so it doesn't really count 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 8 hours ago, Snowshack said: You're really splitting hairs calling that outside of Don's range.. three stations at 14.x and three already between 15 - 25. Sorry bad phrasing on my part, when I said most of the area is under Don's 15"-25" range I actually meant it's in his range- by "under" I meant it fits in the same category as his range (like, "under the same category.") When we saw how this winter was going (like 80s winters) I said we had a 50/50 shot to get to 20". That was based on my experience with those winters. Similar to his 15"-25" range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 7 hours ago, forkyfork said: i can't wait for those summer mornings when you wake up and it's already 88 degrees screw 88- I want it to be 90 degrees by 8 am and 100 by noon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 6 hours ago, Juliancolton said: I guess if you squint you can sort of see LI. It always seems to disappear on those clown color snowfall prediction maps so they must have it confused with the lost island of Atlantis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave0176 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 I can say I’m pretty much done with winter, don’t get me wrong I love a lot of snow and extreme cold, I’m a steam boiler guy my business depends on cold. But it also depends on AC in the summer. However I love summer more, I love extreme heat, I love July days 95-100 degrees with the sun out, with the daylight now extending my body is telling me it’s time to go outside but it’s still too cold. After St.Paddys day I am truly done and hoping we have some sort of spring this year. Also hoping to have a hot summer not a steamy one like the last 3 or 4 seem to have been. I have two Harley’s and they got cabin fever, I’m a fair weather rider so no rain or cold riding for me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 29 minutes ago, dave0176 said: I can say I’m pretty much done with winter, don’t get me wrong I love a lot of snow and extreme cold, I’m a steam boiler guy my business depends on cold. But it also depends on AC in the summer. However I love summer more, I love extreme heat, I love July days 95-100 degrees with the sun out, with the daylight now extending my body is telling me it’s time to go outside but it’s still too cold. After St.Paddys day I am truly done and hoping we have some sort of spring this year. Also hoping to have a hot summer not a steamy one like the last 3 or 4 seem to have been. I have two Harley’s and they got cabin fever, I’m a fair weather rider so no rain or cold riding for me. Seems like we go straight from winter to summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just checked out of curiosity, and EWR had as many 95+ days in 2018 as POU has had since 2014. We don't do heat well up here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 48 minutes ago, Juliancolton said: Just checked out of curiosity, and EWR had as many 95+ days in 2018 as POU has had since 2014. We don't do heat well up here. 95 sucks, I love round numbers, so 100 is a lot better. At least it looks better lol and you get to say you experienced 100 degree heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 6 hours ago, LibertyBell said: 95 sucks, I love round numbers, so 100 is a lot better. At least it looks better lol and you get to say you experienced 100 degree heat. Haha true. But whatever the max possible temp NYC can reach pales to several other cities. I spent some time in Persian Gulf (Dubai and Doha) in summer and I can tell you that the heat was incredible. 115 easily and some days with excessive humidity (espec in Dubai though I think the world record heat index of 178 was at Dhahran Saudi Arabia with 108 at 95%). It was downright dangerous to be active outside for more than 10 mins - I of course was intrigued by all of it and did force myself to walk around just for the experience. So hot that I had to cover my cheeks with my hands due to the burn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 7 hours ago, Juliancolton said: Just checked out of curiosity, and EWR had as many 95+ days in 2018 as POU has had since 2014. We don't do heat well up here. Ehh, they can keep it It's weird though how 90 up here feels so hot compared to 95+ down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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